Modelling A.I. in Economics

LON:GOG Target Price Forecast (Forecast)

Stock prediction is a very hot topic in our life. However, in the early time, because of some reasons and the limitation of the device, only a few people had the access to the study. Thanks to the rapid development of science and technology, in recent years more and more people are devoted to the study of the prediction and it becomes easier and easier for us to make stock prediction by using different ways now, including machine learning, deep learning and so on. We evaluate GO-AHEAD GROUP PLC prediction models with Multi-Instance Learning (ML) and Spearman Correlation1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:GOG stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:GOG stock.


Keywords: LON:GOG, GO-AHEAD GROUP PLC, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Short/Long Term Stocks
  2. Investment Risk
  3. What statistical methods are used to analyze data?

LON:GOG Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

Machine learning addresses the question of how to build computers that improve automatically through experience. It is one of today's most rapidly growing technical fields, lying at the intersection of computer science and statistics, and at the core of artificial intelligence and data science. We consider GO-AHEAD GROUP PLC Stock Decision Process with Spearman Correlation where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:GOG stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Spearman Correlation)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Multi-Instance Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) r s rs

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:GOG stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:GOG Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:GOG GO-AHEAD GROUP PLC
Time series to forecast n: 20 Oct 2022 for (n+6 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:GOG stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

GO-AHEAD GROUP PLC assigned short-term B3 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Multi-Instance Learning (ML) with Spearman Correlation1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:GOG stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:GOG stock.

Financial State Forecast for LON:GOG Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B3B3
Operational Risk 4232
Market Risk6074
Technical Analysis5344
Fundamental Analysis5041
Risk Unsystematic4235

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 75 out of 100 with 826 signals.

References

  1. J. Filar, L. Kallenberg, and H. Lee. Variance-penalized Markov decision processes. Mathematics of Opera- tions Research, 14(1):147–161, 1989
  2. J. N. Foerster, Y. M. Assael, N. de Freitas, and S. Whiteson. Learning to communicate with deep multi-agent reinforcement learning. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 29: Annual Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems 2016, December 5-10, 2016, Barcelona, Spain, pages 2137–2145, 2016.
  3. G. J. Laurent, L. Matignon, and N. L. Fort-Piat. The world of independent learners is not Markovian. Int. J. Know.-Based Intell. Eng. Syst., 15(1):55–64, 2011
  4. Dimakopoulou M, Athey S, Imbens G. 2017. Estimation considerations in contextual bandits. arXiv:1711.07077 [stat.ML]
  5. Mazumder R, Hastie T, Tibshirani R. 2010. Spectral regularization algorithms for learning large incomplete matrices. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 11:2287–322
  6. G. J. Laurent, L. Matignon, and N. L. Fort-Piat. The world of independent learners is not Markovian. Int. J. Know.-Based Intell. Eng. Syst., 15(1):55–64, 2011
  7. Chipman HA, George EI, McCulloch RE. 2010. Bart: Bayesian additive regression trees. Ann. Appl. Stat. 4:266–98
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LON:GOG stock?
A: LON:GOG stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Multi-Instance Learning (ML) and Spearman Correlation
Q: Is LON:GOG stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LON:GOG Stock.
Q: Is GO-AHEAD GROUP PLC stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for GO-AHEAD GROUP PLC is Hold and assigned short-term B3 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:GOG stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:GOG is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:GOG stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:GOG is (n+6 month)

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