Modelling A.I. in Economics

Is LCT Stock Expected to Go Up?

Outlook: LIVING CELL TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED is assigned short-term B3 & long-term B1 estimated rating.
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n: 25 Jun 2023 for 16 Weeks
Methodology : Statistical Inference (ML)

Summary

LIVING CELL TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED prediction model is evaluated with Statistical Inference (ML) and Sign Test1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the LCT stock is predictable in the short/long term. Statistical inference is a process of drawing conclusions about a population based on data from a sample of that population. In machine learning (ML), statistical inference is used to make predictions about new data based on data that has already been seen. According to price forecasts for 16 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold

Graph 40

Key Points

  1. Operational Risk
  2. Reaction Function
  3. Prediction Modeling

LCT Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider LIVING CELL TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED Decision Process with Statistical Inference (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of LCT stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Sign Test)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Statistical Inference (ML)) X S(n):→ 16 Weeks S = s 1 s 2 s 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of LCT stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

Statistical Inference (ML)

Statistical inference is a process of drawing conclusions about a population based on data from a sample of that population. In machine learning (ML), statistical inference is used to make predictions about new data based on data that has already been seen.

Sign Test

The sign test is a non-parametric hypothesis test that is used to compare two paired samples. In a paired sample, each data point in one sample is paired with a data point in the other sample. The pairs are typically related in some way, such as before and after measurements, or measurements from the same subject under different conditions. The sign test is a non-parametric test, which means that it does not assume that the data is normally distributed. The sign test is also a dependent samples test, which means that the data points in each pair are correlated.

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

LCT Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) for 16 Weeks

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: LCT LIVING CELL TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED
Time series to forecast n: 25 Jun 2023 for 16 Weeks

According to price forecasts for 16 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

IFRS Reconciliation Adjustments for LIVING CELL TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED

  1. The characteristics of the hedged item, including how and when the hedged item affects profit or loss, also affect the period over which the forward element of a forward contract that hedges a time-period related hedged item is amortised, which is over the period to which the forward element relates. For example, if a forward contract hedges the exposure to variability in threemonth interest rates for a three-month period that starts in six months' time, the forward element is amortised during the period that spans months seven to nine.
  2. The accounting for the time value of options in accordance with paragraph 6.5.15 applies only to the extent that the time value relates to the hedged item (aligned time value). The time value of an option relates to the hedged item if the critical terms of the option (such as the nominal amount, life and underlying) are aligned with the hedged item. Hence, if the critical terms of the option and the hedged item are not fully aligned, an entity shall determine the aligned time value, ie how much of the time value included in the premium (actual time value) relates to the hedged item (and therefore should be treated in accordance with paragraph 6.5.15). An entity determines the aligned time value using the valuation of the option that would have critical terms that perfectly match the hedged item.
  3. The fact that a derivative is in or out of the money when it is designated as a hedging instrument does not in itself mean that a qualitative assessment is inappropriate. It depends on the circumstances whether hedge ineffectiveness arising from that fact could have a magnitude that a qualitative assessment would not adequately capture.
  4. If there are changes in circumstances that affect hedge effectiveness, an entity may have to change the method for assessing whether a hedging relationship meets the hedge effectiveness requirements in order to ensure that the relevant characteristics of the hedging relationship, including the sources of hedge ineffectiveness, are still captured.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

Conclusions

LIVING CELL TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED is assigned short-term B3 & long-term B1 estimated rating. LIVING CELL TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED prediction model is evaluated with Statistical Inference (ML) and Sign Test1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the LCT stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for 16 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold

LCT LIVING CELL TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED Financial Analysis*

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B3B1
Income StatementCCaa2
Balance SheetB3B3
Leverage RatiosCB1
Cash FlowBaa2B2
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityCBaa2

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 92 out of 100 with 857 signals.

References

  1. S. J. Russell and P. Norvig. Artificial Intelligence: A Modern Approach. Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ, 3nd edition, 2010
  2. M. Benaim, J. Hofbauer, and S. Sorin. Stochastic approximations and differential inclusions, Part II: Appli- cations. Mathematics of Operations Research, 31(4):673–695, 2006
  3. Andrews, D. W. K. W. Ploberger (1994), "Optimal tests when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative," Econometrica, 62, 1383–1414.
  4. D. Bertsekas. Dynamic programming and optimal control. Athena Scientific, 1995.
  5. E. van der Pol and F. A. Oliehoek. Coordinated deep reinforcement learners for traffic light control. NIPS Workshop on Learning, Inference and Control of Multi-Agent Systems, 2016.
  6. Abadie A, Diamond A, Hainmueller J. 2010. Synthetic control methods for comparative case studies: estimat- ing the effect of California's tobacco control program. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 105:493–505
  7. Breusch, T. S. A. R. Pagan (1979), "A simple test for heteroskedasticity and random coefficient variation," Econometrica, 47, 1287–1294.
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for LCT stock?
A: LCT stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Statistical Inference (ML) and Sign Test
Q: Is LCT stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold LCT Stock.
Q: Is LIVING CELL TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for LIVING CELL TECHNOLOGIES LIMITED is Hold and is assigned short-term B3 & long-term B1 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of LCT stock?
A: The consensus rating for LCT is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for LCT stock?
A: The prediction period for LCT is 16 Weeks

People also ask

⚐ What are the top stocks to invest in right now?
☵ What happens to stocks when they're delisted?
This project is licensed under the license; additional terms may apply.