Modelling A.I. in Economics

Is now good time to invest? (NSE KRBL Stock Forecast)

Stock market prediction is the act of trying to determine the future value of a company stock or other financial instrument traded on a financial exchange. The successful prediction of a stock's future price will maximize investor's gains. This paper proposes a machine learning model to predict stock market price. We evaluate KRBL Limited prediction models with Active Learning (ML) and Multiple Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE KRBL stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy NSE KRBL stock.


Keywords: NSE KRBL, KRBL Limited, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. How do predictive algorithms actually work?
  2. Investment Risk
  3. What is a prediction confidence?

NSE KRBL Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

Financial markets are fascinating if you can predict them. Also, the traders acting on financial markets produce a vast amount of information to analyse the consequences of investing according to the current market trends. Stock Market prediction is the technique to determine whether stock value will go up or down as it plays an active role in the financial gain of nation's economic status. We consider KRBL Limited Stock Decision Process with Multiple Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of NSE KRBL stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Multiple Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Active Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) R = 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of NSE KRBL stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

NSE KRBL Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: NSE KRBL KRBL Limited
Time series to forecast n: 03 Oct 2022 for (n+4 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy NSE KRBL stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

KRBL Limited assigned short-term B2 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Active Learning (ML) with Multiple Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the NSE KRBL stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy NSE KRBL stock.

Financial State Forecast for NSE KRBL Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2B2
Operational Risk 3362
Market Risk3833
Technical Analysis7047
Fundamental Analysis8370
Risk Unsystematic3632

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 89 out of 100 with 680 signals.

References

  1. G. Shani, R. Brafman, and D. Heckerman. An MDP-based recommender system. In Proceedings of the Eigh- teenth conference on Uncertainty in artificial intelligence, pages 453–460. Morgan Kaufmann Publishers Inc., 2002
  2. Chamberlain G. 2000. Econometrics and decision theory. J. Econom. 95:255–83
  3. Tibshirani R. 1996. Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso. J. R. Stat. Soc. B 58:267–88
  4. N. B ̈auerle and J. Ott. Markov decision processes with average-value-at-risk criteria. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 74(3):361–379, 2011
  5. Hill JL. 2011. Bayesian nonparametric modeling for causal inference. J. Comput. Graph. Stat. 20:217–40
  6. L. Busoniu, R. Babuska, and B. D. Schutter. A comprehensive survey of multiagent reinforcement learning. IEEE Transactions of Systems, Man, and Cybernetics Part C: Applications and Reviews, 38(2), 2008.
  7. Athey S, Imbens G. 2016. Recursive partitioning for heterogeneous causal effects. PNAS 113:7353–60
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for NSE KRBL stock?
A: NSE KRBL stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Active Learning (ML) and Multiple Regression
Q: Is NSE KRBL stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy NSE KRBL Stock.
Q: Is KRBL Limited stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for KRBL Limited is Buy and assigned short-term B2 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of NSE KRBL stock?
A: The consensus rating for NSE KRBL is Buy.
Q: What is the prediction period for NSE KRBL stock?
A: The prediction period for NSE KRBL is (n+4 weeks)

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