AUC Score :
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n:
Methodology : Active Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Beta
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC
1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)
2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.
Summary
Encore Wire Corporation Common Stock prediction model is evaluated with Active Learning (ML) and Beta1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the WIRE stock is predictable in the short/long term. Active learning (AL) is a machine learning (ML) method in which the model actively queries the user for labels on data points. This allows the model to learn more efficiently, as it is only learning about the data points that are most informative. According to price forecasts for 3 Month period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold
Key Points
- Decision Making
- Stock Forecast Based On a Predictive Algorithm
- How useful are statistical predictions?
WIRE Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology
We consider Encore Wire Corporation Common Stock Decision Process with Active Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of WIRE stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4
F(Beta)5,6,7= X R(Active Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ 3 Month
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of WIRE stock
j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)
k:Dominated move
a:Best response for target price
Active Learning (ML)
Active learning (AL) is a machine learning (ML) method in which the model actively queries the user for labels on data points. This allows the model to learn more efficiently, as it is only learning about the data points that are most informative.Beta
In statistics, beta (β) is a measure of the strength of the relationship between two variables. It is calculated as the slope of the line of best fit in a regression analysis. Beta can range from -1 to 1, with a value of 0 indicating no relationship between the two variables. A positive beta indicates that as one variable increases, the other variable also increases. A negative beta indicates that as one variable increases, the other variable decreases. For example, a study might find that there is a positive relationship between height and weight. This means that taller people tend to weigh more. The beta coefficient for this relationship would be positive.
For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:
How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?
WIRE Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell)
Sample Set: Neural NetworkStock/Index: WIRE Encore Wire Corporation Common Stock
Time series to forecast: 3 Month
According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold
Strategic Interaction Table Legend:
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%
Financial Data Adjustments for Active Learning (ML) based WIRE Stock Prediction Model
- Expected credit losses reflect an entity's own expectations of credit losses. However, when considering all reasonable and supportable information that is available without undue cost or effort in estimating expected credit losses, an entity should also consider observable market information about the credit risk of the particular financial instrument or similar financial instruments.
- Adjusting the hedge ratio by decreasing the volume of the hedged item does not affect how the changes in the fair value of the hedging instrument are measured. The measurement of the changes in the value of the hedged item related to the volume that continues to be designated also remains unaffected. However, from the date of rebalancing, the volume by which the hedged item was decreased is no longer part of the hedging relationship. For example, if an entity originally hedged a volume of 100 tonnes of a commodity at a forward price of CU80 and reduces that volume by 10 tonnes on rebalancing, the hedged item after rebalancing would be 90 tonnes hedged at CU80. The 10 tonnes of the hedged item that are no longer part of the hedging relationship would be accounted for in accordance with the requirements for the discontinuation of hedge accounting (see paragraphs 6.5.6–6.5.7 and B6.5.22–B6.5.28).
- An entity's business model is determined at a level that reflects how groups of financial assets are managed together to achieve a particular business objective. The entity's business model does not depend on management's intentions for an individual instrument. Accordingly, this condition is not an instrument-by-instrument approach to classification and should be determined on a higher level of aggregation. However, a single entity may have more than one business model for managing its financial instruments. Consequently, classification need not be determined at the reporting entity level. For example, an entity may hold a portfolio of investments that it manages in order to collect contractual cash flows and another portfolio of investments that it manages in order to trade to realise fair value changes. Similarly, in some circumstances, it may be appropriate to separate a portfolio of financial assets into subportfolios in order to reflect the level at which an entity manages those financial assets. For example, that may be the case if an entity originates or purchases a portfolio of mortgage loans and manages some of the loans with an objective of collecting contractual cash flows and manages the other loans with an objective of selling them.
- The underlying pool must contain one or more instruments that have contractual cash flows that are solely payments of principal and interest on the principal amount outstanding
*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.
WIRE Encore Wire Corporation Common Stock Financial Analysis*
Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|
Outlook* | Ba3 | B1 |
Income Statement | Ba3 | B1 |
Balance Sheet | Baa2 | Caa2 |
Leverage Ratios | Baa2 | Baa2 |
Cash Flow | Caa2 | Caa2 |
Rates of Return and Profitability | Baa2 | Ba3 |
*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?
Conclusions
Encore Wire Corporation Common Stock is assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B1 estimated rating. Encore Wire Corporation Common Stock prediction model is evaluated with Active Learning (ML) and Beta1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the WIRE stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for 3 Month period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold
Prediction Confidence Score
References
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- Thompson WR. 1933. On the likelihood that one unknown probability exceeds another in view of the evidence of two samples. Biometrika 25:285–94
- Thompson WR. 1933. On the likelihood that one unknown probability exceeds another in view of the evidence of two samples. Biometrika 25:285–94
- K. Tuyls and G. Weiss. Multiagent learning: Basics, challenges, and prospects. AI Magazine, 33(3): 41–52, 2012
- Tibshirani R, Hastie T. 1987. Local likelihood estimation. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 82:559–67
- G. J. Laurent, L. Matignon, and N. L. Fort-Piat. The world of independent learners is not Markovian. Int. J. Know.-Based Intell. Eng. Syst., 15(1):55–64, 2011
- Çetinkaya, A., Zhang, Y.Z., Hao, Y.M. and Ma, X.Y., Can stock prices be predicted?(SMI Index Stock Forecast). AC Investment Research Journal, 101(3).
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is the prediction methodology for WIRE stock?A: WIRE stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Active Learning (ML) and Beta
Q: Is WIRE stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold WIRE Stock.
Q: Is Encore Wire Corporation Common Stock stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Encore Wire Corporation Common Stock is Hold and is assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B1 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of WIRE stock?
A: The consensus rating for WIRE is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for WIRE stock?
A: The prediction period for WIRE is 3 Month
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