AUC Score :
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n:
Methodology : Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : Ridge Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC
1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)
2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.
Abstract
GasLog LP. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preference Shares prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) and Ridge Regression1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the GLOG^A stock is predictable in the short/long term. Modular neural networks (MNNs) are a type of artificial neural network that can be used for financial sentiment analysis. MNNs are made up of multiple smaller neural networks, called modules. Each module is responsible for learning a specific task, such as identifying sentiment in text or identifying patterns in data. The modules are then combined to form a single neural network that can perform multiple tasks. In the context of financial sentiment analysis, MNNs can be used to identify the sentiment of financial news articles, social media posts, and other forms of online content. This information can then be used to make investment decisions, to identify trends in the market, and to target investors with relevant advertising. According to price forecasts for 8 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold
Key Points
- Game Theory
- Prediction Modeling
- Operational Risk
GLOG^A Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology
We consider GasLog LP. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preference Shares Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of GLOG^A stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4
F(Ridge Regression)5,6,7= X R(Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ 8 Weeks
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of GLOG^A stock
j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)
k:Dominated move
a:Best response for target price
Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis)
Modular neural networks (MNNs) are a type of artificial neural network that can be used for financial sentiment analysis. MNNs are made up of multiple smaller neural networks, called modules. Each module is responsible for learning a specific task, such as identifying sentiment in text or identifying patterns in data. The modules are then combined to form a single neural network that can perform multiple tasks. In the context of financial sentiment analysis, MNNs can be used to identify the sentiment of financial news articles, social media posts, and other forms of online content. This information can then be used to make investment decisions, to identify trends in the market, and to target investors with relevant advertising.Ridge Regression
Ridge regression is a type of regression analysis that adds a penalty to the least squares objective function in order to reduce the variance of the estimates. This is done by adding a term to the objective function that is proportional to the sum of the squares of the coefficients. The penalty term is called the "ridge" penalty, and it is controlled by a parameter called the "ridge constant". Ridge regression can be used to address the problem of multicollinearity in linear regression. Multicollinearity occurs when two or more independent variables are highly correlated. This can cause the standard errors of the coefficients to be large, and it can also cause the coefficients to be unstable. Ridge regression can help to reduce the standard errors of the coefficients and to make the coefficients more stable.
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How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?
GLOG^A Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell)
Sample Set: Neural NetworkStock/Index: GLOG^A GasLog LP. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preference Shares
Time series to forecast: 8 Weeks
According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold
Strategic Interaction Table Legend:
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%
Financial Data Adjustments for Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) based GLOG^A Stock Prediction Model
- If items are hedged together as a group in a cash flow hedge, they might affect different line items in the statement of profit or loss and other comprehensive income. The presentation of hedging gains or losses in that statement depends on the group of items
- An entity shall amend a hedging relationship as required in paragraph 6.9.1 by the end of the reporting period during which a change required by interest rate benchmark reform is made to the hedged risk, hedged item or hedging instrument. For the avoidance of doubt, such an amendment to the formal designation of a hedging relationship constitutes neither the discontinuation of the hedging relationship nor the designation of a new hedging relationship.
- An entity that first applies IFRS 17 as amended in June 2020 at the same time it first applies this Standard shall apply paragraphs 7.2.1–7.2.28 instead of paragraphs 7.2.38–7.2.42.
- If an entity previously accounted at cost (in accordance with IAS 39), for an investment in an equity instrument that does not have a quoted price in an active market for an identical instrument (ie a Level 1 input) (or for a derivative asset that is linked to and must be settled by delivery of such an equity instrument) it shall measure that instrument at fair value at the date of initial application. Any difference between the previous carrying amount and the fair value shall be recognised in the opening retained earnings (or other component of equity, as appropriate) of the reporting period that includes the date of initial application.
*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.
GLOG^A GasLog LP. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preference Shares Financial Analysis*
Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|
Outlook* | Ba3 | Ba3 |
Income Statement | Baa2 | Baa2 |
Balance Sheet | Baa2 | C |
Leverage Ratios | Caa2 | Baa2 |
Cash Flow | Caa2 | Baa2 |
Rates of Return and Profitability | Baa2 | Caa2 |
*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?
Conclusions
GasLog LP. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preference Shares is assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Ba3 estimated rating. GasLog LP. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preference Shares prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) and Ridge Regression1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the GLOG^A stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for 8 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold
Prediction Confidence Score
References
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- Jorgenson, D.W., Weitzman, M.L., ZXhang, Y.X., Haxo, Y.M. and Mat, Y.X., 2023. MRNA: The Next Big Thing in mRNA Vaccines. AC Investment Research Journal, 220(44).
- E. Altman. Constrained Markov decision processes, volume 7. CRC Press, 1999
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is the prediction methodology for GLOG^A stock?A: GLOG^A stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Financial Sentiment Analysis) and Ridge Regression
Q: Is GLOG^A stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold GLOG^A Stock.
Q: Is GasLog LP. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preference Shares stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for GasLog LP. 8.75% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preference Shares is Hold and is assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term Ba3 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of GLOG^A stock?
A: The consensus rating for GLOG^A is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for GLOG^A stock?
A: The prediction period for GLOG^A is 8 Weeks
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