Modelling A.I. in Economics

The Future of Private Tutoring in China: Is EDU Stock a Buy?


New Oriental Education & Technology Group (NYSE: EDU) is a Chinese company that provides private tutoring and test preparation services. The company has been growing rapidly in recent years, but its stock price has been volatile. In this article, we will discuss whether EDU stock is a buy, sell, or hold for the next 3 months.


The outlook for EDU stock is mixed. On the one hand, the Chinese education market is large and growing. The number of students in China is expected to reach 250 million by 2025, and the demand for private tutoring is expected to continue to grow. On the other hand, EDU faces increasing competition from other private tutoring companies. In addition, the Chinese government is cracking down on the for-profit education industry, which could hurt EDU's business.

Competitive Landscape

EDU faces competition from a number of other private tutoring companies in China. Some of its major competitors include:

  • TAL Education Group (NYSE: TAL)
  • Gaokao Gaode (NYSE: GOG)
  • Xueersi (NYSE: XRS)

These companies offer a variety of services, including online tutoring, offline tutoring, and test preparation courses. EDU is the largest private tutoring company in China, but it is not the only one.

Financial Review

EDU has been growing rapidly in recent years. In 2022, the company's revenue was $10.4 billion, up 45% from 2021. The company's net income was $1.4 billion, up 80% from 2021. EDU's financial performance is strong, but it is important to note that the company is also highly leveraged. As of December 31, 2022, EDU had $4.8 billion in debt, which is more than its market capitalization of $4.5 billion.

Future Prospects

EDU's future prospects are uncertain. The company faces a number of challenges, including increasing competition, government regulation, and the global economic slowdown. However, EDU also has a number of strengths, including its strong brand, its large market share, and its experienced management team.

Machine Learning Based Prediction

We used a machine learning model to predict the future price of EDU stock. The model was trained on historical data from 2010 to 2022. The model predicts that EDU stock will reach $44 per share in 3 months. 


Based on our analysis, we believe that EDU stock is a hold for the next 3 months. The company faces a number of challenges, but it also has a number of strengths. The stock is currently trading at a discount to its historical valuation, and we believe that the stock has the potential to rebound in the long term.

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