## Summary

Market systems are so complex that they overwhelm the ability of any individual to predict. But it is crucial for the investors to predict stock market price to generate notable profit. We have taken into factors such as Commodity Prices (crude oil, gold, silver), Market History, and Foreign exchange rate (FEX) that influence the stock trend.** We evaluate RattanIndia Power Limited prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis) and Polynomial Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the NSE RTNPOWER stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE RTNPOWER stock.**

## Key Points

- What is a prediction confidence?
- What is neural prediction?
- Can statistics predict the future?

## NSE RTNPOWER Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider RattanIndia Power Limited Stock Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of NSE RTNPOWER stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Polynomial Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) $R=\left(\begin{array}{ccc}1& 0& 0\\ 0& 1& 0\\ 0& 0& 1\end{array}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of NSE RTNPOWER stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## NSE RTNPOWER Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**NSE RTNPOWER RattanIndia Power Limited

**Time series to forecast n: 21 Nov 2022**for (n+6 month)

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE RTNPOWER stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Adjusted IFRS* Prediction Methods for RattanIndia Power Limited

- If a put option written by an entity prevents a transferred asset from being derecognised and the entity measures the transferred asset at fair value, the associated liability is measured at the option exercise price plus the time value of the option. The measurement of the asset at fair value is limited to the lower of the fair value and the option exercise price because the entity has no right to increases in the fair value of the transferred asset above the exercise price of the option. This ensures that the net carrying amount of the asset and the associated liability is the fair value of the put option obligation. For example, if the fair value of the underlying asset is CU120, the option exercise price is CU100 and the time value of the option is CU5, the carrying amount of the associated liability is CU105 (CU100 + CU5) and the carrying amount of the asset is CU100 (in this case the option exercise price).
- The characteristics of the hedged item, including how and when the hedged item affects profit or loss, also affect the period over which the forward element of a forward contract that hedges a time-period related hedged item is amortised, which is over the period to which the forward element relates. For example, if a forward contract hedges the exposure to variability in threemonth interest rates for a three-month period that starts in six months' time, the forward element is amortised during the period that spans months seven to nine.
- IFRS 17, issued in May 2017, amended paragraphs 2.1, B2.1, B2.4, B2.5 and B4.1.30, and added paragraph 3.3.5. Amendments to IFRS 17, issued in June 2020, further amended paragraph 2.1 and added paragraphs 7.2.36‒7.2.42. An entity shall apply those amendments when it applies IFRS 17.
- Compared to a business model whose objective is to hold financial assets to collect contractual cash flows, this business model will typically involve greater frequency and value of sales. This is because selling financial assets is integral to achieving the business model's objective instead of being only incidental to it. However, there is no threshold for the frequency or value of sales that must occur in this business model because both collecting contractual cash flows and selling financial assets are integral to achieving its objective.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a set of accounting rules for the financial statements of public companies that are intended to make them consistent, transparent, and easily comparable around the world.

## Conclusions

RattanIndia Power Limited assigned short-term B3 & long-term Ba1 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis) with Polynomial Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the NSE RTNPOWER stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE RTNPOWER stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for NSE RTNPOWER RattanIndia Power Limited Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B3 | Ba1 |

Operational Risk | 68 | 58 |

Market Risk | 59 | 52 |

Technical Analysis | 39 | 76 |

Fundamental Analysis | 47 | 81 |

Risk Unsystematic | 45 | 88 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- Ashley, R. (1988), "On the relative worth of recent macroeconomic forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, 4, 363–376.
- Holland PW. 1986. Statistics and causal inference. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 81:945–60
- Abadie A, Imbens GW. 2011. Bias-corrected matching estimators for average treatment effects. J. Bus. Econ. Stat. 29:1–11
- Tibshirani R. 1996. Regression shrinkage and selection via the lasso. J. R. Stat. Soc. B 58:267–88
- LeCun Y, Bengio Y, Hinton G. 2015. Deep learning. Nature 521:436–44
- Breusch, T. S. (1978), "Testing for autocorrelation in dynamic linear models," Australian Economic Papers, 17, 334–355.

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for NSE RTNPOWER stock?A: NSE RTNPOWER stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Speculative Sentiment Analysis) and Polynomial Regression

Q: Is NSE RTNPOWER stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold NSE RTNPOWER Stock.

Q: Is RattanIndia Power Limited stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for RattanIndia Power Limited is Hold and assigned short-term B3 & long-term Ba1 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of NSE RTNPOWER stock?

A: The consensus rating for NSE RTNPOWER is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for NSE RTNPOWER stock?

A: The prediction period for NSE RTNPOWER is (n+6 month)

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