Modelling A.I. in Economics

How do you predict if a stock will go up or down? (LON:ZCC Stock Prediction)

It has never been easy to invest in a set of assets, the abnormally of financial market does not allow simple models to predict future asset values with higher accuracy. Machine learning, which consist of making computers perform tasks that normally requiring human intelligence is currently the dominant trend in scientific research. This article aims to build a model using Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) and especially Long-Short Term Memory model (LSTM) to predict future stock market values. We evaluate ZCCM INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS PLC prediction models with Transductive Learning (ML) and Spearman Correlation1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:ZCC stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:ZCC stock.


Keywords: LON:ZCC, ZCCM INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS PLC, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. How do you pick a stock?
  2. How do you decide buy or sell a stock?
  3. What are the most successful trading algorithms?

LON:ZCC Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

Stock market prediction is a major exertion in the field of finance and establishing businesses. Stock market is totally uncertain as the prices of stocks keep fluctuating on a daily basis because of numerous factors that influence it. One of the traditional ways of predicting stock prices was by using only historical data. But with time it was observed that other factors such as peoples' sentiments and other news events occurring in and around the country affect the stock market, for e.g. national elections, natural calamity etc. We consider ZCCM INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS PLC Stock Decision Process with Spearman Correlation where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:ZCC stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Spearman Correlation)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Transductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+8 weeks) R = r 1 r 2 r 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:ZCC stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:ZCC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+8 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:ZCC ZCCM INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS PLC
Time series to forecast n: 07 Oct 2022 for (n+8 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:ZCC stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

ZCCM INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS PLC assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Ba1 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) with Spearman Correlation1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:ZCC stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:ZCC stock.

Financial State Forecast for LON:ZCC Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba3Ba1
Operational Risk 7771
Market Risk5475
Technical Analysis8970
Fundamental Analysis6585
Risk Unsystematic3150

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 79 out of 100 with 812 signals.

References

  1. Mikolov T, Sutskever I, Chen K, Corrado GS, Dean J. 2013b. Distributed representations of words and phrases and their compositionality. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, Vol. 26, ed. Z Ghahramani, M Welling, C Cortes, ND Lawrence, KQ Weinberger, pp. 3111–19. San Diego, CA: Neural Inf. Process. Syst. Found.
  2. Athey S, Mobius MM, Pál J. 2017c. The impact of aggregators on internet news consumption. Unpublished manuscript, Grad. School Bus., Stanford Univ., Stanford, CA
  3. Y. Le Tallec. Robust, risk-sensitive, and data-driven control of Markov decision processes. PhD thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2007.
  4. R. Howard and J. Matheson. Risk sensitive Markov decision processes. Management Science, 18(7):356– 369, 1972
  5. Bai J. 2003. Inferential theory for factor models of large dimensions. Econometrica 71:135–71
  6. Candès EJ, Recht B. 2009. Exact matrix completion via convex optimization. Found. Comput. Math. 9:717
  7. L. Busoniu, R. Babuska, and B. D. Schutter. A comprehensive survey of multiagent reinforcement learning. IEEE Transactions of Systems, Man, and Cybernetics Part C: Applications and Reviews, 38(2), 2008.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LON:ZCC stock?
A: LON:ZCC stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) and Spearman Correlation
Q: Is LON:ZCC stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:ZCC Stock.
Q: Is ZCCM INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS PLC stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for ZCCM INVESTMENTS HOLDINGS PLC is Buy and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Ba1 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:ZCC stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:ZCC is Buy.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:ZCC stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:ZCC is (n+8 weeks)

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