Modelling A.I. in Economics

What is NSE NBCC stock prediction? (Forecast)

Recently, a lot of interesting work has been done in the area of applying Machine Learning Algorithms for analyzing price patterns and predicting stock prices and index changes. Most stock traders nowadays depend on Intelligent Trading Systems which help them in predicting prices based on various situations and conditions, thereby helping them in making instantaneous investment decisions. We evaluate NBCC (India) Limited prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Stepwise Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE NBCC stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE NBCC stock.


Keywords: NSE NBCC, NBCC (India) Limited, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Buy, Sell and Hold Signals
  2. Can statistics predict the future?
  3. Is Target price a good indicator?

NSE NBCC Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

Predictions on stock market prices are a great challenge due to the fact that it is an immensely complex, chaotic and dynamic environment. There are many studies from various areas aiming to take on that challenge and Machine Learning approaches have been the focus of many of them. There are many examples of Machine Learning algorithms been able to reach satisfactory results when doing that type of prediction. This article studies the usage of LSTM networks on that scenario, to predict future trends of stock prices based on the price history, alongside with technical analysis indicators. We consider NBCC (India) Limited Stock Decision Process with Stepwise Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of NSE NBCC stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Stepwise Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+8 weeks) r s rs

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of NSE NBCC stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

NSE NBCC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+8 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: NSE NBCC NBCC (India) Limited
Time series to forecast n: 26 Sep 2022 for (n+8 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE NBCC stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

NBCC (India) Limited assigned short-term B3 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) with Stepwise Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE NBCC stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE NBCC stock.

Financial State Forecast for NSE NBCC Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B3B2
Operational Risk 4632
Market Risk4357
Technical Analysis5938
Fundamental Analysis4674
Risk Unsystematic4145

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 80 out of 100 with 661 signals.

References

  1. Athey S, Bayati M, Imbens G, Zhaonan Q. 2019. Ensemble methods for causal effects in panel data settings. NBER Work. Pap. 25675
  2. Van der Vaart AW. 2000. Asymptotic Statistics. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Univ. Press
  3. L. Busoniu, R. Babuska, and B. D. Schutter. A comprehensive survey of multiagent reinforcement learning. IEEE Transactions of Systems, Man, and Cybernetics Part C: Applications and Reviews, 38(2), 2008.
  4. R. Sutton and A. Barto. Reinforcement Learning. The MIT Press, 1998
  5. S. Bhatnagar, H. Prasad, and L. Prashanth. Stochastic recursive algorithms for optimization, volume 434. Springer, 2013
  6. Jiang N, Li L. 2016. Doubly robust off-policy value evaluation for reinforcement learning. In Proceedings of the 33rd International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 652–61. La Jolla, CA: Int. Mach. Learn. Soc.
  7. Babula, R. A. (1988), "Contemporaneous correlation and modeling Canada's imports of U.S. crops," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, 41, 33–38.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for NSE NBCC stock?
A: NSE NBCC stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Stepwise Regression
Q: Is NSE NBCC stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE NBCC Stock.
Q: Is NBCC (India) Limited stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for NBCC (India) Limited is Hold and assigned short-term B3 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of NSE NBCC stock?
A: The consensus rating for NSE NBCC is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for NSE NBCC stock?
A: The prediction period for NSE NBCC is (n+8 weeks)

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