**Outlook:**Fresh Vine Wine Inc. Common Stock is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.

**Dominant Strategy :**Hold

**Time series to forecast n: 03 Mar 2023**for (n+4 weeks)

**Methodology :**Statistical Inference (ML)

## Abstract

Fresh Vine Wine Inc. Common Stock prediction model is evaluated with Statistical Inference (ML) and Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test^{1,2,3,4}and it is concluded that the VINE stock is predictable in the short/long term.

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold**

## Key Points

- Can neural networks predict stock market?
- Decision Making
- How do predictive algorithms actually work?

## VINE Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Fresh Vine Wine Inc. Common Stock Decision Process with Statistical Inference (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of VINE stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^{1,2,3,4}

F(Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test)

^{5,6,7}= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& {p}_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & \vdots \\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+4 weeks) $\overrightarrow{S}=\left({s}_{1},{s}_{2},{s}_{3}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of VINE stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## VINE Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+4 weeks)

**Sample Set:**Neural Network

**Stock/Index:**VINE Fresh Vine Wine Inc. Common Stock

**Time series to forecast n: 03 Mar 2023**for (n+4 weeks)

**According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold**

**X axis: *Likelihood%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

**Y axis: *Potential Impact%** (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

**Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%**

## IFRS Reconciliation Adjustments for Fresh Vine Wine Inc. Common Stock

- When applying the effective interest method, an entity generally amortises any fees, points paid or received, transaction costs and other premiums or discounts that are included in the calculation of the effective interest rate over the expected life of the financial instrument. However, a shorter period is used if this is the period to which the fees, points paid or received, transaction costs, premiums or discounts relate. This will be the case when the variable to which the fees, points paid or received, transaction costs, premiums or discounts relate is repriced to market rates before the expected maturity of the financial instrument. In such a case, the appropriate amortisation period is the period to the next such repricing date. For example, if a premium or discount on a floating-rate financial instrument reflects the interest that has accrued on that financial instrument since the interest was last paid, or changes in the market rates since the floating interest rate was reset to the market rates, it will be amortised to the next date when the floating interest is reset to market rates. This is because the premium or discount relates to the period to the next interest reset date because, at that date, the variable to which the premium or discount relates (ie interest rates) is reset to the market rates. If, however, the premium or discount results from a change in the credit spread over the floating rate specified in the financial instrument, or other variables that are not reset to the market rates, it is amortised over the expected life of the financial instrument.
- For the purpose of applying paragraph 6.5.11, at the point when an entity amends the description of a hedged item as required in paragraph 6.9.1(b), the amount accumulated in the cash flow hedge reserve shall be deemed to be based on the alternative benchmark rate on which the hedged future cash flows are determined.
- For purchased or originated credit-impaired financial assets, expected credit losses shall be discounted using the credit-adjusted effective interest rate determined at initial recognition.
- If a variable-rate financial liability bears interest of (for example) three-month LIBOR minus 20 basis points (with a floor at zero basis points), an entity can designate as the hedged item the change in the cash flows of that entire liability (ie three-month LIBOR minus 20 basis points—including the floor) that is attributable to changes in LIBOR. Hence, as long as the three-month LIBOR forward curve for the remaining life of that liability does not fall below 20 basis points, the hedged item has the same cash flow variability as a liability that bears interest at three-month LIBOR with a zero or positive spread. However, if the three-month LIBOR forward curve for the remaining life of that liability (or a part of it) falls below 20 basis points, the hedged item has a lower cash flow variability than a liability that bears interest at threemonth LIBOR with a zero or positive spread.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

## Conclusions

Fresh Vine Wine Inc. Common Stock is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating. Fresh Vine Wine Inc. Common Stock prediction model is evaluated with Statistical Inference (ML) and Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test^{1,2,3,4} and it is concluded that the VINE stock is predictable in the short/long term. ** According to price forecasts for (n+4 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold**

### VINE Fresh Vine Wine Inc. Common Stock Financial Analysis*

Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|

Outlook* | Ba1 | Ba1 |

Income Statement | B1 | Caa2 |

Balance Sheet | C | Baa2 |

Leverage Ratios | B2 | C |

Cash Flow | Caa2 | Ba3 |

Rates of Return and Profitability | Baa2 | Caa2 |

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.

How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

### Prediction Confidence Score

## References

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- Chernozhukov V, Chetverikov D, Demirer M, Duflo E, Hansen C, Newey W. 2017. Double/debiased/ Neyman machine learning of treatment effects. Am. Econ. Rev. 107:261–65
- H. Khalil and J. Grizzle. Nonlinear systems, volume 3. Prentice hall Upper Saddle River, 2002.
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- Barkan O. 2016. Bayesian neural word embedding. arXiv:1603.06571 [math.ST]

## Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for VINE stock?A: VINE stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) and Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test

Q: Is VINE stock a buy or sell?

A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold VINE Stock.

Q: Is Fresh Vine Wine Inc. Common Stock stock a good investment?

A: The consensus rating for Fresh Vine Wine Inc. Common Stock is Hold and is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.

Q: What is the consensus rating of VINE stock?

A: The consensus rating for VINE is Hold.

Q: What is the prediction period for VINE stock?

A: The prediction period for VINE is (n+4 weeks)