Modelling A.I. in Economics

Is LON:ARV a Buy?

Stock market prediction is the act of trying to determine the future value of a company stock or other financial instrument traded on an exchange. The successful prediction of a stock's future price could yield significant profit. This paper will showcase how to perform stock prediction using Machine Learning algorithms. We evaluate ARTEMIS RESOURCES LIMITED prediction models with Multi-Task Learning (ML) and Factor1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:ARV stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:ARV stock.


Keywords: LON:ARV, ARTEMIS RESOURCES LIMITED, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Stock Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm
  2. What is prediction in deep learning?
  3. What are main components of Markov decision process?

LON:ARV Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

In modern financial market, the most crucial problem is to find essential approach to outline and visualizing the predictions in stock-markets to be made by individuals in order to attain maximum profit by investments. The stock market is a transformative, non-straight dynamical and complex system. Long term investment is one of the major investment decisions. Though, evaluating shares and calculating elementary values for companies for long term investment is difficult. In this paper we are going to present comparison of machine learning aided algorithms to evaluate the stock prices in the future to analyze market behaviour. We consider ARTEMIS RESOURCES LIMITED Stock Decision Process with Factor where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:ARV stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Factor)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Multi-Task Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) i = 1 n r i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:ARV stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:ARV Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:ARV ARTEMIS RESOURCES LIMITED
Time series to forecast n: 10 Oct 2022 for (n+6 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:ARV stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

ARTEMIS RESOURCES LIMITED assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Multi-Task Learning (ML) with Factor1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:ARV stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:ARV stock.

Financial State Forecast for LON:ARV Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba2Baa2
Operational Risk 9086
Market Risk8366
Technical Analysis4337
Fundamental Analysis4889
Risk Unsystematic7790

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 85 out of 100 with 511 signals.

References

  1. M. J. Hausknecht and P. Stone. Deep recurrent Q-learning for partially observable MDPs. CoRR, abs/1507.06527, 2015
  2. Bierens HJ. 1987. Kernel estimators of regression functions. In Advances in Econometrics: Fifth World Congress, Vol. 1, ed. TF Bewley, pp. 99–144. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Univ. Press
  3. S. Bhatnagar, H. Prasad, and L. Prashanth. Stochastic recursive algorithms for optimization, volume 434. Springer, 2013
  4. Sutton RS, Barto AG. 1998. Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
  5. Matzkin RL. 1994. Restrictions of economic theory in nonparametric methods. In Handbook of Econometrics, Vol. 4, ed. R Engle, D McFadden, pp. 2523–58. Amsterdam: Elsevier
  6. Bai J. 2003. Inferential theory for factor models of large dimensions. Econometrica 71:135–71
  7. L. Busoniu, R. Babuska, and B. D. Schutter. A comprehensive survey of multiagent reinforcement learning. IEEE Transactions of Systems, Man, and Cybernetics Part C: Applications and Reviews, 38(2), 2008.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LON:ARV stock?
A: LON:ARV stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Multi-Task Learning (ML) and Factor
Q: Is LON:ARV stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:ARV Stock.
Q: Is ARTEMIS RESOURCES LIMITED stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for ARTEMIS RESOURCES LIMITED is Hold and assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term Baa2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:ARV stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:ARV is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:ARV stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:ARV is (n+6 month)

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