Modelling A.I. in Economics

Buy, Sell, or Hold? (TTD Stock Forecast)

With technological advancements, big data can be easily generated and collected in many applications. Embedded in these big data are useful information and knowledge that can be discovered by machine learning and data mining models, techniques or algorithms. We evaluate Trade Desk (The) prediction models with Active Learning (ML) and Lasso Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the TTD stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell TTD stock.


Keywords: TTD, Trade Desk (The), stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Buy, Sell and Hold Signals
  2. How do predictive algorithms actually work?
  3. Operational Risk

TTD Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

The stock market has been an attractive field for a large number of organizers and investors to derive useful predictions. Fundamental knowledge of stock market can be utilised with technical indicators to investigate different perspectives of the financial market; also, the influence of various events, financial news, and/or opinions on investors' decisions and hence, market trends have been observed. Such information can be exploited to make reliable predictions and achieve higher profitability. Computational intelligence has emerged with various deep neural network (DNN) techniques to address complex stock market problems. We consider Trade Desk (The) Stock Decision Process with Lasso Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of TTD stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Lasso Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Active Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) r s rs

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of TTD stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

TTD Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: TTD Trade Desk (The)
Time series to forecast n: 10 Oct 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell TTD stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

Trade Desk (The) assigned short-term B1 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Active Learning (ML) with Lasso Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the TTD stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell TTD stock.

Financial State Forecast for TTD Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B1Baa2
Operational Risk 3280
Market Risk8048
Technical Analysis4387
Fundamental Analysis5960
Risk Unsystematic8587

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 86 out of 100 with 786 signals.

References

  1. Imbens GW, Lemieux T. 2008. Regression discontinuity designs: a guide to practice. J. Econom. 142:615–35
  2. Abadie A, Cattaneo MD. 2018. Econometric methods for program evaluation. Annu. Rev. Econ. 10:465–503
  3. M. Ono, M. Pavone, Y. Kuwata, and J. Balaram. Chance-constrained dynamic programming with application to risk-aware robotic space exploration. Autonomous Robots, 39(4):555–571, 2015
  4. Mullainathan S, Spiess J. 2017. Machine learning: an applied econometric approach. J. Econ. Perspect. 31:87–106
  5. G. Theocharous and A. Hallak. Lifetime value marketing using reinforcement learning. RLDM 2013, page 19, 2013
  6. Dudik M, Langford J, Li L. 2011. Doubly robust policy evaluation and learning. In Proceedings of the 28th International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 1097–104. La Jolla, CA: Int. Mach. Learn. Soc.
  7. F. A. Oliehoek and C. Amato. A Concise Introduction to Decentralized POMDPs. SpringerBriefs in Intelligent Systems. Springer, 2016
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for TTD stock?
A: TTD stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Active Learning (ML) and Lasso Regression
Q: Is TTD stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell TTD Stock.
Q: Is Trade Desk (The) stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Trade Desk (The) is Sell and assigned short-term B1 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of TTD stock?
A: The consensus rating for TTD is Sell.
Q: What is the prediction period for TTD stock?
A: The prediction period for TTD is (n+16 weeks)

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