AUC Score :
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Sell
Time series to forecast n:
Methodology : Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer)
Hypothesis Testing : Multiple Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC
1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)
2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.
Abstract
AUSTRALIAN POTASH LIMITED prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) and Multiple Regression1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the APC stock is predictable in the short/long term. CNN layers are a powerful tool for extracting features from images. They are able to learn to detect patterns in images that are not easily detected by humans. This makes them well-suited for a variety of MNN applications. According to price forecasts for 8 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell
Key Points
- Buy, Sell and Hold Signals
- Market Outlook
- Is now good time to invest?
APC Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology
We consider AUSTRALIAN POTASH LIMITED Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) where A is the set of discrete actions of APC stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4
F(Multiple Regression)5,6,7= X R(Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer)) X S(n):→ 8 Weeks
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of APC stock
j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)
k:Dominated move
a:Best response for target price
Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer)
CNN layers are a powerful tool for extracting features from images. They are able to learn to detect patterns in images that are not easily detected by humans. This makes them well-suited for a variety of MNN applications.Multiple Regression
Multiple regression is a statistical method that analyzes the relationship between a dependent variable and multiple independent variables. The dependent variable is the variable that is being predicted, and the independent variables are the variables that are used to predict the dependent variable. Multiple regression is a more complex statistical method than simple linear regression, which only analyzes the relationship between a dependent variable and one independent variable. Multiple regression can be used to analyze more complex relationships between variables, and it can also be used to control for confounding variables. A confounding variable is a variable that is correlated with both the dependent variable and one or more of the independent variables. Confounding variables can distort the relationship between the dependent variable and the independent variables. Multiple regression can be used to control for confounding variables by including them in the model.
For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:
How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?
APC Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell)
Sample Set: Neural NetworkStock/Index: APC AUSTRALIAN POTASH LIMITED
Time series to forecast: 8 Weeks
According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell
Strategic Interaction Table Legend:
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%
Financial Data Adjustments for Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) based APC Stock Prediction Model
- An entity that first applies these amendments after it first applies this Standard shall apply paragraphs 7.2.32–7.2.34. The entity shall also apply the other transition requirements in this Standard necessary for applying these amendments. For that purpose, references to the date of initial application shall be read as referring to the beginning of the reporting period in which an entity first applies these amendments (date of initial application of these amendments).
- For hedges other than hedges of foreign currency risk, when an entity designates a non-derivative financial asset or a non-derivative financial liability measured at fair value through profit or loss as a hedging instrument, it may only designate the non-derivative financial instrument in its entirety or a proportion of it.
- An entity has not retained control of a transferred asset if the transferee has the practical ability to sell the transferred asset. An entity has retained control of a transferred asset if the transferee does not have the practical ability to sell the transferred asset. A transferee has the practical ability to sell the transferred asset if it is traded in an active market because the transferee could repurchase the transferred asset in the market if it needs to return the asset to the entity. For example, a transferee may have the practical ability to sell a transferred asset if the transferred asset is subject to an option that allows the entity to repurchase it, but the transferee can readily obtain the transferred asset in the market if the option is exercised. A transferee does not have the practical ability to sell the transferred asset if the entity retains such an option and the transferee cannot readily obtain the transferred asset in the market if the entity exercises its option
- Annual Improvements to IFRSs 2010–2012 Cycle, issued in December 2013, amended paragraphs 4.2.1 and 5.7.5 as a consequential amendment derived from the amendment to IFRS 3. An entity shall apply that amendment prospectively to business combinations to which the amendment to IFRS 3 applies.
*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.
APC AUSTRALIAN POTASH LIMITED Financial Analysis*
Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|
Outlook* | Ba2 | B2 |
Income Statement | B3 | B3 |
Balance Sheet | Baa2 | Baa2 |
Leverage Ratios | Baa2 | B2 |
Cash Flow | Baa2 | C |
Rates of Return and Profitability | Caa2 | Caa2 |
*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?
Conclusions
AUSTRALIAN POTASH LIMITED is assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term B2 estimated rating. AUSTRALIAN POTASH LIMITED prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) and Multiple Regression1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the APC stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for 8 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell
Prediction Confidence Score
References
- Mazumder R, Hastie T, Tibshirani R. 2010. Spectral regularization algorithms for learning large incomplete matrices. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 11:2287–322
- Athey S, Imbens GW. 2017a. The econometrics of randomized experiments. In Handbook of Economic Field Experiments, Vol. 1, ed. E Duflo, A Banerjee, pp. 73–140. Amsterdam: Elsevier
- J. Harb and D. Precup. Investigating recurrence and eligibility traces in deep Q-networks. In Deep Reinforcement Learning Workshop, NIPS 2016, Barcelona, Spain, 2016.
- V. Borkar. A sensitivity formula for the risk-sensitive cost and the actor-critic algorithm. Systems & Control Letters, 44:339–346, 2001
- Hastie T, Tibshirani R, Wainwright M. 2015. Statistical Learning with Sparsity: The Lasso and Generalizations. New York: CRC Press
- Schapire RE, Freund Y. 2012. Boosting: Foundations and Algorithms. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
- White H. 1992. Artificial Neural Networks: Approximation and Learning Theory. Oxford, UK: Blackwell
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is the prediction methodology for APC stock?A: APC stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (CNN Layer) and Multiple Regression
Q: Is APC stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell APC Stock.
Q: Is AUSTRALIAN POTASH LIMITED stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for AUSTRALIAN POTASH LIMITED is Sell and is assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term B2 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of APC stock?
A: The consensus rating for APC is Sell.
Q: What is the prediction period for APC stock?
A: The prediction period for APC is 8 Weeks
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