Outlook: Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. Common Stock assigned short-term B2 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Dominant Strategy : Buy
Time series to forecast n: 06 Dec 2022 for (n+1 year)
Methodology : Inductive Learning (ML)

## Abstract

The stock market prediction has attracted much attention from academia as well as business. Due to the non-linear, volatile and complex nature of the market, it is quite difficult to predict. As the stock markets grow bigger, more investors pay attention to develop a systematic approach to predict the stock market.(Yoon, Y. and Swales, G., 1991, January. Predicting stock price performance: A neural network approach. In Proceedings of the twenty-fourth annual Hawaii international conference on system sciences (Vol. 4, pp. 156-162). IEEE.) We evaluate Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. Common Stock prediction models with Inductive Learning (ML) and Pearson Correlation1,2,3,4 and conclude that the ICMB stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy ICMB stock.

## Key Points

1. Is now good time to invest?
2. Dominated Move
3. Market Risk

## ICMB Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. Common Stock Decision Process with Inductive Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of ICMB stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4

F(Pearson Correlation)5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{a1}& {p}_{a2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Inductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) $\begin{array}{l}\int {e}^{x}\mathrm{rx}\end{array}$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of ICMB stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## ICMB Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: ICMB Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. Common Stock
Time series to forecast n: 06 Dec 2022 for (n+1 year)

According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy ICMB stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

## Adjusted IFRS* Prediction Methods for Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. Common Stock

1. If an entity prepares interim financial reports in accordance with IAS 34 Interim Financial Reporting the entity need not apply the requirements in this Standard to interim periods prior to the date of initial application if it is impracticable (as defined in IAS 8).
2. When measuring hedge ineffectiveness, an entity shall consider the time value of money. Consequently, the entity determines the value of the hedged item on a present value basis and therefore the change in the value of the hedged item also includes the effect of the time value of money.
3. A layer component that includes a prepayment option is not eligible to be designated as a hedged item in a fair value hedge if the prepayment option's fair value is affected by changes in the hedged risk, unless the designated layer includes the effect of the related prepayment option when determining the change in the fair value of the hedged item.
4. An entity shall apply the amendments to IFRS 9 made by IFRS 17 as amended in June 2020 retrospectively in accordance with IAS 8, except as specified in paragraphs 7.2.37–7.2.42.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a set of accounting rules for the financial statements of public companies that are intended to make them consistent, transparent, and easily comparable around the world.

## Conclusions

Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. Common Stock assigned short-term B2 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Inductive Learning (ML) with Pearson Correlation1,2,3,4 and conclude that the ICMB stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy ICMB stock.

### Financial State Forecast for ICMB Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. Common Stock Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2B2
Operational Risk 5347
Market Risk4033
Technical Analysis3756
Fundamental Analysis8544
Risk Unsystematic6369

### Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 91 out of 100 with 629 signals.

## References

1. Wan M, Wang D, Goldman M, Taddy M, Rao J, et al. 2017. Modeling consumer preferences and price sensitiv- ities from large-scale grocery shopping transaction logs. In Proceedings of the 26th International Conference on the World Wide Web, pp. 1103–12. New York: ACM
2. Çetinkaya, A., Zhang, Y.Z., Hao, Y.M. and Ma, X.Y., How do you decide buy or sell a stock?(SAIC Stock Forecast). AC Investment Research Journal, 101(3).
3. A. Tamar, Y. Glassner, and S. Mannor. Policy gradients beyond expectations: Conditional value-at-risk. In AAAI, 2015
4. Dimakopoulou M, Zhou Z, Athey S, Imbens G. 2018. Balanced linear contextual bandits. arXiv:1812.06227 [cs.LG]
5. Athey S, Tibshirani J, Wager S. 2016b. Generalized random forests. arXiv:1610.01271 [stat.ME]
6. Alpaydin E. 2009. Introduction to Machine Learning. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
7. Banerjee, A., J. J. Dolado, J. W. Galbraith, D. F. Hendry (1993), Co-integration, Error-correction, and the Econometric Analysis of Non-stationary Data. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for ICMB stock?
A: ICMB stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Inductive Learning (ML) and Pearson Correlation
Q: Is ICMB stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy ICMB Stock.
Q: Is Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. Common Stock stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Investcorp Credit Management BDC Inc. Common Stock is Buy and assigned short-term B2 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of ICMB stock?
A: The consensus rating for ICMB is Buy.
Q: What is the prediction period for ICMB stock?
A: The prediction period for ICMB is (n+1 year)

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