Modelling A.I. in Economics

PRIF^G Priority Income Fund Inc. 6.25% Series G Preferred Stock Due 2026 (Forecast)

Buy

Hold

Sell

Speculative

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Outlook: Priority Income Fund Inc. 6.25% Series G Preferred Stock Due 2026 assigned short-term B3 & long-term Ba1 forecasted stock rating.
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n: 06 Dec 2022 for (n+6 month)

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Abstract

The stock market is one of the key sectors of a country's economy. It provides investors with an opportunity to invest and gain returns on their investment. Predicting the stock market is a very challenging task and has attracted serious interest from researchers from many fields such as statistics, artificial intelligence, economics, and finance. An accurate prediction of the stock market reduces investment risk in the market. Different approaches have been used to predict the stock market. The performances of Machine learning (ML) models are typically superior to those of statistical and econometric models. (Obthong, M., Tantisantiwong, N., Jeamwatthanachai, W. and Wills, G., 2020. A survey on machine learning for stock price prediction: algorithms and techniques.) We evaluate Priority Income Fund Inc. 6.25% Series G Preferred Stock Due 2026 prediction models with Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) and Logistic Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the PRIF^G stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold PRIF^G stock.

Key Points

  1. What is prediction in deep learning?
  2. Buy, Sell and Hold Signals
  3. Operational Risk

PRIF^G Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Priority Income Fund Inc. 6.25% Series G Preferred Stock Due 2026 Decision Process with Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of PRIF^G stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Logistic Regression)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) i = 1 n a i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of PRIF^G stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

PRIF^G Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: PRIF^G Priority Income Fund Inc. 6.25% Series G Preferred Stock Due 2026
Time series to forecast n: 06 Dec 2022 for (n+6 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold PRIF^G stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

Adjusted IFRS* Prediction Methods for Priority Income Fund Inc. 6.25% Series G Preferred Stock Due 2026

  1. Paragraph 4.1.1(a) requires an entity to classify financial assets on the basis of the entity's business model for managing the financial assets, unless paragraph 4.1.5 applies. An entity assesses whether its financial assets meet the condition in paragraph 4.1.2(a) or the condition in paragraph 4.1.2A(a) on the basis of the business model as determined by the entity's key management personnel (as defined in IAS 24 Related Party Disclosures).
  2. When measuring a loss allowance for a lease receivable, the cash flows used for determining the expected credit losses should be consistent with the cash flows used in measuring the lease receivable in accordance with IFRS 16 Leases.
  3. When measuring the fair values of the part that continues to be recognised and the part that is derecognised for the purposes of applying paragraph 3.2.13, an entity applies the fair value measurement requirements in IFRS 13 Fair Value Measurement in addition to paragraph 3.2.14.
  4. If a guarantee provided by an entity to pay for default losses on a transferred asset prevents the transferred asset from being derecognised to the extent of the continuing involvement, the transferred asset at the date of the transfer is measured at the lower of (i) the carrying amount of the asset and (ii) the maximum amount of the consideration received in the transfer that the entity could be required to repay ('the guarantee amount'). The associated liability is initially measured at the guarantee amount plus the fair value of the guarantee (which is normally the consideration received for the guarantee). Subsequently, the initial fair value of the guarantee is recognised in profit or loss when (or as) the obligation is satisfied (in accordance with the principles of IFRS 15) and the carrying value of the asset is reduced by any loss allowance.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a set of accounting rules for the financial statements of public companies that are intended to make them consistent, transparent, and easily comparable around the world.

Conclusions

Priority Income Fund Inc. 6.25% Series G Preferred Stock Due 2026 assigned short-term B3 & long-term Ba1 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) with Logistic Regression1,2,3,4 and conclude that the PRIF^G stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold PRIF^G stock.

Financial State Forecast for PRIF^G Priority Income Fund Inc. 6.25% Series G Preferred Stock Due 2026 Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B3Ba1
Operational Risk 4676
Market Risk5945
Technical Analysis5387
Fundamental Analysis5953
Risk Unsystematic3888

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 76 out of 100 with 739 signals.

References

  1. R. Sutton, D. McAllester, S. Singh, and Y. Mansour. Policy gradient methods for reinforcement learning with function approximation. In Proceedings of Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 12, pages 1057–1063, 2000
  2. Wooldridge JM. 2010. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
  3. Ashley, R. (1988), "On the relative worth of recent macroeconomic forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, 4, 363–376.
  4. J. Spall. Multivariate stochastic approximation using a simultaneous perturbation gradient approximation. IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, 37(3):332–341, 1992.
  5. Çetinkaya, A., Zhang, Y.Z., Hao, Y.M. and Ma, X.Y., Is DOW Stock Expected to Go Up?(Stock Forecast). AC Investment Research Journal, 101(3).
  6. Athey S, Wager S. 2017. Efficient policy learning. arXiv:1702.02896 [math.ST]
  7. Breiman L, Friedman J, Stone CJ, Olshen RA. 1984. Classification and Regression Trees. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for PRIF^G stock?
A: PRIF^G stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Reinforcement Machine Learning (ML) and Logistic Regression
Q: Is PRIF^G stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold PRIF^G Stock.
Q: Is Priority Income Fund Inc. 6.25% Series G Preferred Stock Due 2026 stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Priority Income Fund Inc. 6.25% Series G Preferred Stock Due 2026 is Hold and assigned short-term B3 & long-term Ba1 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of PRIF^G stock?
A: The consensus rating for PRIF^G is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for PRIF^G stock?
A: The prediction period for PRIF^G is (n+6 month)

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