...........................

**Outlook:**Tennessee Valley Authority Common Stock assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.

**Signal:**Wait until speculative trend diminishes

**Time series to forecast n: 06 Dec 2022**for (n+6 month)

...........................

## Abstract

This paper surveys machine learning techniques for stock market prediction. The prediction of stock markets is regarded as a challenging task of financial time series prediction.(Sarode, S., Tolani, H.G., Kak, P. and Lifna, C.S., 2019, February. Stock price prediction using machine learning techniques. In 2019 International Conference on Intelligent Sustainable Systems (ICISS) (pp. 177-181). IEEE.)** We evaluate Tennessee Valley Authority Common Stock prediction models with Deductive Inference (ML) and Polynomial Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the TVC stock is predictable in the short/long term. **

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Wait until speculative trend diminishes TVC stock.**

## Key Points

- How accurate is machine learning in stock market?
- Should I buy stocks now or wait amid such uncertainty?
- Trust metric by Neural Network

## TVC Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Tennessee Valley Authority Common Stock Decision Process with Deductive Inference (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of TVC stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Polynomial Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Deductive Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+6 month) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({r}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of TVC stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## TVC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+6 month)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**TVC Tennessee Valley Authority Common Stock

**Time series to forecast n: 06 Dec 2022**for (n+6 month)

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Wait until speculative trend diminishes TVC stock.**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Yellow to Green): *Technical Analysis%**

## Adjusted IFRS* Prediction Methods for Tennessee Valley Authority Common Stock

- IFRS 16, issued in January 2016, amended paragraphs 2.1, 5.5.15, B4.3.8, B5.5.34 and B5.5.46. An entity shall apply those amendments when it applies IFRS 16.
- To the extent that a transfer of a financial asset does not qualify for derecognition, the transferor's contractual rights or obligations related to the transfer are not accounted for separately as derivatives if recognising both the derivative and either the transferred asset or the liability arising from the transfer would result in recognising the same rights or obligations twice. For example, a call option retained by the transferor may prevent a transfer of financial assets from being accounted for as a sale. In that case, the call option is not separately recognised as a derivative asset.
- Hedging relationships that qualified for hedge accounting in accordance with IAS 39 that also qualify for hedge accounting in accordance with the criteria of this Standard (see paragraph 6.4.1), after taking into account any rebalancing of the hedging relationship on transition (see paragraph 7.2.25(b)), shall be regarded as continuing hedging relationships.
- The accounting for the forward element of forward contracts in accordance with paragraph 6.5.16 applies only to the extent that the forward element relates to the hedged item (aligned forward element). The forward element of a forward contract relates to the hedged item if the critical terms of the forward contract (such as the nominal amount, life and underlying) are aligned with the hedged item. Hence, if the critical terms of the forward contract and the hedged item are not fully aligned, an entity shall determine the aligned forward element, ie how much of the forward element included in the forward contract (actual forward element) relates to the hedged item (and therefore should be treated in accordance with paragraph 6.5.16). An entity determines the aligned forward element using the valuation of the forward contract that would have critical terms that perfectly match the hedged item.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) are a set of accounting rules for the financial statements of public companies that are intended to make them consistent, transparent, and easily comparable around the world.

## Conclusions

Tennessee Valley Authority Common Stock assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.** We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) with Polynomial Regression ^{1,2,3,4} and conclude that the TVC stock is predictable in the short/long term.**

**According to price forecasts for (n+6 month) period: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Wait until speculative trend diminishes TVC stock.**

### Financial State Forecast for TVC Tennessee Valley Authority Common Stock Options & Futures

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | B2 | Ba3 |

Operational Risk | 36 | 87 |

Market Risk | 80 | 88 |

Technical Analysis | 42 | 37 |

Fundamental Analysis | 35 | 39 |

Risk Unsystematic | 78 | 62 |

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

- J. Hu and M. P. Wellman. Nash q-learning for general-sum stochastic games. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 4:1039–1069, 2003.
- V. Borkar and R. Jain. Risk-constrained Markov decision processes. IEEE Transaction on Automatic Control, 2014
- Chamberlain G. 2000. Econometrics and decision theory. J. Econom. 95:255–83
- Hoerl AE, Kennard RW. 1970. Ridge regression: biased estimation for nonorthogonal problems. Technometrics 12:55–67
- M. Colby, T. Duchow-Pressley, J. J. Chung, and K. Tumer. Local approximation of difference evaluation functions. In Proceedings of the Fifteenth International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems, Singapore, May 2016
- Chernozhukov V, Chetverikov D, Demirer M, Duflo E, Hansen C, Newey W. 2017. Double/debiased/ Neyman machine learning of treatment effects. Am. Econ. Rev. 107:261–65
- P. Milgrom and I. Segal. Envelope theorems for arbitrary choice sets. Econometrica, 70(2):583–601, 2002

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for TVC stock?A: TVC stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Deductive Inference (ML) and Polynomial Regression

Q: Is TVC stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Wait until speculative trend diminishes TVC Stock.

Q: Is Tennessee Valley Authority Common Stock stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Tennessee Valley Authority Common Stock is Wait until speculative trend diminishes and assigned short-term B2 & long-term Ba3 forecasted stock rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of TVC stock?

A: The consensus rating for TVC is Wait until speculative trend diminishes.

Q: What is the prediction period for TVC stock?

A: The prediction period for TVC is (n+6 month)

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