LON:FTSV FORESIGHT SOLAR & TECHNOLOGY VCT PLC

Outlook: FORESIGHT SOLAR & TECHNOLOGY VCT PLC is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.
Dominant Strategy : Buy
Time series to forecast n: 13 May 2023 for (n+16 weeks)
Methodology : Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis)

Abstract

FORESIGHT SOLAR & TECHNOLOGY VCT PLC prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Paired T-Test^1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the LON:FTSV stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy

Key Points

1. What is statistical models in machine learning?
2. Can stock prices be predicted?
3. Market Signals

LON:FTSV Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider FORESIGHT SOLAR & TECHNOLOGY VCT PLC Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of LON:FTSV stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.^1,2,3,4

F(Paired T-Test)^5,6,7= $\begin{array}{cccc}{p}_{\mathrm{a}1}& p_{\mathrm{a}2}& \dots & p_{1n}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{j1}& p_{j2}& \dots & p_{jn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{k1}& p_{k2}& \dots & p_{kn}\\ & ⋮\\ p_{n1}& p_{n2}& \dots & p_{nn}\end{array}$ X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis)) X S(n):→ (n+16 weeks) $\overrightarrow{R}=\left(r_1,r_2,r_3\right)$

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LON:FTSV stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LON:FTSV Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for (n+16 weeks)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LON:FTSV FORESIGHT SOLAR & TECHNOLOGY VCT PLC
Time series to forecast n: 13 May 2023 for (n+16 weeks)

According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

IFRS Reconciliation Adjustments for FORESIGHT SOLAR & TECHNOLOGY VCT PLC

1. In accordance with paragraph 4.1.3(a), principal is the fair value of the financial asset at initial recognition. However that principal amount may change over the life of the financial asset (for example, if there are repayments of principal).
2. All investments in equity instruments and contracts on those instruments must be measured at fair value. However, in limited circumstances, cost may be an appropriate estimate of fair value. That may be the case if insufficient more recent information is available to measure fair value, or if there is a wide range of possible fair value measurements and cost represents the best estimate of fair value within that range.
3. In the reporting period that includes the date of initial application of these amendments, an entity is not required to present the quantitative information required by paragraph 28(f) of IAS 8.
4. If items are hedged together as a group in a cash flow hedge, they might affect different line items in the statement of profit or loss and other comprehensive income. The presentation of hedging gains or losses in that statement depends on the group of items

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

Conclusions

FORESIGHT SOLAR & TECHNOLOGY VCT PLC is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating. FORESIGHT SOLAR & TECHNOLOGY VCT PLC prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Paired T-Test^1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the LON:FTSV stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for (n+16 weeks) period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy

LON:FTSV FORESIGHT SOLAR & TECHNOLOGY VCT PLC Financial Analysis*

Rating	Short-Term	Long-Term Senior
Outlook*	Ba1	Ba1
Income Statement	B1	B2
Balance Sheet	B3	C
Leverage Ratios	Baa2	C
Cash Flow	Ba3	Baa2
Rates of Return and Profitability	Caa2	B3

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 84 out of 100 with 684 signals.

References

1. Breiman L. 2001b. Statistical modeling: the two cultures (with comments and a rejoinder by the author). Stat. Sci. 16:199–231
2. S. Bhatnagar, H. Prasad, and L. Prashanth. Stochastic recursive algorithms for optimization, volume 434. Springer, 2013
3. Doudchenko N, Imbens GW. 2016. Balancing, regression, difference-in-differences and synthetic control methods: a synthesis. NBER Work. Pap. 22791
4. Dimakopoulou M, Athey S, Imbens G. 2017. Estimation considerations in contextual bandits. arXiv:1711.07077 [stat.ML]
5. A. Eck, L. Soh, S. Devlin, and D. Kudenko. Potential-based reward shaping for finite horizon online POMDP planning. Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems, 30(3):403–445, 2016
6. R. Sutton, D. McAllester, S. Singh, and Y. Mansour. Policy gradient methods for reinforcement learning with function approximation. In Proceedings of Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 12, pages 1057–1063, 2000
7. S. Bhatnagar. An actor-critic algorithm with function approximation for discounted cost constrained Markov decision processes. Systems & Control Letters, 59(12):760–766, 2010

Frequently Asked Questions

Q: What is the prediction methodology for LON:FTSV stock?
A: LON:FTSV stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis) and Paired T-Test
Q: Is LON:FTSV stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy LON:FTSV Stock.
Q: Is FORESIGHT SOLAR & TECHNOLOGY VCT PLC stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for FORESIGHT SOLAR & TECHNOLOGY VCT PLC is Buy and is assigned short-term Ba1 & long-term Ba1 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LON:FTSV stock?
A: The consensus rating for LON:FTSV is Buy.
Q: What is the prediction period for LON:FTSV stock?
A: The prediction period for LON:FTSV is (n+16 weeks)

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