## Abstract

We evaluate Ralph Lauren prediction models with Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) and Logistic Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the RL stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold RL stock.

Keywords: RL, Ralph Lauren, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

## Key Points

1. Why do we need predictive models?
2. What statistical methods are used to analyze data?
3. Investment Risk

## RL Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Ralph Lauren Stock Decision Process with Logistic Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of RL stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4

F(Logistic Regression)5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{a1}& {p}_{a2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) $\stackrel{\to }{S}=\left({s}_{1},{s}_{2},{s}_{3}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of RL stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## RL Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: RL Ralph Lauren
Time series to forecast n: 01 Sep 2022 for (n+4 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold RL stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

## Conclusions

Ralph Lauren assigned short-term B3 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) with Logistic Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the RL stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold RL stock.

### Financial State Forecast for RL Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B3B3
Operational Risk 3254
Market Risk8235
Technical Analysis4143
Fundamental Analysis3735
Risk Unsystematic6460

### Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 72 out of 100 with 685 signals.

## References

1. Artis, M. J. W. Zhang (1990), "BVAR forecasts for the G-7," International Journal of Forecasting, 6, 349–362.
2. Chernozhukov V, Newey W, Robins J. 2018c. Double/de-biased machine learning using regularized Riesz representers. arXiv:1802.08667 [stat.ML]
3. Burgess, D. F. (1975), "Duality theory and pitfalls in the specification of technologies," Journal of Econometrics, 3, 105–121.
4. V. Borkar and R. Jain. Risk-constrained Markov decision processes. IEEE Transaction on Automatic Control, 2014
5. M. Babes, E. M. de Cote, and M. L. Littman. Social reward shaping in the prisoner's dilemma. In 7th International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS 2008), Estoril, Portugal, May 12-16, 2008, Volume 3, pages 1389–1392, 2008.
6. Arora S, Li Y, Liang Y, Ma T. 2016. RAND-WALK: a latent variable model approach to word embeddings. Trans. Assoc. Comput. Linguist. 4:385–99
7. Wooldridge JM. 2010. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for RL stock?
A: RL stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) and Logistic Regression
Q: Is RL stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold RL Stock.
Q: Is Ralph Lauren stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Ralph Lauren is Hold and assigned short-term B3 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of RL stock?
A: The consensus rating for RL is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for RL stock?
A: The prediction period for RL is (n+4 weeks)