Modelling A.I. in Economics

What are the most successful trading algorithms? (NTAP Stock Forecast)

Abstract

We evaluate Netapp prediction models with Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer) and Beta1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NTAP stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell NTAP stock.


Keywords: NTAP, Netapp, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Which neural network is best for prediction?
  2. Buy, Sell and Hold Signals
  3. Can we predict stock market using machine learning?

NTAP Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Netapp Stock Decision Process with Beta where A is the set of discrete actions of NTAP stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Beta)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) R = 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of NTAP stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

NTAP Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: NTAP Netapp
Time series to forecast n: 02 Sep 2022 for (n+1 year)

According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell NTAP stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

Netapp assigned short-term Baa2 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer) with Beta1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NTAP stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell NTAP stock.

Financial State Forecast for NTAP Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Baa2Baa2
Operational Risk 6863
Market Risk8666
Technical Analysis6473
Fundamental Analysis8482
Risk Unsystematic6979

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 77 out of 100 with 836 signals.

References

  1. P. Milgrom and I. Segal. Envelope theorems for arbitrary choice sets. Econometrica, 70(2):583–601, 2002
  2. Mikolov T, Chen K, Corrado GS, Dean J. 2013a. Efficient estimation of word representations in vector space. arXiv:1301.3781 [cs.CL]
  3. Scholkopf B, Smola AJ. 2001. Learning with Kernels: Support Vector Machines, Regularization, Optimization, and Beyond. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
  4. H. Kushner and G. Yin. Stochastic approximation algorithms and applications. Springer, 1997.
  5. Wooldridge JM. 2010. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
  6. Chow, G. C. (1960), "Tests of equality between sets of coefficients in two linear regressions," Econometrica, 28, 591–605.
  7. K. Tumer and D. Wolpert. A survey of collectives. In K. Tumer and D. Wolpert, editors, Collectives and the Design of Complex Systems, pages 1–42. Springer, 2004.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for NTAP stock?
A: NTAP stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (DNN Layer) and Beta
Q: Is NTAP stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell NTAP Stock.
Q: Is Netapp stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Netapp is Sell and assigned short-term Baa2 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of NTAP stock?
A: The consensus rating for NTAP is Sell.
Q: What is the prediction period for NTAP stock?
A: The prediction period for NTAP is (n+1 year)

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