## Abstract

**We evaluate HOTEL CHOCOLAT GROUP PLC prediction models with Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) and Logistic Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the LON:HOTC stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:HOTC stock.**

**LON:HOTC, HOTEL CHOCOLAT GROUP PLC, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Fundemental Analysis with Algorithmic Trading
- Market Outlook
- Market Signals

## LON:HOTC Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider HOTEL CHOCOLAT GROUP PLC Stock Decision Process with Logistic Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:HOTC stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Logistic Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) $\begin{array}{l}\int {e}^{x}\mathrm{rx}\end{array}$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:HOTC stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## LON:HOTC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**LON:HOTC HOTEL CHOCOLAT GROUP PLC

**Time series to forecast n: 09 Sep 2022**for (n+1 year)

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:HOTC stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

HOTEL CHOCOLAT GROUP PLC assigned short-term Baa2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) with Logistic Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the LON:HOTC stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:HOTC stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for LON:HOTC Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Baa2 | Ba3 |

Operational Risk | 85 | 64 |

Market Risk | 60 | 33 |

Technical Analysis | 74 | 76 |

Fundamental Analysis | 67 | 77 |

Risk Unsystematic | 90 | 63 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

- F. A. Oliehoek, M. T. J. Spaan, and N. A. Vlassis. Optimal and approximate q-value functions for decentralized pomdps. J. Artif. Intell. Res. (JAIR), 32:289–353, 2008
- White H. 1992. Artificial Neural Networks: Approximation and Learning Theory. Oxford, UK: Blackwell
- D. S. Bernstein, S. Zilberstein, and N. Immerman. The complexity of decentralized control of Markov Decision Processes. In UAI '00: Proceedings of the 16th Conference in Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA, June 30 - July 3, 2000, pages 32–37, 2000.
- S. J. Russell and A. Zimdars. Q-decomposition for reinforcement learning agents. In Machine Learning, Proceedings of the Twentieth International Conference (ICML 2003), August 21-24, 2003, Washington, DC, USA, pages 656–663, 2003.
- Matzkin RL. 1994. Restrictions of economic theory in nonparametric methods. In Handbook of Econometrics, Vol. 4, ed. R Engle, D McFadden, pp. 2523–58. Amsterdam: Elsevier
- Farrell MH, Liang T, Misra S. 2018. Deep neural networks for estimation and inference: application to causal effects and other semiparametric estimands. arXiv:1809.09953 [econ.EM]
- M. Colby, T. Duchow-Pressley, J. J. Chung, and K. Tumer. Local approximation of difference evaluation functions. In Proceedings of the Fifteenth International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, Singapore, May 2016

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for LON:HOTC stock?A: LON:HOTC stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) and Logistic Regression

Q: Is LON:HOTC stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:HOTC Stock.

Q: Is HOTEL CHOCOLAT GROUP PLC stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for HOTEL CHOCOLAT GROUP PLC is Buy and assigned short-term Baa2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:HOTC stock?

A: The consensus rating for LON:HOTC is Buy.

Q: What is the prediction period for LON:HOTC stock?

A: The prediction period for LON:HOTC is (n+1 year)