Modelling A.I. in Economics

T3D 333D LIMITED (Forecast)

Outlook: 333D LIMITED assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.
Dominant Strategy : Wait until speculative trend diminishes
Time series to forecast n: 10 Dec 2022 for (n+16 weeks)
Methodology : Transductive Learning (ML)

Abstract

One decision in Stock Market can make huge impact on an investor's life. The stock market is a complex system and often covered in mystery, it is therefore, very difficult to analyze all the impacting factors before making a decision. In this research, we have tried to design a stock market prediction model which is based on different factors. (Singh, S., Madan, T.K., Kumar, J. and Singh, A.K., 2019, July. Stock market forecasting using machine learning: Today and tomorrow. In 2019 2nd International Conference on Intelligent Computing, Instrumentation and Control Technologies (ICICICT) (Vol. 1, pp. 738-745). IEEE.) We evaluate 333D LIMITED prediction models with Transductive Learning (ML) and Factor1,2,3,4 and conclude that the T3D stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Wait until speculative trend diminishes

Key Points

  1. What is neural prediction?
  2. Is now good time to invest?
  3. Trust metric by Neural Network

T3D Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider 333D LIMITED Decision Process with Transductive Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of T3D stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Factor)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Transductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) R = 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of T3D stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

T3D Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: T3D 333D LIMITED
Time series to forecast n: 10 Dec 2022 for (n+16 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Wait until speculative trend diminishes

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

Adjusted IFRS* Prediction Methods for 333D LIMITED

  1. An entity is not required to incorporate forecasts of future conditions over the entire expected life of a financial instrument. The degree of judgement that is required to estimate expected credit losses depends on the availability of detailed information. As the forecast horizon increases, the availability of detailed information decreases and the degree of judgement required to estimate expected credit losses increases. The estimate of expected credit losses does not require a detailed estimate for periods that are far in the future—for such periods, an entity may extrapolate projections from available, detailed information.
  2. Hedging relationships that qualified for hedge accounting in accordance with IAS 39 that also qualify for hedge accounting in accordance with the criteria of this Standard (see paragraph 6.4.1), after taking into account any rebalancing of the hedging relationship on transition (see paragraph 7.2.25(b)), shall be regarded as continuing hedging relationships.
  3. The assessment of whether lifetime expected credit losses should be recognised is based on significant increases in the likelihood or risk of a default occurring since initial recognition (irrespective of whether a financial instrument has been repriced to reflect an increase in credit risk) instead of on evidence of a financial asset being credit-impaired at the reporting date or an actual default occurring. Generally, there will be a significant increase in credit risk before a financial asset becomes credit-impaired or an actual default occurs.
  4. For a financial guarantee contract, the entity is required to make payments only in the event of a default by the debtor in accordance with the terms of the instrument that is guaranteed. Accordingly, cash shortfalls are the expected payments to reimburse the holder for a credit loss that it incurs less any amounts that the entity expects to receive from the holder, the debtor or any other party. If the asset is fully guaranteed, the estimation of cash shortfalls for a financial guarantee contract would be consistent with the estimations of cash shortfalls for the asset subject to the guarantee

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a set of accounting rules for the financial statements of public companies that are intended to make them consistent, transparent, and easily comparable around the world.

Conclusions

333D LIMITED assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating. We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) with Factor1,2,3,4 and conclude that the T3D stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Wait until speculative trend diminishes

Financial State Forecast for T3D 333D LIMITED Options & Futures

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B1Ba3
Operational Risk 3570
Market Risk8754
Technical Analysis8580
Fundamental Analysis6449
Risk Unsystematic3755

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 72 out of 100 with 537 signals.

References

  1. Mikolov T, Chen K, Corrado GS, Dean J. 2013a. Efficient estimation of word representations in vector space. arXiv:1301.3781 [cs.CL]
  2. Hastie T, Tibshirani R, Tibshirani RJ. 2017. Extended comparisons of best subset selection, forward stepwise selection, and the lasso. arXiv:1707.08692 [stat.ME]
  3. M. Babes, E. M. de Cote, and M. L. Littman. Social reward shaping in the prisoner's dilemma. In 7th International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS 2008), Estoril, Portugal, May 12-16, 2008, Volume 3, pages 1389–1392, 2008.
  4. D. Bertsekas. Dynamic programming and optimal control. Athena Scientific, 1995.
  5. Armstrong, J. S. M. C. Grohman (1972), "A comparative study of methods for long-range market forecasting," Management Science, 19, 211–221.
  6. Clements, M. P. D. F. Hendry (1995), "Forecasting in cointegrated systems," Journal of Applied Econometrics, 10, 127–146.
  7. Abadir, K. M., K. Hadri E. Tzavalis (1999), "The influence of VAR dimensions on estimator biases," Econometrica, 67, 163–181.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for T3D stock?
A: T3D stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) and Factor
Q: Is T3D stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Wait until speculative trend diminishes T3D Stock.
Q: Is 333D LIMITED stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for 333D LIMITED is Wait until speculative trend diminishes and assigned short-term B1 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of T3D stock?
A: The consensus rating for T3D is Wait until speculative trend diminishes.
Q: What is the prediction period for T3D stock?
A: The prediction period for T3D is (n+16 weeks)

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