Three networks are compared for low false alarm stock trend predictions. Short-term trends, particularly attractive for neural network analysis, can be used profitably in scenarios such as option trading, but only with significant risk. Therefore, we focus on limiting false alarms, which improves the risk/reward ratio by preventing losses. To predict stock trends, we exploit time delay, recurrent, and probabilistic neural networks (TDNN, RNN, and PNN, respectively), utilizing conjugate gradient and multistream extended Kalman filter training for TDNN and RNN.** We evaluate Airbnb prediction models with Transfer Learning (ML) and Independent T-Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the ABNB stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy ABNB stock.**

**ABNB, Airbnb, stock forecast, machine learning based prediction, risk rating, buy-sell behaviour, stock analysis, target price analysis, options and futures.**

*Keywords:*## Key Points

- Can stock prices be predicted?
- Is now good time to invest?
- How accurate is machine learning in stock market?

## ABNB Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

One decision in Stock Market can make huge impact on an investor's life. The stock market is a complex system and often covered in mystery, it is therefore, very difficult to analyze all the impacting factors before making a decision. In this research, we have tried to design a stock market prediction model which is based on different factors. We consider Airbnb Stock Decision Process with Independent T-Test where A is the set of discrete actions of ABNB stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Independent T-Test)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Transfer Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({r}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of ABNB stock

j:Nash equilibria

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## ABNB Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**ABNB Airbnb

**Time series to forecast n: 07 Oct 2022**for (n+1 year)

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy ABNB stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Conclusions

Airbnb assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Transfer Learning (ML) with Independent T-Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the ABNB stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy ABNB stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for ABNB Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B2 | Ba3 |

Operational Risk | 64 | 90 |

Market Risk | 48 | 33 |

Technical Analysis | 41 | 62 |

Fundamental Analysis | 37 | 80 |

Risk Unsystematic | 80 | 59 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for ABNB stock?A: ABNB stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transfer Learning (ML) and Independent T-Test

Q: Is ABNB stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy ABNB Stock.

Q: Is Airbnb stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Airbnb is Buy and assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of ABNB stock?

A: The consensus rating for ABNB is Buy.

Q: What is the prediction period for ABNB stock?

A: The prediction period for ABNB is (n+1 year)