## Abstract

**We evaluate Occidental Petroleum prediction models with Statistical Inference (ML) and Linear Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the OXY stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy OXY stock.**

**OXY, Occidental Petroleum, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- What is Markov decision process in reinforcement learning?
- What is a prediction confidence?
- What are the most successful trading algorithms?

## OXY Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Occidental Petroleum Stock Decision Process with Linear Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of OXY stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and Î³ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Linear Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) $\begin{array}{l}\int {e}^{x}\mathrm{rx}\end{array}$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of OXY stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## OXY Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**OXY Occidental Petroleum

**Time series to forecast n: 04 Sep 2022**for (n+1 year)

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy OXY stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Occidental Petroleum assigned short-term B3 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) with Linear Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the OXY stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy OXY stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for OXY Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B3 | Ba3 |

Operational Risk | 44 | 54 |

Market Risk | 52 | 57 |

Technical Analysis | 32 | 62 |

Fundamental Analysis | 48 | 81 |

Risk Unsystematic | 72 | 61 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

- Bickel P, Klaassen C, Ritov Y, Wellner J. 1998. Efficient and Adaptive Estimation for Semiparametric Models. Berlin: Springer
- Abadie A, Cattaneo MD. 2018. Econometric methods for program evaluation. Annu. Rev. Econ. 10:465–503
- M. Benaim, J. Hofbauer, and S. Sorin. Stochastic approximations and differential inclusions, Part II: Appli- cations. Mathematics of Operations Research, 31(4):673–695, 2006
- S. Devlin, L. Yliniemi, D. Kudenko, and K. Tumer. Potential-based difference rewards for multiagent reinforcement learning. In Proceedings of the Thirteenth International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, May 2014
- J. Harb and D. Precup. Investigating recurrence and eligibility traces in deep Q-networks. In Deep Reinforcement Learning Workshop, NIPS 2016, Barcelona, Spain, 2016.
- V. Borkar and R. Jain. Risk-constrained Markov decision processes. IEEE Transaction on Automatic Control, 2014
- M. Puterman. Markov Decision Processes: Discrete Stochastic Dynamic Programming. Wiley, New York, 1994.

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for OXY stock?A: OXY stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) and Linear Regression

Q: Is OXY stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy OXY Stock.

Q: Is Occidental Petroleum stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Occidental Petroleum is Buy and assigned short-term B3 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of OXY stock?

A: The consensus rating for OXY is Buy.

Q: What is the prediction period for OXY stock?

A: The prediction period for OXY is (n+1 year)