**Outlook:**Procaps Group S.A. Ordinary Shares assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba1 forecasted stock rating.

**Dominant Strategy :**Buy

**Time series to forecast n: 14 Dec 2022**for (n+3 month)

**Methodology :**Active Learning (ML)

## Abstract

Social media comments have in the past had an instantaneous effect on stock markets. This paper investigates the sentiments expressed on the social media platform Twitter and their pr edictive impact on the Stock Market. (Ampomah, E.K., Nyame, G., Qin, Z., Addo, P.C., Gyamfi, E.O. and Gyan, M., 2021. Stock market prediction with gaussian naïve bayes machine learning algorithm. Informatica, 45(2).)** We evaluate Procaps Group S.A. Ordinary Shares prediction models with Active Learning (ML) and Logistic Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the PROC stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy**

## Key Points

- Market Signals
- Fundemental Analysis with Algorithmic Trading
- Can stock prices be predicted?

## PROC Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Procaps Group S.A. Ordinary Shares Decision Process with Active Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of PROC stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Logistic Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Active Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+3 month) $R=\left(\begin{array}{ccc}1& 0& 0\\ 0& 1& 0\\ 0& 0& 1\end{array}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of PROC stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## PROC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+3 month)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**PROC Procaps Group S.A. Ordinary Shares

**Time series to forecast n: 14 Dec 2022**for (n+3 month)

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%**

## Adjusted IFRS* Prediction Methods for Procaps Group S.A. Ordinary Shares

- Rebalancing does not apply if the risk management objective for a hedging relationship has changed. Instead, hedge accounting for that hedging relationship shall be discontinued (despite that an entity might designate a new hedging relationship that involves the hedging instrument or hedged item of the previous hedging relationship as described in paragraph B6.5.28).
- An entity is not required to restate prior periods to reflect the application of these amendments. The entity may restate prior periods if, and only if, it is possible without the use of hindsight. If an entity does not restate prior periods, the entity shall recognise any difference between the previous carrying amount and the carrying amount at the beginning of the annual reporting period that includes the date of initial application of these amendments in the opening retained earnings (or other component of equity, as appropriate) of the annual reporting period that includes the date of initial application of these amendments.
- When designating a group of items as the hedged item, or a combination of financial instruments as the hedging instrument, an entity shall prospectively cease applying paragraphs 6.8.4–6.8.6 to an individual item or financial instrument in accordance with paragraphs 6.8.9, 6.8.10, or 6.8.11, as relevant, when the uncertainty arising from interest rate benchmark reform is no longer present with respect to the hedged risk and/or the timing and the amount of the interest rate benchmark-based cash flows of that item or financial instrument.
- When an entity discontinues measuring the financial instrument that gives rise to the credit risk, or a proportion of that financial instrument, at fair value through profit or loss, that financial instrument's fair value at the date of discontinuation becomes its new carrying amount. Subsequently, the same measurement that was used before designating the financial instrument at fair value through profit or loss shall be applied (including amortisation that results from the new carrying amount). For example, a financial asset that had originally been classified as measured at amortised cost would revert to that measurement and its effective interest rate would be recalculated based on its new gross carrying amount on the date of discontinuing measurement at fair value through profit or loss.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a set of accounting rules for the financial statements of public companies that are intended to make them consistent, transparent, and easily comparable around the world.

## Conclusions

Procaps Group S.A. Ordinary Shares assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba1 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Active Learning (ML) with Logistic Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the PROC stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy**

### Financial State Forecast for PROC Procaps Group S.A. Ordinary Shares Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B2 | Ba1 |

Operational Risk | 34 | 46 |

Market Risk | 83 | 82 |

Technical Analysis | 44 | 73 |

Fundamental Analysis | 46 | 79 |

Risk Unsystematic | 69 | 72 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- Swaminathan A, Joachims T. 2015. Batch learning from logged bandit feedback through counterfactual risk minimization. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 16:1731–55
- A. Eck, L. Soh, S. Devlin, and D. Kudenko. Potential-based reward shaping for finite horizon online POMDP planning. Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems, 30(3):403–445, 2016
- Vapnik V. 2013. The Nature of Statistical Learning Theory. Berlin: Springer
- Bessler, D. A. S. W. Fuller (1993), "Cointegration between U.S. wheat markets," Journal of Regional Science, 33, 481–501.
- Bell RM, Koren Y. 2007. Lessons from the Netflix prize challenge. ACM SIGKDD Explor. Newsl. 9:75–79

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for PROC stock?A: PROC stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Active Learning (ML) and Logistic Regression

Q: Is PROC stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy PROC Stock.

Q: Is Procaps Group S.A. Ordinary Shares stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Procaps Group S.A. Ordinary Shares is Buy and assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba1 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of PROC stock?

A: The consensus rating for PROC is Buy.

Q: What is the prediction period for PROC stock?

A: The prediction period for PROC is (n+3 month)