**Outlook:**Manchester United Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.

**Dominant Strategy :**Buy

**Time series to forecast n: 21 Dec 2022**for (n+16 weeks)

**Methodology :**Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis)

## Abstract

The stock market has been an attractive field for a large number of organizers and investors to derive useful predictions. Fundamental knowledge of stock market can be utilised with technical indicators to investigate different perspectives of the financial market; also, the influence of various events, financial news, and/or opinions on investors' decisions and hence, market trends have been observed. Such information can be exploited to make reliable predictions and achieve higher profitability. Computational intelligence has emerged with various deep neural network (DNN) techniques to address complex stock market problems.(Madeeh, O.D. and Abdullah, H.S., 2021, February. An efficient prediction model based on machine learning techniques for prediction of the stock market. In Journal of Physics: Conference Series (Vol. 1804, No. 1, p. 012008). IOP Publishing.)** We evaluate Manchester United Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) and Statistical Hypothesis Testing ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the MANU stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy**

## Key Points

- Technical Analysis with Algorithmic Trading
- What statistical methods are used to analyze data?
- Can statistics predict the future?

## MANU Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Manchester United Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of MANU stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Statistical Hypothesis Testing)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) $R=\left(\begin{array}{ccc}1& 0& 0\\ 0& 1& 0\\ 0& 0& 1\end{array}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of MANU stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## MANU Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**MANU Manchester United Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares

**Time series to forecast n: 21 Dec 2022**for (n+16 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%**

## IFRS Reconciliation Adjustments for Manchester United Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares

- The purpose of estimating expected credit losses is neither to estimate a worstcase scenario nor to estimate the best-case scenario. Instead, an estimate of expected credit losses shall always reflect the possibility that a credit loss occurs and the possibility that no credit loss occurs even if the most likely outcome is no credit loss.
- In addition to those hedging relationships specified in paragraph 6.9.1, an entity shall apply the requirements in paragraphs 6.9.11 and 6.9.12 to new hedging relationships in which an alternative benchmark rate is designated as a non-contractually specified risk component (see paragraphs 6.3.7(a) and B6.3.8) when, because of interest rate benchmark reform, that risk component is not separately identifiable at the date it is designated.
- This Standard does not specify a method for assessing whether a hedging relationship meets the hedge effectiveness requirements. However, an entity shall use a method that captures the relevant characteristics of the hedging relationship including the sources of hedge ineffectiveness. Depending on those factors, the method can be a qualitative or a quantitative assessment.
- Interest Rate Benchmark Reform, which amended IFRS 9, IAS 39 and IFRS 7, issued in September 2019, added Section 6.8 and amended paragraph 7.2.26. An entity shall apply these amendments for annual periods beginning on or after 1 January 2020. Earlier application is permitted. If an entity applies these amendments for an earlier period, it shall disclose that fact.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

## Conclusions

Manchester United Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) with Statistical Hypothesis Testing ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the MANU stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy**

### MANU Manchester United Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares Financial Analysis*

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Ba1 | Ba1 |

Income Statement | Ba2 | B3 |

Balance Sheet | Baa2 | Baa2 |

Leverage Ratios | B1 | C |

Cash Flow | Baa2 | C |

Rates of Return and Profitability | B2 | C |

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.

How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

- Candès E, Tao T. 2007. The Dantzig selector: statistical estimation when p is much larger than n. Ann. Stat. 35:2313–51
- Matzkin RL. 2007. Nonparametric identification. In Handbook of Econometrics, Vol. 6B, ed. J Heckman, E Learner, pp. 5307–68. Amsterdam: Elsevier
- Bessler, D. A. R. A. Babula, (1987), "Forecasting wheat exports: Do exchange rates matter?" Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 5, 397–406.
- Chen X. 2007. Large sample sieve estimation of semi-nonparametric models. In Handbook of Econometrics, Vol. 6B, ed. JJ Heckman, EE Learner, pp. 5549–632. Amsterdam: Elsevier
- E. Altman. Constrained Markov decision processes, volume 7. CRC Press, 1999
- Arora S, Li Y, Liang Y, Ma T. 2016. RAND-WALK: a latent variable model approach to word embeddings. Trans. Assoc. Comput. Linguist. 4:385–99
- Greene WH. 2000. Econometric Analysis. Upper Saddle River, N J: Prentice Hall. 4th ed.

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for MANU stock?A: MANU stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) and Statistical Hypothesis Testing

Q: Is MANU stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy MANU Stock.

Q: Is Manchester United Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Manchester United Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares is Buy and assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of MANU stock?

A: The consensus rating for MANU is Buy.

Q: What is the prediction period for MANU stock?

A: The prediction period for MANU is (n+16 weeks)