Modelling A.I. in Economics

Should I Buy Stocks Now or Wait Amid Such Uncertainty? (LON:CYAN Stock Prediction)

Machine Learning refers to a concept in which a machine has been programmed to learn specific patterns from historical data using powerful algorithms and make predictions in future based on the patterns it learnt. Machine learning is a branch of Artificial Intelligence (AI), the term proposed in 1959 by Arthur Samuel who defined it as the ability of computers or machines to learn new rules and concepts from data without being explicitly programmed. We evaluate CYANCONNODE HOLDINGS PLC prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Polynomial Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:CYAN stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to HoldWait until speculative trend diminishes LON:CYAN stock.


Keywords: LON:CYAN, CYANCONNODE HOLDINGS PLC, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.

Key Points

  1. Is it better to buy and sell or hold?
  2. Can neural networks predict stock market?
  3. Stock Rating

LON:CYAN Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

Recently, there has been a surge of interest in the use of machine learning to help aid in the accurate predictions of financial markets. Despite the exciting advances in this cross-section of finance and AI, many of the current approaches are limited to using technical analysis to capture historical trends of each stock price and thus limited to certain experimental setups to obtain good prediction results. On the other hand, professional investors additionally use their rich knowledge of inter-market and inter-company relations to map the connectivity of companies and events, and use this map to make better market predictions. For instance, they would predict the movement of a certain company's stock price based not only on its former stock price trends but also on the performance of its suppliers or customers, the overall industry, macroeconomic factors and trade policies. This paper investigates the effectiveness of work at the intersection of market predictions and graph neural networks, which hold the potential to mimic the ways in which investors make decisions by incorporating company knowledge graphs directly into the predictive model. We consider CYANCONNODE HOLDINGS PLC Stock Decision Process with Polynomial Regression where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:CYAN stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Polynomial Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+3 month) S = s 1 s 2 s 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:CYAN stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:CYAN Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+3 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:CYAN CYANCONNODE HOLDINGS PLC
Time series to forecast n: 15 Oct 2022 for (n+3 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to HoldWait until speculative trend diminishes LON:CYAN stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%


Conclusions

CYANCONNODE HOLDINGS PLC assigned short-term B2 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) with Polynomial Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the LON:CYAN stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to HoldWait until speculative trend diminishes LON:CYAN stock.

Financial State Forecast for LON:CYAN Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2B1
Operational Risk 6546
Market Risk4157
Technical Analysis4581
Fundamental Analysis4554
Risk Unsystematic8139

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 74 out of 100 with 825 signals.

References

  1. uyer, S. Whiteson, B. Bakker, and N. A. Vlassis. Multiagent reinforcement learning for urban traffic control using coordination graphs. In Machine Learning and Knowledge Discovery in Databases, European Conference, ECML/PKDD 2008, Antwerp, Belgium, September 15-19, 2008, Proceedings, Part I, pages 656–671, 2008.
  2. Athey S, Imbens GW. 2017a. The econometrics of randomized experiments. In Handbook of Economic Field Experiments, Vol. 1, ed. E Duflo, A Banerjee, pp. 73–140. Amsterdam: Elsevier
  3. Hornik K, Stinchcombe M, White H. 1989. Multilayer feedforward networks are universal approximators. Neural Netw. 2:359–66
  4. Chen X. 2007. Large sample sieve estimation of semi-nonparametric models. In Handbook of Econometrics, Vol. 6B, ed. JJ Heckman, EE Learner, pp. 5549–632. Amsterdam: Elsevier
  5. Zou H, Hastie T. 2005. Regularization and variable selection via the elastic net. J. R. Stat. Soc. B 67:301–20
  6. S. Bhatnagar, H. Prasad, and L. Prashanth. Stochastic recursive algorithms for optimization, volume 434. Springer, 2013
  7. A. K. Agogino and K. Tumer. Analyzing and visualizing multiagent rewards in dynamic and stochastic environments. Journal of Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems, 17(2):320–338, 2008
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LON:CYAN stock?
A: LON:CYAN stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Polynomial Regression
Q: Is LON:CYAN stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to HoldWait until speculative trend diminishes LON:CYAN Stock.
Q: Is CYANCONNODE HOLDINGS PLC stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for CYANCONNODE HOLDINGS PLC is HoldWait until speculative trend diminishes and assigned short-term B2 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:CYAN stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:CYAN is HoldWait until speculative trend diminishes.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:CYAN stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:CYAN is (n+3 month)



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