SPWR SunPower Corporation Common Stock

Buy

Hold

Sell

Speculative

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Outlook: SunPower Corporation Common Stock assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Signal: Hold
Time series to forecast n: 06 Dec 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

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Abstract

Neural networks (NNs), as artificial intelligence (AI) methods, have become very important in making stock market predictions. Much research on the applications of NNs for solving business problems have proven their advantages over statistical and other methods that do not include AI, although there is no optimal methodology for a certain problem. (Rao, P.S., Srinivas, K. and Mohan, A.K., 2020. A survey on stock market prediction using machine learning techniques. In ICDSMLA 2019 (pp. 923-931). Springer, Singapore.) We evaluate SunPower Corporation Common Stock prediction models with Active Learning (ML) and Sign Test^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the SPWR stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SPWR stock.

Key Points

1. What are the most successful trading algorithms?
2. Buy, Sell and Hold Signals
3. What are the most successful trading algorithms?

SPWR Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider SunPower Corporation Common Stock Decision Process with Active Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of SPWR stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^1,2,3,4

F(Sign Test)^5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& p_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & p_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{j1}& p_{j2}& \dots & p_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{k1}& p_{k2}& \dots & p_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{n1}& p_{n2}& \dots & p_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Active Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) $R=\left(\begin{array}{ccc}1& 0& 0\\ 0& 1& 0\\ 0& 0& 1\end{array}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of SPWR stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

SPWR Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: SPWR SunPower Corporation Common Stock
Time series to forecast n: 06 Dec 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SPWR stock.

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%

Adjusted IFRS* Prediction Methods for SunPower Corporation Common Stock

1. If an entity measures a hybrid contract at fair value in accordance with paragraphs 4.1.2A, 4.1.4 or 4.1.5 but the fair value of the hybrid contract had not been measured in comparative reporting periods, the fair value of the hybrid contract in the comparative reporting periods shall be the sum of the fair values of the components (ie the non-derivative host and the embedded derivative) at the end of each comparative reporting period if the entity restates prior periods (see paragraph 7.2.15).
2. The rebuttable presumption in paragraph 5.5.11 is not an absolute indicator that lifetime expected credit losses should be recognised, but is presumed to be the latest point at which lifetime expected credit losses should be recognised even when using forward-looking information (including macroeconomic factors on a portfolio level).
3. When identifying what risk components qualify for designation as a hedged item, an entity assesses such risk components within the context of the particular market structure to which the risk or risks relate and in which the hedging activity takes place. Such a determination requires an evaluation of the relevant facts and circumstances, which differ by risk and market.
4. All investments in equity instruments and contracts on those instruments must be measured at fair value. However, in limited circumstances, cost may be an appropriate estimate of fair value. That may be the case if insufficient more recent information is available to measure fair value, or if there is a wide range of possible fair value measurements and cost represents the best estimate of fair value within that range.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a set of accounting rules for the financial statements of public companies that are intended to make them consistent, transparent, and easily comparable around the world.

Conclusions

SunPower Corporation Common Stock assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Active Learning (ML) with Sign Test^1,2,3,4 and conclude that the SPWR stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SPWR stock.

Financial State Forecast for SPWR SunPower Corporation Common Stock Options & Futures

Rating	Short-Term	Long-Term Senior
Outlook*	Ba3	B2
Operational Risk	85	49
Market Risk	46	61
Technical Analysis	60	73
Fundamental Analysis	80	34
Risk Unsystematic	55	32

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 88 out of 100 with 526 signals.

References

1. Matzkin RL. 2007. Nonparametric identification. In Handbook of Econometrics, Vol. 6B, ed. J Heckman, E Learner, pp. 5307–68. Amsterdam: Elsevier
2. Tibshirani R, Hastie T. 1987. Local likelihood estimation. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 82:559–67
3. S. Proper and K. Tumer. Modeling difference rewards for multiagent learning (extended abstract). In Proceedings of the Eleventh International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, Valencia, Spain, June 2012
4. J. Filar, L. Kallenberg, and H. Lee. Variance-penalized Markov decision processes. Mathematics of Opera- tions Research, 14(1):147–161, 1989
5. S. Bhatnagar, R. Sutton, M. Ghavamzadeh, and M. Lee. Natural actor-critic algorithms. Automatica, 45(11): 2471–2482, 2009
6. Belloni A, Chernozhukov V, Hansen C. 2014. High-dimensional methods and inference on structural and treatment effects. J. Econ. Perspect. 28:29–50
7. V. Konda and J. Tsitsiklis. Actor-Critic algorithms. In Proceedings of Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 12, pages 1008–1014, 2000

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for SPWR stock?
A: SPWR stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Active Learning (ML) and Sign Test
Q: Is SPWR stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold SPWR Stock.
Q: Is SunPower Corporation Common Stock stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for SunPower Corporation Common Stock is Hold and assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B2 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of SPWR stock?
A: The consensus rating for SPWR is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for SPWR stock?
A: The prediction period for SPWR is (n+16 weeks)

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