## Abstract

**We evaluate CME Group prediction models with Inductive Learning (ML) and ElasticNet Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the CME stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell CME stock.**

**CME, CME Group, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Investment Risk
- Market Outlook
- Dominated Move

## CME Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider CME Group Stock Decision Process with ElasticNet Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of CME stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(ElasticNet Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Inductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({r}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of CME stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## CME Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**CME CME Group

**Time series to forecast n: 03 Sep 2022**for (n+16 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell CME stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

CME Group assigned short-term B2 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Inductive Learning (ML) with ElasticNet Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the CME stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell CME stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for CME Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B2 | Baa2 |

Operational Risk | 63 | 85 |

Market Risk | 58 | 55 |

Technical Analysis | 48 | 89 |

Fundamental Analysis | 48 | 73 |

Risk Unsystematic | 43 | 85 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for CME stock?A: CME stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Inductive Learning (ML) and ElasticNet Regression

Q: Is CME stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell CME Stock.

Q: Is CME Group stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for CME Group is Sell and assigned short-term B2 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of CME stock?

A: The consensus rating for CME is Sell.

Q: What is the prediction period for CME stock?

A: The prediction period for CME is (n+16 weeks)