**Outlook:**SITE Centers Corp. Common Stock assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.

**Dominant Strategy :**Sell

**Time series to forecast n: 12 Dec 2022**for (n+8 weeks)

**Methodology :**Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis)

## Abstract

In recent years there has been a significant growth of interest in the incorporation of historical series of variables related to stock prediction into mathematical models or computational algorithms in order to generate predictions or indications about expected price movements.(Mehtab, S. and Sen, J., 2019. A robust predictive model for stock price prediction using deep learning and natural language processing. arXiv preprint arXiv:1912.07700.)** We evaluate SITE Centers Corp. Common Stock prediction models with Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Spearman Correlation ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the SITC stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell**

## Key Points

- What is neural prediction?
- How do you pick a stock?
- Is it better to buy and sell or hold?

## SITC Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider SITE Centers Corp. Common Stock Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of SITC stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Spearman Correlation)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+8 weeks) $\begin{array}{l}\int {e}^{x}\mathrm{rx}\end{array}$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of SITC stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## SITC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+8 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**SITC SITE Centers Corp. Common Stock

**Time series to forecast n: 12 Dec 2022**for (n+8 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%**

## Adjusted IFRS* Prediction Methods for SITE Centers Corp. Common Stock

- When a group of items that constitute a net position is designated as a hedged item, an entity shall designate the overall group of items that includes the items that can make up the net position. An entity is not permitted to designate a non-specific abstract amount of a net position. For example, an entity has a group of firm sale commitments in nine months' time for FC100 and a group of firm purchase commitments in 18 months' time for FC120. The entity cannot designate an abstract amount of a net position up to FC20. Instead, it must designate a gross amount of purchases and a gross amount of sales that together give rise to the hedged net position. An entity shall designate gross positions that give rise to the net position so that the entity is able to comply with the requirements for the accounting for qualifying hedging relationships.
- However, the designation of the hedging relationship using the same hedge ratio as that resulting from the quantities of the hedged item and the hedging instrument that the entity actually uses shall not reflect an imbalance between the weightings of the hedged item and the hedging instrument that would in turn create hedge ineffectiveness (irrespective of whether recognised or not) that could result in an accounting outcome that would be inconsistent with the purpose of hedge accounting. Hence, for the purpose of designating a hedging relationship, an entity must adjust the hedge ratio that results from the quantities of the hedged item and the hedging instrument that the entity actually uses if that is needed to avoid such an imbalance
- If there is a hedging relationship between a non-derivative monetary asset and a non-derivative monetary liability, changes in the foreign currency component of those financial instruments are presented in profit or loss.
- When applying the effective interest method, an entity generally amortises any fees, points paid or received, transaction costs and other premiums or discounts that are included in the calculation of the effective interest rate over the expected life of the financial instrument. However, a shorter period is used if this is the period to which the fees, points paid or received, transaction costs, premiums or discounts relate. This will be the case when the variable to which the fees, points paid or received, transaction costs, premiums or discounts relate is repriced to market rates before the expected maturity of the financial instrument. In such a case, the appropriate amortisation period is the period to the next such repricing date. For example, if a premium or discount on a floating-rate financial instrument reflects the interest that has accrued on that financial instrument since the interest was last paid, or changes in the market rates since the floating interest rate was reset to the market rates, it will be amortised to the next date when the floating interest is reset to market rates. This is because the premium or discount relates to the period to the next interest reset date because, at that date, the variable to which the premium or discount relates (ie interest rates) is reset to the market rates. If, however, the premium or discount results from a change in the credit spread over the floating rate specified in the financial instrument, or other variables that are not reset to the market rates, it is amortised over the expected life of the financial instrument.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a set of accounting rules for the financial statements of public companies that are intended to make them consistent, transparent, and easily comparable around the world.

## Conclusions

SITE Centers Corp. Common Stock assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) with Spearman Correlation ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the SITC stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell**

### Financial State Forecast for SITC SITE Centers Corp. Common Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Ba3 | B2 |

Operational Risk | 82 | 82 |

Market Risk | 66 | 37 |

Technical Analysis | 87 | 41 |

Fundamental Analysis | 53 | 53 |

Risk Unsystematic | 45 | 55 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- Çetinkaya, A., Zhang, Y.Z., Hao, Y.M. and Ma, X.Y., When to Sell and When to Hold FTNT Stock. AC Investment Research Journal, 101(3).
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- G. Theocharous and A. Hallak. Lifetime value marketing using reinforcement learning. RLDM 2013, page 19, 2013

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for SITC stock?A: SITC stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Spearman Correlation

Q: Is SITC stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell SITC Stock.

Q: Is SITE Centers Corp. Common Stock stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for SITE Centers Corp. Common Stock is Sell and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of SITC stock?

A: The consensus rating for SITC is Sell.

Q: What is the prediction period for SITC stock?

A: The prediction period for SITC is (n+8 weeks)