Modelling A.I. in Economics

BHAT Stock: Where should i invest $1000 right now?

Outlook: Blue Hat Interactive Entertainment Technology Ordinary Shares is assigned short-term B2 & long-term B2 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised :
Dominant Strategy : Buy
Time series to forecast n: for 16 Weeks
Methodology : Transductive Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Chi-Square
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

Summary

Blue Hat Interactive Entertainment Technology Ordinary Shares prediction model is evaluated with Transductive Learning (ML) and Chi-Square1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the BHAT stock is predictable in the short/long term. Transductive learning is a supervised machine learning (ML) method in which the model is trained on both labeled and unlabeled data. The goal of transductive learning is to predict the labels of the unlabeled data. Transductive learning is a hybrid of inductive and semi-supervised learning. Inductive learning algorithms are trained on labeled data only, while semi-supervised learning algorithms are trained on a combination of labeled and unlabeled data. Transductive learning algorithms can achieve better performance than inductive learning algorithms on tasks where there is a small amount of labeled data. This is because transductive learning algorithms can use the unlabeled data to help them learn the relationships between the features and the labels. According to price forecasts for 16 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy

Graph 8

Key Points

  1. How do you pick a stock?
  2. How can neural networks improve predictions?
  3. Why do we need predictive models?

BHAT Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Blue Hat Interactive Entertainment Technology Ordinary Shares Decision Process with Transductive Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of BHAT stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Chi-Square)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Transductive Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ 16 Weeks e x rx

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of BHAT stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

Transductive Learning (ML)

Transductive learning is a supervised machine learning (ML) method in which the model is trained on both labeled and unlabeled data. The goal of transductive learning is to predict the labels of the unlabeled data. Transductive learning is a hybrid of inductive and semi-supervised learning. Inductive learning algorithms are trained on labeled data only, while semi-supervised learning algorithms are trained on a combination of labeled and unlabeled data. Transductive learning algorithms can achieve better performance than inductive learning algorithms on tasks where there is a small amount of labeled data. This is because transductive learning algorithms can use the unlabeled data to help them learn the relationships between the features and the labels.

Chi-Square

A chi-squared test is a statistical hypothesis test that assesses whether observed frequencies in a sample differ significantly from expected frequencies. It is one of the most widely used statistical tests in the social sciences and in many areas of observational research. The chi-squared test is a non-parametric test, meaning that it does not assume that the data is normally distributed. This makes it a versatile tool that can be used to analyze a wide variety of data. There are two main types of chi-squared tests: the chi-squared goodness of fit test and the chi-squared test of independence.

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

BHAT Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for 16 Weeks

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: BHAT Blue Hat Interactive Entertainment Technology Ordinary Shares
Time series to forecast: 16 Weeks

According to price forecasts for 16 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy

Strategic Interaction Table Legends:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

Financial Data Adjustments for Transductive Learning (ML) based BHAT Prediction Model

  1. If an entity previously accounted at cost (in accordance with IAS 39), for an investment in an equity instrument that does not have a quoted price in an active market for an identical instrument (ie a Level 1 input) (or for a derivative asset that is linked to and must be settled by delivery of such an equity instrument) it shall measure that instrument at fair value at the date of initial application. Any difference between the previous carrying amount and the fair value shall be recognised in the opening retained earnings (or other component of equity, as appropriate) of the reporting period that includes the date of initial application.
  2. Paragraph 6.3.4 permits an entity to designate as hedged items aggregated exposures that are a combination of an exposure and a derivative. When designating such a hedged item, an entity assesses whether the aggregated exposure combines an exposure with a derivative so that it creates a different aggregated exposure that is managed as one exposure for a particular risk (or risks). In that case, the entity may designate the hedged item on the basis of the aggregated exposure
  3. If such a mismatch would be created or enlarged, the entity is required to present all changes in fair value (including the effects of changes in the credit risk of the liability) in profit or loss. If such a mismatch would not be created or enlarged, the entity is required to present the effects of changes in the liability's credit risk in other comprehensive income.
  4. For purchased or originated credit-impaired financial assets, expected credit losses shall be discounted using the credit-adjusted effective interest rate determined at initial recognition.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

Conclusions

Blue Hat Interactive Entertainment Technology Ordinary Shares is assigned short-term B2 & long-term B2 estimated rating. Blue Hat Interactive Entertainment Technology Ordinary Shares prediction model is evaluated with Transductive Learning (ML) and Chi-Square1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the BHAT stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for 16 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy

BHAT Blue Hat Interactive Entertainment Technology Ordinary Shares Financial Analysis*

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2B2
Income StatementBaa2B3
Balance SheetBaa2B1
Leverage RatiosCaa2C
Cash FlowCaa2Ba2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityCC

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 81 out of 100 with 847 signals.

References

  1. C. Wu and Y. Lin. Minimizing risk models in Markov decision processes with policies depending on target values. Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, 231(1):47–67, 1999
  2. J. Filar, D. Krass, and K. Ross. Percentile performance criteria for limiting average Markov decision pro- cesses. IEEE Transaction of Automatic Control, 40(1):2–10, 1995.
  3. R. Sutton and A. Barto. Reinforcement Learning. The MIT Press, 1998
  4. Sutton RS, Barto AG. 1998. Reinforcement Learning: An Introduction. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
  5. Rosenbaum PR, Rubin DB. 1983. The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika 70:41–55
  6. M. Ono, M. Pavone, Y. Kuwata, and J. Balaram. Chance-constrained dynamic programming with application to risk-aware robotic space exploration. Autonomous Robots, 39(4):555–571, 2015
  7. Chen X. 2007. Large sample sieve estimation of semi-nonparametric models. In Handbook of Econometrics, Vol. 6B, ed. JJ Heckman, EE Learner, pp. 5549–632. Amsterdam: Elsevier
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for BHAT stock?
A: BHAT stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transductive Learning (ML) and Chi-Square
Q: Is BHAT stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy BHAT Stock.
Q: Is Blue Hat Interactive Entertainment Technology Ordinary Shares stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Blue Hat Interactive Entertainment Technology Ordinary Shares is Buy and is assigned short-term B2 & long-term B2 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of BHAT stock?
A: The consensus rating for BHAT is Buy.
Q: What is the prediction period for BHAT stock?
A: The prediction period for BHAT is 16 Weeks

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