**Outlook:**Open Text Corporation is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.

**Dominant Strategy :**Hold

**Time series to forecast n: 30 Jan 2023**for (n+3 month)

**Methodology :**Statistical Inference (ML)

## Abstract

Open Text Corporation prediction model is evaluated with Statistical Inference (ML) and Chi-Square^{1,2,3,4}and it is concluded that the OTEX:TSX stock is predictable in the short/long term.

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold**

## Key Points

- Can neural networks predict stock market?
- What is the best way to predict stock prices?
- How do you know when a stock will go up or down?

## OTEX:TSX Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Open Text Corporation Decision Process with Statistical Inference (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of OTEX:TSX stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Chi-Square)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+3 month) $\begin{array}{l}\int {e}^{x}\mathrm{rx}\end{array}$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of OTEX:TSX stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## OTEX:TSX Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+3 month)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**OTEX:TSX Open Text Corporation

**Time series to forecast n: 30 Jan 2023**for (n+3 month)

**According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%**

## IFRS Reconciliation Adjustments for Open Text Corporation

- If a guarantee provided by an entity to pay for default losses on a transferred asset prevents the transferred asset from being derecognised to the extent of the continuing involvement, the transferred asset at the date of the transfer is measured at the lower of (i) the carrying amount of the asset and (ii) the maximum amount of the consideration received in the transfer that the entity could be required to repay ('the guarantee amount'). The associated liability is initially measured at the guarantee amount plus the fair value of the guarantee (which is normally the consideration received for the guarantee). Subsequently, the initial fair value of the guarantee is recognised in profit or loss when (or as) the obligation is satisfied (in accordance with the principles of IFRS 15) and the carrying value of the asset is reduced by any loss allowance.
- The fact that a derivative is in or out of the money when it is designated as a hedging instrument does not in itself mean that a qualitative assessment is inappropriate. It depends on the circumstances whether hedge ineffectiveness arising from that fact could have a magnitude that a qualitative assessment would not adequately capture.
- If an entity originates a loan that bears an off-market interest rate (eg 5 per cent when the market rate for similar loans is 8 per cent), and receives an upfront fee as compensation, the entity recognises the loan at its fair value, ie net of the fee it receives.
- For a discontinued hedging relationship, when the interest rate benchmark on which the hedged future cash flows had been based is changed as required by interest rate benchmark reform, for the purpose of applying paragraph 6.5.12 in order to determine whether the hedged future cash flows are expected to occur, the amount accumulated in the cash flow hedge reserve for that hedging relationship shall be deemed to be based on the alternative benchmark rate on which the hedged future cash flows will be based.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

## Conclusions

Open Text Corporation is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating. Open Text Corporation prediction model is evaluated with Statistical Inference (ML) and Chi-Square^{1,2,3,4} and it is concluded that the OTEX:TSX stock is predictable in the short/long term. ** According to price forecasts for (n+3 month) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold**

### OTEX:TSX Open Text Corporation Financial Analysis*

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Ba1 | Ba1 |

Income Statement | Ba1 | B3 |

Balance Sheet | Caa2 | C |

Leverage Ratios | B3 | Ba2 |

Cash Flow | Ba2 | Ba2 |

Rates of Return and Profitability | Caa2 | C |

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.

How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

- Hastie T, Tibshirani R, Wainwright M. 2015. Statistical Learning with Sparsity: The Lasso and Generalizations. New York: CRC Press
- J. Hu and M. P. Wellman. Nash q-learning for general-sum stochastic games. Journal of Machine Learning Research, 4:1039–1069, 2003.
- Schapire RE, Freund Y. 2012. Boosting: Foundations and Algorithms. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
- Hoerl AE, Kennard RW. 1970. Ridge regression: biased estimation for nonorthogonal problems. Technometrics 12:55–67
- Hoerl AE, Kennard RW. 1970. Ridge regression: biased estimation for nonorthogonal problems. Technometrics 12:55–67
- Meinshausen N. 2007. Relaxed lasso. Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 52:374–93
- Athey S. 2017. Beyond prediction: using big data for policy problems. Science 355:483–85

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for OTEX:TSX stock?A: OTEX:TSX stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) and Chi-Square

Q: Is OTEX:TSX stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold OTEX:TSX Stock.

Q: Is Open Text Corporation stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Open Text Corporation is Hold and is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of OTEX:TSX stock?

A: The consensus rating for OTEX:TSX is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for OTEX:TSX stock?

A: The prediction period for OTEX:TSX is (n+3 month)

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