Stock price forecasting is a popular and important topic in financial and academic studies. Share market is an volatile place for predicting since there are no significant rules to estimate or predict the price of a share in the share market. Many methods like technical analysis, fundamental analysis, time series analysis and statistical analysis etc. are used to predict the price in tie share market but none of these methods are proved as a consistently acceptable prediction tool. In this paper, we implemented a Random Forest approach to predict stock market prices. We evaluate ALPHA FINANCIAL MARKETS CONSULTING PLC prediction models with Inductive Learning (ML) and Factor1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:AFM stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:AFM stock.

Keywords: LON:AFM, ALPHA FINANCIAL MARKETS CONSULTING PLC, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

## Key Points

1. How do you know when a stock will go up or down?
2. What is the best way to predict stock prices?
3. What are the most successful trading algorithms?

## LON:AFM Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

Impact of many factors on the stock prices makes the stock prediction a difficult and highly complicated task. In this paper, machine learning techniques have been applied for the stock price prediction in order to overcome such difficulties. In the implemented work, five models have been developed and their performances are compared in predicting the stock market trends. We consider ALPHA FINANCIAL MARKETS CONSULTING PLC Stock Decision Process with Factor where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:AFM stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4

F(Factor)5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{a1}& {p}_{a2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Inductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+3 month) $∑ i = 1 n a i$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:AFM stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## LON:AFM Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+3 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:AFM ALPHA FINANCIAL MARKETS CONSULTING PLC
Time series to forecast n: 04 Oct 2022 for (n+3 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:AFM stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

## Conclusions

ALPHA FINANCIAL MARKETS CONSULTING PLC assigned short-term B1 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Inductive Learning (ML) with Factor1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:AFM stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:AFM stock.

### Financial State Forecast for LON:AFM Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B1B2
Operational Risk 3381
Market Risk7454
Technical Analysis5850
Fundamental Analysis7534
Risk Unsystematic5847

### Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 86 out of 100 with 516 signals.

## References

1. Bessler, D. A. T. Covey (1991), "Cointegration: Some results on U.S. cattle prices," Journal of Futures Markets, 11, 461–474.
2. C. Szepesvári. Algorithms for Reinforcement Learning. Synthesis Lectures on Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning. Morgan & Claypool Publishers, 2010
3. Andrews, D. W. K. (1993), "Tests for parameter instability and structural change with unknown change point," Econometrica, 61, 821–856.
4. Hastie T, Tibshirani R, Wainwright M. 2015. Statistical Learning with Sparsity: The Lasso and Generalizations. New York: CRC Press
5. Bengio Y, Schwenk H, Senécal JS, Morin F, Gauvain JL. 2006. Neural probabilistic language models. In Innovations in Machine Learning: Theory and Applications, ed. DE Holmes, pp. 137–86. Berlin: Springer
6. Imai K, Ratkovic M. 2013. Estimating treatment effect heterogeneity in randomized program evaluation. Ann. Appl. Stat. 7:443–70
7. Hastie T, Tibshirani R, Friedman J. 2009. The Elements of Statistical Learning. Berlin: Springer
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LON:AFM stock?
A: LON:AFM stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Inductive Learning (ML) and Factor
Q: Is LON:AFM stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:AFM Stock.
Q: Is ALPHA FINANCIAL MARKETS CONSULTING PLC stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for ALPHA FINANCIAL MARKETS CONSULTING PLC is Hold and assigned short-term B1 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:AFM stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:AFM is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:AFM stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:AFM is (n+3 month)