Modelling A.I. in Economics

PTA Cohen & Steers Tax-Advantaged Preferred Securities and Income Fund Common Shares of Beneficial Interest

Buy

Hold

Sell

Speculative
Outlook: Cohen & Steers Tax-Advantaged Preferred Securities and Income Fund Common Shares of Beneficial Interest assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.
Dominant Strategy : Buy
Time series to forecast n: 06 Dec 2022 for (n+3 month)

Abstract

Stock market is basically nonlinear in nature and the research on stock market is one of the most important issues in recent years. People invest in stock market based on some prediction. For predict, the stock market prices people search such methods and tools which will increase their profits, while minimize their risks. Prediction plays a very important role in stock market business which is very complicated and challenging process.(Jiang, M., Jia, L., Chen, Z. and Chen, W., 2020. The two-stage machine learning ensemble models for stock price prediction by combining mode decomposition, extreme learning machine and improved harmony search algorithm. Annals of Operations Research, pp.1-33.) We evaluate Cohen & Steers Tax-Advantaged Preferred Securities and Income Fund Common Shares of Beneficial Interest prediction models with Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) and Sign Test1,2,3,4 and conclude that the PTA stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy PTA stock.

Key Points

  1. What are the most successful trading algorithms?
  2. How do you pick a stock?
  3. Technical Analysis with Algorithmic Trading

PTA Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Cohen & Steers Tax-Advantaged Preferred Securities and Income Fund Common Shares of Beneficial Interest Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) where A is the set of discrete actions of PTA stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Sign Test)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer)) X S(n):→ (n+3 month) r s rs

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of PTA stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

PTA Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+3 month)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: PTA Cohen & Steers Tax-Advantaged Preferred Securities and Income Fund Common Shares of Beneficial Interest
Time series to forecast n: 06 Dec 2022 for (n+3 month)

According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy PTA stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

Adjusted IFRS* Prediction Methods for Cohen & Steers Tax-Advantaged Preferred Securities and Income Fund Common Shares of Beneficial Interest

  1. In addition to those hedging relationships specified in paragraph 6.9.1, an entity shall apply the requirements in paragraphs 6.9.11 and 6.9.12 to new hedging relationships in which an alternative benchmark rate is designated as a non-contractually specified risk component (see paragraphs 6.3.7(a) and B6.3.8) when, because of interest rate benchmark reform, that risk component is not separately identifiable at the date it is designated.
  2. The assessment of whether an economic relationship exists includes an analysis of the possible behaviour of the hedging relationship during its term to ascertain whether it can be expected to meet the risk management objective. The mere existence of a statistical correlation between two variables does not, by itself, support a valid conclusion that an economic relationship exists.
  3. An entity is not required to incorporate forecasts of future conditions over the entire expected life of a financial instrument. The degree of judgement that is required to estimate expected credit losses depends on the availability of detailed information. As the forecast horizon increases, the availability of detailed information decreases and the degree of judgement required to estimate expected credit losses increases. The estimate of expected credit losses does not require a detailed estimate for periods that are far in the future—for such periods, an entity may extrapolate projections from available, detailed information.
  4. The fair value of a financial instrument at initial recognition is normally the transaction price (ie the fair value of the consideration given or received, see also paragraph B5.1.2A and IFRS 13). However, if part of the consideration given or received is for something other than the financial instrument, an entity shall measure the fair value of the financial instrument. For example, the fair value of a long-term loan or receivable that carries no interest can be measured as the present value of all future cash receipts discounted using the prevailing market rate(s) of interest for a similar instrument (similar as to currency, term, type of interest rate and other factors) with a similar credit rating. Any additional amount lent is an expense or a reduction of income unless it qualifies for recognition as some other type of asset.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a set of accounting rules for the financial statements of public companies that are intended to make them consistent, transparent, and easily comparable around the world.

Conclusions

Cohen & Steers Tax-Advantaged Preferred Securities and Income Fund Common Shares of Beneficial Interest assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) with Sign Test1,2,3,4 and conclude that the PTA stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy PTA stock.

Financial State Forecast for PTA Cohen & Steers Tax-Advantaged Preferred Securities and Income Fund Common Shares of Beneficial Interest Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba2B3
Operational Risk 5835
Market Risk6635
Technical Analysis6252
Fundamental Analysis7134
Risk Unsystematic8251

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 79 out of 100 with 613 signals.

References

  1. V. Mnih, K. Kavukcuoglu, D. Silver, A. Rusu, J. Veness, M. Bellemare, A. Graves, M. Riedmiller, A. Fidjeland, G. Ostrovski, S. Petersen, C. Beattie, A. Sadik, I. Antonoglou, H. King, D. Kumaran, D. Wierstra, S. Legg, and D. Hassabis. Human-level control through deep reinforcement learning. Nature, 518(7540):529–533, 02 2015.
  2. V. Mnih, A. P. Badia, M. Mirza, A. Graves, T. P. Lillicrap, T. Harley, D. Silver, and K. Kavukcuoglu. Asynchronous methods for deep reinforcement learning. In Proceedings of the 33nd International Conference on Machine Learning, ICML 2016, New York City, NY, USA, June 19-24, 2016, pages 1928–1937, 2016
  3. Candès EJ, Recht B. 2009. Exact matrix completion via convex optimization. Found. Comput. Math. 9:717
  4. Sutton RS, Barto AG. 1998. Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
  5. Athey S, Imbens G. 2016. Recursive partitioning for heterogeneous causal effects. PNAS 113:7353–60
  6. Çetinkaya, A., Zhang, Y.Z., Hao, Y.M. and Ma, X.Y., Is TPL a Buy?. AC Investment Research Journal, 101(3).
  7. Rumelhart DE, Hinton GE, Williams RJ. 1986. Learning representations by back-propagating errors. Nature 323:533–36
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for PTA stock?
A: PTA stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) and Sign Test
Q: Is PTA stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy PTA Stock.
Q: Is Cohen & Steers Tax-Advantaged Preferred Securities and Income Fund Common Shares of Beneficial Interest stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Cohen & Steers Tax-Advantaged Preferred Securities and Income Fund Common Shares of Beneficial Interest is Buy and assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term B3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of PTA stock?
A: The consensus rating for PTA is Buy.
Q: What is the prediction period for PTA stock?
A: The prediction period for PTA is (n+3 month)

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