Modelling A.I. in Economics

Oil Prices: The Wild Card for the Global Economy in 2023


The oil price is expected to remain volatile in 2023, with prices ranging from $70 to $100 per barrel. This is due to a number of factors, including the ongoing war in Ukraine, the global economic recovery, and the impact of climate change policies.


Oil is a major commodity that is used to power transportation, generate electricity, and produce plastics. The price of oil is affected by a number of factors, including supply and demand, geopolitical events, and economic conditions.

Factors Affecting the Oil Price in 2023

There are a number of factors that can affect the oil price in 2023, including:

  • Supply and Demand: The oil price is primarily determined by supply and demand. When demand for oil is high and supply is low, the price of oil will rise.
  • Geopolitical Events: Geopolitical events, such as wars and embargoes, can also affect the oil price. For example, the ongoing war in Ukraine has led to a sharp increase in oil prices.
  • Economic Conditions: The global economic recovery is also expected to support oil prices in 2023. As economies grow, demand for oil will increase.
  • Climate Change Policies: Climate change policies are also expected to have an impact on the oil price. As governments adopt more ambitious climate change goals, they are likely to impose stricter regulations on the oil industry. This could lead to a decrease in oil production and an increase in oil prices.

Estimated Oil Price in 2023

Based on the current factors, the oil price is expected to remain volatile in 2023. Prices are likely to range from $70 to $100 per barrel. However, the actual price could be higher or lower, depending on the specific factors that affect the market.


The oil price is a volatile asset, and its future direction is uncertain. However, based on the current factors, it is expected to remain volatile in 2023.

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