**Outlook:**MEDICLINIC INTERNATIONAL PLC is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.

**Dominant Strategy :**Buy

**Time series to forecast n: 12 Jan 2023**for (n+3 month)

**Methodology :**Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis)

## Abstract

MEDICLINIC INTERNATIONAL PLC prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) and Logistic Regression^{1,2,3,4}and it is concluded that the LON:MDC stock is predictable in the short/long term.

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy**

## Key Points

- What is a prediction confidence?
- Can machine learning predict?
- Which neural network is best for prediction?

## LON:MDC Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider MEDICLINIC INTERNATIONAL PLC Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:MDC stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Logistic Regression)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+3 month) $\sum _{i=1}^{n}\left({r}_{i}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:MDC stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## LON:MDC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+3 month)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**LON:MDC MEDICLINIC INTERNATIONAL PLC

**Time series to forecast n: 12 Jan 2023**for (n+3 month)

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%**

## IFRS Reconciliation Adjustments for MEDICLINIC INTERNATIONAL PLC

- To the extent that a transfer of a financial asset does not qualify for derecognition, the transferee does not recognise the transferred asset as its asset. The transferee derecognises the cash or other consideration paid and recognises a receivable from the transferor. If the transferor has both a right and an obligation to reacquire control of the entire transferred asset for a fixed amount (such as under a repurchase agreement), the transferee may measure its receivable at amortised cost if it meets the criteria in paragraph 4.1.2.
- In some cases, the qualitative and non-statistical quantitative information available may be sufficient to determine that a financial instrument has met the criterion for the recognition of a loss allowance at an amount equal to lifetime expected credit losses. That is, the information does not need to flow through a statistical model or credit ratings process in order to determine whether there has been a significant increase in the credit risk of the financial instrument. In other cases, an entity may need to consider other information, including information from its statistical models or credit ratings processes.
- The assessment of whether an economic relationship exists includes an analysis of the possible behaviour of the hedging relationship during its term to ascertain whether it can be expected to meet the risk management objective. The mere existence of a statistical correlation between two variables does not, by itself, support a valid conclusion that an economic relationship exists.
- Paragraph 5.7.5 permits an entity to make an irrevocable election to present in other comprehensive income changes in the fair value of an investment in an equity instrument that is not held for trading. This election is made on an instrument-by-instrument (ie share-by-share) basis. Amounts presented in other comprehensive income shall not be subsequently transferred to profit or loss. However, the entity may transfer the cumulative gain or loss within equity. Dividends on such investments are recognised in profit or loss in accordance with paragraph 5.7.6 unless the dividend clearly represents a recovery of part of the cost of the investment.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

## Conclusions

MEDICLINIC INTERNATIONAL PLC is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating. MEDICLINIC INTERNATIONAL PLC prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) and Logistic Regression^{1,2,3,4} and it is concluded that the LON:MDC stock is predictable in the short/long term. ** According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy**

### LON:MDC MEDICLINIC INTERNATIONAL PLC Financial Analysis*

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Ba1 | Ba1 |

Income Statement | C | Ba3 |

Balance Sheet | Baa2 | Ba2 |

Leverage Ratios | Ba3 | Baa2 |

Cash Flow | B1 | Baa2 |

Rates of Return and Profitability | Ba1 | Caa2 |

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.

How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

- Van der Vaart AW. 2000. Asymptotic Statistics. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge Univ. Press
- M. J. Hausknecht and P. Stone. Deep recurrent Q-learning for partially observable MDPs. CoRR, abs/1507.06527, 2015
- Harris ZS. 1954. Distributional structure. Word 10:146–62
- Arjovsky M, Bottou L. 2017. Towards principled methods for training generative adversarial networks. arXiv:1701.04862 [stat.ML]
- Matzkin RL. 1994. Restrictions of economic theory in nonparametric methods. In Handbook of Econometrics, Vol. 4, ed. R Engle, D McFadden, pp. 2523–58. Amsterdam: Elsevier
- Bai J. 2003. Inferential theory for factor models of large dimensions. Econometrica 71:135–71
- Vilnis L, McCallum A. 2015. Word representations via Gaussian embedding. arXiv:1412.6623 [cs.CL]

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for LON:MDC stock?A: LON:MDC stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Direction Analysis) and Logistic Regression

Q: Is LON:MDC stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:MDC Stock.

Q: Is MEDICLINIC INTERNATIONAL PLC stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for MEDICLINIC INTERNATIONAL PLC is Buy and is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:MDC stock?

A: The consensus rating for LON:MDC is Buy.

Q: What is the prediction period for LON:MDC stock?

A: The prediction period for LON:MDC is (n+3 month)

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