Modelling A.I. in Economics

BW^A Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. 7.75% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock

Outlook: Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. 7.75% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.
Dominant Strategy : Sell
Time series to forecast n: 08 Mar 2023 for (n+4 weeks)
Methodology : Transductive Learning (ML)

Abstract

Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. 7.75% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock prediction model is evaluated with Transductive Learning (ML) and Sign Test1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the BW^A stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell

Key Points

  1. Stock Rating
  2. Trust metric by Neural Network
  3. Stock Rating

BW^A Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. 7.75% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock Decision Process with Transductive Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of BW^A stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Sign Test)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Transductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) i = 1 n r i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of BW^A stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

BW^A Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: BW^A Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. 7.75% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock
Time series to forecast n: 08 Mar 2023 for (n+4 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

IFRS Reconciliation Adjustments for Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. 7.75% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock

  1. Amounts presented in other comprehensive income shall not be subsequently transferred to profit or loss. However, the entity may transfer the cumulative gain or loss within equity.
  2. Expected credit losses reflect an entity's own expectations of credit losses. However, when considering all reasonable and supportable information that is available without undue cost or effort in estimating expected credit losses, an entity should also consider observable market information about the credit risk of the particular financial instrument or similar financial instruments.
  3. For the purposes of measuring expected credit losses, the estimate of expected cash shortfalls shall reflect the cash flows expected from collateral and other credit enhancements that are part of the contractual terms and are not recognised separately by the entity. The estimate of expected cash shortfalls on a collateralised financial instrument reflects the amount and timing of cash flows that are expected from foreclosure on the collateral less the costs of obtaining and selling the collateral, irrespective of whether foreclosure is probable (ie the estimate of expected cash flows considers the probability of a foreclosure and the cash flows that would result from it). Consequently, any cash flows that are expected from the realisation of the collateral beyond the contractual maturity of the contract should be included in this analysis. Any collateral obtained as a result of foreclosure is not recognised as an asset that is separate from the collateralised financial instrument unless it meets the relevant recognition criteria for an asset in this or other Standards.
  4. The underlying pool must contain one or more instruments that have contractual cash flows that are solely payments of principal and interest on the principal amount outstanding

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

Conclusions

Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. 7.75% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating. Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. 7.75% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock prediction model is evaluated with Transductive Learning (ML) and Sign Test1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the BW^A stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell

BW^A Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. 7.75% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock Financial Analysis*

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba1Ba1
Income StatementBaa2C
Balance SheetB3B1
Leverage RatiosCaa2Ba3
Cash FlowCaa2C
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityBaa2B3

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 78 out of 100 with 766 signals.

References

  1. Bottomley, P. R. Fildes (1998), "The role of prices in models of innovation diffusion," Journal of Forecasting, 17, 539–555.
  2. Athey S. 2019. The impact of machine learning on economics. In The Economics of Artificial Intelligence: An Agenda, ed. AK Agrawal, J Gans, A Goldfarb. Chicago: Univ. Chicago Press. In press
  3. P. Marbach. Simulated-Based Methods for Markov Decision Processes. PhD thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 1998
  4. Barkan O. 2016. Bayesian neural word embedding. arXiv:1603.06571 [math.ST]
  5. Hartigan JA, Wong MA. 1979. Algorithm as 136: a k-means clustering algorithm. J. R. Stat. Soc. Ser. C 28:100–8
  6. V. Konda and J. Tsitsiklis. Actor-Critic algorithms. In Proceedings of Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 12, pages 1008–1014, 2000
  7. Dietterich TG. 2000. Ensemble methods in machine learning. In Multiple Classifier Systems: First International Workshop, Cagliari, Italy, June 21–23, pp. 1–15. Berlin: Springer
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for BW^A stock?
A: BW^A stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) and Sign Test
Q: Is BW^A stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell BW^A Stock.
Q: Is Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. 7.75% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. 7.75% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock is Sell and is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of BW^A stock?
A: The consensus rating for BW^A is Sell.
Q: What is the prediction period for BW^A stock?
A: The prediction period for BW^A is (n+4 weeks)



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