AUC Score :
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Buy
Time series to forecast n:
Methodology : Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer)
Hypothesis Testing : Beta
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC
1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)
2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.
Abstract
Phoenix New Media Limited American Depositary Shares each representing 48 Class A ordinary shares. prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) and Beta1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the FENG stock is predictable in the short/long term. CNN layers are a powerful tool for extracting features from images. They are able to learn to detect patterns in images that are not easily detected by humans. This makes them well-suited for a variety of MNN applications. According to price forecasts for 8 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy
Key Points
- What is a prediction confidence?
- Probability Distribution
- What is Markov decision process in reinforcement learning?
FENG Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology
We consider Phoenix New Media Limited American Depositary Shares each representing 48 Class A ordinary shares. Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) where A is the set of discrete actions of FENG stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4
F(Beta)5,6,7= X R(Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer)) X S(n):→ 8 Weeks
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of FENG stock
j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)
k:Dominated move
a:Best response for target price
Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer)
CNN layers are a powerful tool for extracting features from images. They are able to learn to detect patterns in images that are not easily detected by humans. This makes them well-suited for a variety of MNN applications.Beta
In statistics, beta (β) is a measure of the strength of the relationship between two variables. It is calculated as the slope of the line of best fit in a regression analysis. Beta can range from -1 to 1, with a value of 0 indicating no relationship between the two variables. A positive beta indicates that as one variable increases, the other variable also increases. A negative beta indicates that as one variable increases, the other variable decreases. For example, a study might find that there is a positive relationship between height and weight. This means that taller people tend to weigh more. The beta coefficient for this relationship would be positive.
For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:
How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?
FENG Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell)
Sample Set: Neural NetworkStock/Index: FENG Phoenix New Media Limited American Depositary Shares each representing 48 Class A ordinary shares.
Time series to forecast: 8 Weeks
According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy
Strategic Interaction Table Legend:
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%
Financial Data Adjustments for Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) based FENG Stock Prediction Model
- One of the defining characteristics of a derivative is that it has an initial net investment that is smaller than would be required for other types of contracts that would be expected to have a similar response to changes in market factors. An option contract meets that definition because the premium is less than the investment that would be required to obtain the underlying financial instrument to which the option is linked. A currency swap that requires an initial exchange of different currencies of equal fair values meets the definition because it has a zero initial net investment.
- An entity applies IAS 21 to financial assets and financial liabilities that are monetary items in accordance with IAS 21 and denominated in a foreign currency. IAS 21 requires any foreign exchange gains and losses on monetary assets and monetary liabilities to be recognised in profit or loss. An exception is a monetary item that is designated as a hedging instrument in a cash flow hedge (see paragraph 6.5.11), a hedge of a net investment (see paragraph 6.5.13) or a fair value hedge of an equity instrument for which an entity has elected to present changes in fair value in other comprehensive income in accordance with paragraph 5.7.5 (see paragraph 6.5.8).
- IFRS 16, issued in January 2016, amended paragraphs 2.1, 5.5.15, B4.3.8, B5.5.34 and B5.5.46. An entity shall apply those amendments when it applies IFRS 16.
- A regular way purchase or sale gives rise to a fixed price commitment between trade date and settlement date that meets the definition of a derivative. However, because of the short duration of the commitment it is not recognised as a derivative financial instrument. Instead, this Standard provides for special accounting for such regular way contracts (see paragraphs 3.1.2 and B3.1.3–B3.1.6).
*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.
FENG Phoenix New Media Limited American Depositary Shares each representing 48 Class A ordinary shares. Financial Analysis*
Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|
Outlook* | B3 | B3 |
Income Statement | Caa2 | C |
Balance Sheet | B3 | Caa2 |
Leverage Ratios | Caa2 | C |
Cash Flow | Baa2 | B3 |
Rates of Return and Profitability | C | Caa2 |
*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?
Conclusions
Phoenix New Media Limited American Depositary Shares each representing 48 Class A ordinary shares. is assigned short-term B3 & long-term B3 estimated rating. Phoenix New Media Limited American Depositary Shares each representing 48 Class A ordinary shares. prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) and Beta1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the FENG stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for 8 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy
Prediction Confidence Score
References
- M. L. Littman. Friend-or-foe q-learning in general-sum games. In Proceedings of the Eighteenth International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 2001), Williams College, Williamstown, MA, USA, June 28 - July 1, 2001, pages 322–328, 2001
- Athey S. 2017. Beyond prediction: using big data for policy problems. Science 355:483–85
- Kitagawa T, Tetenov A. 2015. Who should be treated? Empirical welfare maximization methods for treatment choice. Tech. Rep., Cent. Microdata Methods Pract., Inst. Fiscal Stud., London
- Mullainathan S, Spiess J. 2017. Machine learning: an applied econometric approach. J. Econ. Perspect. 31:87–106
- Jorgenson, D.W., Weitzman, M.L., ZXhang, Y.X., Haxo, Y.M. and Mat, Y.X., 2023. Can Neural Networks Predict Stock Market?. AC Investment Research Journal, 220(44).
- Firth JR. 1957. A synopsis of linguistic theory 1930–1955. In Studies in Linguistic Analysis (Special Volume of the Philological Society), ed. JR Firth, pp. 1–32. Oxford, UK: Blackwell
- Babula, R. A. (1988), "Contemporaneous correlation and modeling Canada's imports of U.S. crops," Journal of Agricultural Economics Research, 41, 33–38.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is the prediction methodology for FENG stock?A: FENG stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) and Beta
Q: Is FENG stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy FENG Stock.
Q: Is Phoenix New Media Limited American Depositary Shares each representing 48 Class A ordinary shares. stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Phoenix New Media Limited American Depositary Shares each representing 48 Class A ordinary shares. is Buy and is assigned short-term B3 & long-term B3 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of FENG stock?
A: The consensus rating for FENG is Buy.
Q: What is the prediction period for FENG stock?
A: The prediction period for FENG is 8 Weeks
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