## Abstract

**We evaluate Starbucks prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) and Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the SBUX stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SBUX stock.**

**SBUX, Starbucks, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- What are main components of Markov decision process?
- What is prediction in deep learning?
- How do you decide buy or sell a stock?

## SBUX Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Starbucks Stock Decision Process with Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test where A is the set of discrete actions of SBUX stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and Î³ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) $\overrightarrow{S}=\left({s}_{1},{s}_{2},{s}_{3}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of SBUX stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## SBUX Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**SBUX Starbucks

**Time series to forecast n: 05 Sep 2022**for (n+16 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SBUX stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Starbucks assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) with Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the SBUX stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SBUX stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for SBUX Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Ba2 | Ba2 |

Operational Risk | 76 | 86 |

Market Risk | 49 | 49 |

Technical Analysis | 81 | 81 |

Fundamental Analysis | 72 | 47 |

Risk Unsystematic | 67 | 79 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for SBUX stock?A: SBUX stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis) and Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test

Q: Is SBUX stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SBUX Stock.

Q: Is Starbucks stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Starbucks is Hold and assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term Ba2 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of SBUX stock?

A: The consensus rating for SBUX is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for SBUX stock?

A: The prediction period for SBUX is (n+16 weeks)