Outlook: FIRST REPUBLIC BANK Depositary Shares each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of 4.000% Noncumulative Perpetual Series M Preferred Stock is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n: 23 Apr 2023 for (n+8 weeks)
Methodology : Transductive Learning (ML)

## Abstract

FIRST REPUBLIC BANK Depositary Shares each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of 4.000% Noncumulative Perpetual Series M Preferred Stock prediction model is evaluated with Transductive Learning (ML) and Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the FRC^M stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold

## Key Points

1. Is now good time to invest?
2. Probability Distribution

## FRC^M Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider FIRST REPUBLIC BANK Depositary Shares each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of 4.000% Noncumulative Perpetual Series M Preferred Stock Decision Process with Transductive Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of FRC^M stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4

F(Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test)5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{a1}& {p}_{a2}& \dots & {p}_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{j1}& {p}_{j2}& \dots & {p}_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{k1}& {p}_{k2}& \dots & {p}_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ {p}_{n1}& {p}_{n2}& \dots & {p}_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Transductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ (n+8 weeks) $\stackrel{\to }{R}=\left({r}_{1},{r}_{2},{r}_{3}\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of FRC^M stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

## FRC^M Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+8 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: FRC^M FIRST REPUBLIC BANK Depositary Shares each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of 4.000% Noncumulative Perpetual Series M Preferred Stock
Time series to forecast n: 23 Apr 2023 for (n+8 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

## IFRS Reconciliation Adjustments for FIRST REPUBLIC BANK Depositary Shares each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of 4.000% Noncumulative Perpetual Series M Preferred Stock

1. Expected credit losses shall be discounted to the reporting date, not to the expected default or some other date, using the effective interest rate determined at initial recognition or an approximation thereof. If a financial instrument has a variable interest rate, expected credit losses shall be discounted using the current effective interest rate determined in accordance with paragraph B5.4.5.
2. Leverage is a contractual cash flow characteristic of some financial assets. Leverage increases the variability of the contractual cash flows with the result that they do not have the economic characteristics of interest. Stand-alone option, forward and swap contracts are examples of financial assets that include such leverage. Thus, such contracts do not meet the condition in paragraphs 4.1.2(b) and 4.1.2A(b) and cannot be subsequently measured at amortised cost or fair value through other comprehensive income.
3. For the purpose of applying paragraphs B4.1.11(b) and B4.1.12(b), irrespective of the event or circumstance that causes the early termination of the contract, a party may pay or receive reasonable compensation for that early termination. For example, a party may pay or receive reasonable compensation when it chooses to terminate the contract early (or otherwise causes the early termination to occur).
4. The accounting for the time value of options in accordance with paragraph 6.5.15 applies only to the extent that the time value relates to the hedged item (aligned time value). The time value of an option relates to the hedged item if the critical terms of the option (such as the nominal amount, life and underlying) are aligned with the hedged item. Hence, if the critical terms of the option and the hedged item are not fully aligned, an entity shall determine the aligned time value, ie how much of the time value included in the premium (actual time value) relates to the hedged item (and therefore should be treated in accordance with paragraph 6.5.15). An entity determines the aligned time value using the valuation of the option that would have critical terms that perfectly match the hedged item.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

## Conclusions

FIRST REPUBLIC BANK Depositary Shares each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of 4.000% Noncumulative Perpetual Series M Preferred Stock is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating. FIRST REPUBLIC BANK Depositary Shares each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of 4.000% Noncumulative Perpetual Series M Preferred Stock prediction model is evaluated with Transductive Learning (ML) and Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the FRC^M stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+8 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold

### FRC^M FIRST REPUBLIC BANK Depositary Shares each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of 4.000% Noncumulative Perpetual Series M Preferred Stock Financial Analysis*

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*Ba1Ba1
Income StatementB3B2
Balance SheetBa1B3
Leverage RatiosCaa2B2
Cash FlowCaa2Ba2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityCC

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

### Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 91 out of 100 with 501 signals.

## References

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Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for FRC^M stock?
A: FRC^M stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) and Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test
Q: Is FRC^M stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold FRC^M Stock.
Q: Is FIRST REPUBLIC BANK Depositary Shares each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of 4.000% Noncumulative Perpetual Series M Preferred Stock stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for FIRST REPUBLIC BANK Depositary Shares each representing a 1/40th interest in a share of 4.000% Noncumulative Perpetual Series M Preferred Stock is Hold and is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of FRC^M stock?
A: The consensus rating for FRC^M is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for FRC^M stock?
A: The prediction period for FRC^M is (n+8 weeks)