Modelling A.I. in Economics

DTC DAMSTRA HOLDINGS LIMITED (Forecast)

Outlook: DAMSTRA HOLDINGS LIMITED assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n: 17 Dec 2022 for (n+16 weeks)
Methodology : Transductive Learning (ML)

Abstract

Stock market or Share market is one of the most complicated and sophisticated way to do business. Small ownerships, brokerage corporations, banking sector, all depend on this very body to make revenue and divide risks; a very complicated model. However, this paper proposes to use machine learning algorithm to predict the future stock price for exchange by using open source libraries and preexisting algorithms to help make this unpredictable format of business a little more predictable.(Vadlamudi, S., 2017. Stock Market Prediction using Machine Learning: A Systematic Literature Review. American Journal of Trade and Policy, 4(3), pp.123-128.) We evaluate DAMSTRA HOLDINGS LIMITED prediction models with Transductive Learning (ML) and Ridge Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the DTC stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold

Key Points

  1. Can we predict stock market using machine learning?
  2. Trust metric by Neural Network
  3. How do predictive algorithms actually work?

DTC Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider DAMSTRA HOLDINGS LIMITED Decision Process with Transductive Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of DTC stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Ridge Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Transductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) i = 1 n s i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of DTC stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

DTC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: DTC DAMSTRA HOLDINGS LIMITED
Time series to forecast n: 17 Dec 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

Adjusted IFRS* Prediction Methods for DAMSTRA HOLDINGS LIMITED

  1. However, the fact that a financial asset is non-recourse does not in itself necessarily preclude the financial asset from meeting the condition in paragraphs 4.1.2(b) and 4.1.2A(b). In such situations, the creditor is required to assess ('look through to') the particular underlying assets or cash flows to determine whether the contractual cash flows of the financial asset being classified are payments of principal and interest on the principal amount outstanding. If the terms of the financial asset give rise to any other cash flows or limit the cash flows in a manner inconsistent with payments representing principal and interest, the financial asset does not meet the condition in paragraphs 4.1.2(b) and 4.1.2A(b). Whether the underlying assets are financial assets or non-financial assets does not in itself affect this assessment.
  2. An entity shall apply Prepayment Features with Negative Compensation (Amendments to IFRS 9) retrospectively in accordance with IAS 8, except as specified in paragraphs 7.2.30–7.2.34
  3. Paragraph 6.3.4 permits an entity to designate as hedged items aggregated exposures that are a combination of an exposure and a derivative. When designating such a hedged item, an entity assesses whether the aggregated exposure combines an exposure with a derivative so that it creates a different aggregated exposure that is managed as one exposure for a particular risk (or risks). In that case, the entity may designate the hedged item on the basis of the aggregated exposure
  4. When an entity designates a financial liability as at fair value through profit or loss, it must determine whether presenting in other comprehensive income the effects of changes in the liability's credit risk would create or enlarge an accounting mismatch in profit or loss. An accounting mismatch would be created or enlarged if presenting the effects of changes in the liability's credit risk in other comprehensive income would result in a greater mismatch in profit or loss than if those amounts were presented in profit or loss

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a set of accounting rules for the financial statements of public companies that are intended to make them consistent, transparent, and easily comparable around the world.

Conclusions

DAMSTRA HOLDINGS LIMITED assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) with Ridge Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the DTC stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold

Financial State Forecast for DTC DAMSTRA HOLDINGS LIMITED Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2Ba3
Operational Risk 4064
Market Risk7155
Technical Analysis7780
Fundamental Analysis4858
Risk Unsystematic5270

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 92 out of 100 with 668 signals.

References

  1. D. White. Mean, variance, and probabilistic criteria in finite Markov decision processes: A review. Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, 56(1):1–29, 1988.
  2. S. Bhatnagar, R. Sutton, M. Ghavamzadeh, and M. Lee. Natural actor-critic algorithms. Automatica, 45(11): 2471–2482, 2009
  3. J. Spall. Multivariate stochastic approximation using a simultaneous perturbation gradient approximation. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 37(3):332–341, 1992.
  4. J. Spall. Multivariate stochastic approximation using a simultaneous perturbation gradient approximation. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 37(3):332–341, 1992.
  5. M. Ono, M. Pavone, Y. Kuwata, and J. Balaram. Chance-constrained dynamic programming with application to risk-aware robotic space exploration. Autonomous Robots, 39(4):555–571, 2015
  6. R. Sutton and A. Barto. Introduction to reinforcement learning. MIT Press, 1998
  7. Robins J, Rotnitzky A. 1995. Semiparametric efficiency in multivariate regression models with missing data. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 90:122–29
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for DTC stock?
A: DTC stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) and Ridge Regression
Q: Is DTC stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold DTC Stock.
Q: Is DAMSTRA HOLDINGS LIMITED stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for DAMSTRA HOLDINGS LIMITED is Hold and assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of DTC stock?
A: The consensus rating for DTC is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for DTC stock?
A: The prediction period for DTC is (n+16 weeks)

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