**Outlook:**American Rebel Holdings Inc. Common Stock assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.

**Dominant Strategy :**Hold

**Time series to forecast n: 15 Dec 2022**for (n+1 year)

**Methodology :**Statistical Inference (ML)

## Abstract

In this paper a Bayesian regularized artificial neural network is proposed as a novel method to forecast financial market behavior. Daily market prices and financial technical indicators are utilized as inputs to predict the one day future closing price of individual stocks. The prediction of stock price movement is generally considered to be a challenging and important task for financial time series analysis. (Sakhare, N.N. and Imambi, S.S., 2019. Performance analysis of regression based machine learning techniques for prediction of stock market movement. International Journal of Recent Technology and Engineering, 7(6), pp.655-662.)** We evaluate American Rebel Holdings Inc. Common Stock prediction models with Statistical Inference (ML) and Logistic Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the AREB stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold**

## Key Points

- Market Outlook
- What is prediction in deep learning?
- Can we predict stock market using machine learning?

## AREB Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider American Rebel Holdings Inc. Common Stock Decision Process with Statistical Inference (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of AREB stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Logistic Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({r}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of AREB stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## AREB Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**AREB American Rebel Holdings Inc. Common Stock

**Time series to forecast n: 15 Dec 2022**for (n+1 year)

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%**

## Adjusted IFRS* Prediction Methods for American Rebel Holdings Inc. Common Stock

- The accounting for the forward element of forward contracts in accordance with paragraph 6.5.16 applies only to the extent that the forward element relates to the hedged item (aligned forward element). The forward element of a forward contract relates to the hedged item if the critical terms of the forward contract (such as the nominal amount, life and underlying) are aligned with the hedged item. Hence, if the critical terms of the forward contract and the hedged item are not fully aligned, an entity shall determine the aligned forward element, ie how much of the forward element included in the forward contract (actual forward element) relates to the hedged item (and therefore should be treated in accordance with paragraph 6.5.16). An entity determines the aligned forward element using the valuation of the forward contract that would have critical terms that perfectly match the hedged item.
- The methods used to determine whether credit risk has increased significantly on a financial instrument since initial recognition should consider the characteristics of the financial instrument (or group of financial instruments) and the default patterns in the past for comparable financial instruments. Despite the requirement in paragraph 5.5.9, for financial instruments for which default patterns are not concentrated at a specific point during the expected life of the financial instrument, changes in the risk of a default occurring over the next 12 months may be a reasonable approximation of the changes in the lifetime risk of a default occurring. In such cases, an entity may use changes in the risk of a default occurring over the next 12 months to determine whether credit risk has increased significantly since initial recognition, unless circumstances indicate that a lifetime assessment is necessary
- Conversely, if changes in the extent of offset indicate that the fluctuation is around a hedge ratio that is different from the hedge ratio that is currently used for that hedging relationship, or that there is a trend leading away from that hedge ratio, hedge ineffectiveness can be reduced by adjusting the hedge ratio, whereas retaining the hedge ratio would increasingly produce hedge ineffectiveness. Hence, in such circumstances, an entity must evaluate whether the hedging relationship reflects an imbalance between the weightings of the hedged item and the hedging instrument that would create hedge ineffectiveness (irrespective of whether recognised or not) that could result in an accounting outcome that would be inconsistent with the purpose of hedge accounting. If the hedge ratio is adjusted, it also affects the measurement and recognition of hedge ineffectiveness because, on rebalancing, the hedge ineffectiveness of the hedging relationship must be determined and recognised immediately before adjusting the hedging relationship in accordance with paragraph B6.5.8.
- A firm commitment to acquire a business in a business combination cannot be a hedged item, except for foreign currency risk, because the other risks being hedged cannot be specifically identified and measured. Those other risks are general business risks.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a set of accounting rules for the financial statements of public companies that are intended to make them consistent, transparent, and easily comparable around the world.

## Conclusions

American Rebel Holdings Inc. Common Stock assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) with Logistic Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the AREB stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold**

### Financial State Forecast for AREB American Rebel Holdings Inc. Common Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Ba1 | B1 |

Operational Risk | 50 | 46 |

Market Risk | 86 | 88 |

Technical Analysis | 69 | 52 |

Fundamental Analysis | 64 | 47 |

Risk Unsystematic | 82 | 48 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- White H. 1992. Artificial Neural Networks: Approximation and Learning Theory. Oxford, UK: Blackwell
- L. Prashanth and M. Ghavamzadeh. Actor-critic algorithms for risk-sensitive MDPs. In Proceedings of Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 26, pages 252–260, 2013.
- Nie X, Wager S. 2019. Quasi-oracle estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects. arXiv:1712.04912 [stat.ML]
- Mnih A, Teh YW. 2012. A fast and simple algorithm for training neural probabilistic language models. In Proceedings of the 29th International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 419–26. La Jolla, CA: Int. Mach. Learn. Soc.
- K. Tumer and D. Wolpert. A survey of collectives. In K. Tumer and D. Wolpert, editors, Collectives and the Design of Complex Systems, pages 1–42. Springer, 2004.

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for AREB stock?A: AREB stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) and Logistic Regression

Q: Is AREB stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold AREB Stock.

Q: Is American Rebel Holdings Inc. Common Stock stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for American Rebel Holdings Inc. Common Stock is Hold and assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of AREB stock?

A: The consensus rating for AREB is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for AREB stock?

A: The prediction period for AREB is (n+1 year)