**Outlook:**Moxian (BVI) Inc Ordinary Shares assigned short-term Caa2 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.

**Dominant Strategy :**Buy

**Time series to forecast n: 19 Dec 2022**for (n+1 year)

**Methodology :**Modular Neural Network (Social Media Sentiment Analysis)

## Abstract

Stock price forecasting is a popular and important topic in financial and academic studies. Share market is an volatile place for predicting since there are no significant rules to estimate or predict the price of a share in the share market. Many methods like technical analysis, fundamental analysis, time series analysis and statistical analysis etc. are used to predict the price in tie share market but none of these methods are proved as a consistently acceptable prediction tool. In this paper, we implemented a Random Forest approach to predict stock market prices. (Mokhtari, S., Yen, K.K. and Liu, J., 2021. Effectiveness of artificial intelligence in stock market prediction based on machine learning. arXiv preprint arXiv:2107.01031.)** We evaluate Moxian (BVI) Inc Ordinary Shares prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Social Media Sentiment Analysis) and Independent T-Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the MOXC stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy**

## Key Points

- Stock Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm
- What are main components of Markov decision process?
- Is now good time to invest?

## MOXC Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Moxian (BVI) Inc Ordinary Shares Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Social Media Sentiment Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of MOXC stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Independent T-Test)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Social Media Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+1 year) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({s}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of MOXC stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## MOXC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+1 year)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**MOXC Moxian (BVI) Inc Ordinary Shares

**Time series to forecast n: 19 Dec 2022**for (n+1 year)

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%**

## Adjusted IFRS* Prediction Methods for Moxian (BVI) Inc Ordinary Shares

- That the transferee is unlikely to sell the transferred asset does not, of itself, mean that the transferor has retained control of the transferred asset. However, if a put option or guarantee constrains the transferee from selling the transferred asset, then the transferor has retained control of the transferred asset. For example, if a put option or guarantee is sufficiently valuable it constrains the transferee from selling the transferred asset because the transferee would, in practice, not sell the transferred asset to a third party without attaching a similar option or other restrictive conditions. Instead, the transferee would hold the transferred asset so as to obtain payments under the guarantee or put option. Under these circumstances the transferor has retained control of the transferred asset.
- A net position is eligible for hedge accounting only if an entity hedges on a net basis for risk management purposes. Whether an entity hedges in this way is a matter of fact (not merely of assertion or documentation). Hence, an entity cannot apply hedge accounting on a net basis solely to achieve a particular accounting outcome if that would not reflect its risk management approach. Net position hedging must form part of an established risk management strategy. Normally this would be approved by key management personnel as defined in IAS 24.
- When using historical credit loss experience in estimating expected credit losses, it is important that information about historical credit loss rates is applied to groups that are defined in a manner that is consistent with the groups for which the historical credit loss rates were observed. Consequently, the method used shall enable each group of financial assets to be associated with information about past credit loss experience in groups of financial assets with similar risk characteristics and with relevant observable data that reflects current conditions.
- Amounts presented in other comprehensive income shall not be subsequently transferred to profit or loss. However, the entity may transfer the cumulative gain or loss within equity.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a set of accounting rules for the financial statements of public companies that are intended to make them consistent, transparent, and easily comparable around the world.

## Conclusions

Moxian (BVI) Inc Ordinary Shares assigned short-term Caa2 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Social Media Sentiment Analysis) with Independent T-Test ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the MOXC stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+1 year) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy**

### Financial State Forecast for MOXC Moxian (BVI) Inc Ordinary Shares Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Caa2 | B1 |

Operational Risk | 38 | 37 |

Market Risk | 74 | 65 |

Technical Analysis | 36 | 72 |

Fundamental Analysis | 51 | 47 |

Risk Unsystematic | 30 | 83 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

- K. Tuyls and G. Weiss. Multiagent learning: Basics, challenges, and prospects. AI Magazine, 33(3): 41–52, 2012
- J. Filar, L. Kallenberg, and H. Lee. Variance-penalized Markov decision processes. Mathematics of Opera- tions Research, 14(1):147–161, 1989
- Chen, C. L. Liu (1993), "Joint estimation of model parameters and outlier effects in time series," Journal of the American Statistical Association, 88, 284–297.
- N. B ̈auerle and J. Ott. Markov decision processes with average-value-at-risk criteria. Mathematical Methods of Operations Research, 74(3):361–379, 2011
- Bertsimas D, King A, Mazumder R. 2016. Best subset selection via a modern optimization lens. Ann. Stat. 44:813–52
- S. Bhatnagar, H. Prasad, and L. Prashanth. Stochastic recursive algorithms for optimization, volume 434. Springer, 2013
- Mikolov T, Chen K, Corrado GS, Dean J. 2013a. Efficient estimation of word representations in vector space. arXiv:1301.3781 [cs.CL]

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for MOXC stock?A: MOXC stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Social Media Sentiment Analysis) and Independent T-Test

Q: Is MOXC stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy MOXC Stock.

Q: Is Moxian (BVI) Inc Ordinary Shares stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Moxian (BVI) Inc Ordinary Shares is Buy and assigned short-term Caa2 & long-term B1 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of MOXC stock?

A: The consensus rating for MOXC is Buy.

Q: What is the prediction period for MOXC stock?

A: The prediction period for MOXC is (n+1 year)