## Abstract

**We evaluate Flowserve prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) and Paired T-Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the FLS stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FLS stock.**

**FLS, Flowserve, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Trading Signals
- What statistical methods are used to analyze data?
- What are main components of Markov decision process?

## FLS Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Flowserve Stock Decision Process with Paired T-Test where A is the set of discrete actions of FLS stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and Î³ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Paired T-Test)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+3 month) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({r}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of FLS stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## FLS Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+3 month)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**FLS Flowserve

**Time series to forecast n: 03 Sep 2022**for (n+3 month)

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FLS stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Flowserve assigned short-term Caa2 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) with Paired T-Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the FLS stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FLS stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for FLS Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Caa2 | Ba2 |

Operational Risk | 40 | 59 |

Market Risk | 42 | 37 |

Technical Analysis | 33 | 87 |

Fundamental Analysis | 70 | 79 |

Risk Unsystematic | 34 | 84 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- Wager S, Athey S. 2017. Estimation and inference of heterogeneous treatment effects using random forests. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 113:1228–42
- S. Bhatnagar and K. Lakshmanan. An online actor-critic algorithm with function approximation for con- strained Markov decision processes. Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, 153(3):688–708, 2012.
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## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for FLS stock?A: FLS stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) and Paired T-Test

Q: Is FLS stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FLS Stock.

Q: Is Flowserve stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Flowserve is Hold and assigned short-term Caa2 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of FLS stock?

A: The consensus rating for FLS is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for FLS stock?

A: The prediction period for FLS is (n+3 month)