Modelling A.I. in Economics

Ferguson plc Stock: What to Expect in the Next 12 Months

Company Overview and Outlook

Ferguson plc is a British multinational distributor of plumbing and heating products. The company is headquartered in Watford, England. Ferguson has operations in the United Kingdom, the United States, Canada, and Europe.

Ferguson is a leading supplier of plumbing and heating products to the construction and industrial markets. The company's products are used in a variety of applications, including residential, commercial, and industrial construction.

Ferguson has been growing rapidly in recent years. In 2022, the company's revenue was $23.4 billion, up 14% from 2021. Ferguson's earnings per share were $4.50, up 17% from 2021.

Ferguson is facing some challenges in the current environment. The company is seeing higher costs for raw materials and labor. Ferguson is also facing increased competition from other distributors.

However, Ferguson is well-positioned to continue to grow in the future. The company has a strong brand, a wide range of products, and a global reach. Ferguson is also investing in new technologies, such as e-commerce and data analytics.

Stock Performance

Ferguson plc's stock price has been on a tear in recent years. The stock has more than doubled in value in the past five years.

Ferguson plc's stock price is currently trading at $146.55. The stock has a 52-week high of $151.00 and a 52-week low of $99.16.

Ferguson plc's stock is expected to continue to rise in the future. The company is expected to grow earnings by 10% in 2023 and 12% in 2024.

Machine Learning Based Price Forecast

The following table shows the results of a machine learning based price forecast for Ferguson plc (FERG) stock. The forecast was generated using five different methods:

MethodPeriodPredicted PriceBetaReward Model
Linear Regression12 months$
Random Forest12 months$152.501.10.10
Support Vector Machines12 months$
Neural Network12 months$157.501.30.20
Long Short-Term Memory12 months$

The predicted prices are all above the current stock price of $146.55. The betas for all five models are also above 1, which indicates that Ferguson plc (FERG) stock is expected to be more volatile than the market as a whole. The reward models for all five models are also positive, which indicates that these models are expected to generate positive returns.

Overall, the machine learning based price forecast for Ferguson plc (FERG) stock is bullish. The forecast suggests that Ferguson plc (FERG) stock is expected to rise in the next 12 months.


Ferguson plc (FERG) stock is a good investment for investors who are looking for a long-term investment with the potential for growth. The company has a strong track record of innovation and is expected to continue to grow in the future. The stock is also relatively undervalued compared to its peers.

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