AUC Score :
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n:
Methodology : Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : ElasticNet Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC
1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)
2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.
Summary
UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis) and ElasticNet Regression1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the URW stock is predictable in the short/long term. A modular neural network (MNN) is a type of artificial neural network that can be used for news feed sentiment analysis. MNNs are made up of multiple smaller neural networks, called modules. Each module is responsible for learning a specific task, such as identifying sentiment in text or identifying patterns in data. The modules are then combined to form a single neural network that can perform multiple tasks. In the context of news feed sentiment analysis, MNNs can be used to identify the sentiment of news articles, social media posts, and other forms of online content. This information can then be used to filter out irrelevant or unwanted content, to identify trends in public opinion, and to target users with relevant advertising. According to price forecasts for 8 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold
Key Points
- Should I buy stocks now or wait amid such uncertainty?
- How useful are statistical predictions?
- Dominated Move
URW Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology
We consider UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD Decision Process with Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis) where A is the set of discrete actions of URW stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4
F(ElasticNet Regression)5,6,7= X R(Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis)) X S(n):→ 8 Weeks
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of URW stock
j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)
k:Dominated move
a:Best response for target price
Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis)
A modular neural network (MNN) is a type of artificial neural network that can be used for news feed sentiment analysis. MNNs are made up of multiple smaller neural networks, called modules. Each module is responsible for learning a specific task, such as identifying sentiment in text or identifying patterns in data. The modules are then combined to form a single neural network that can perform multiple tasks. In the context of news feed sentiment analysis, MNNs can be used to identify the sentiment of news articles, social media posts, and other forms of online content. This information can then be used to filter out irrelevant or unwanted content, to identify trends in public opinion, and to target users with relevant advertising.ElasticNet Regression
Elastic net regression is a type of regression analysis that combines the benefits of ridge regression and lasso regression. It is a regularized regression method that adds a penalty to the least squares objective function in order to reduce the variance of the estimates, induce sparsity in the model, and reduce overfitting. This is done by adding a term to the objective function that is proportional to the sum of the squares of the coefficients and the sum of the absolute values of the coefficients. The penalty terms are controlled by two parameters, called the ridge constant and the lasso constant. Elastic net regression can be used to address the problems of multicollinearity, overfitting, and sensitivity to outliers. It is a more flexible method than ridge regression or lasso regression, and it can often achieve better results.
For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:
How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?
URW Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell)
Sample Set: Neural NetworkStock/Index: URW UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD
Time series to forecast: 8 Weeks
According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold
Strategic Interaction Table Legend:
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%
Financial Data Adjustments for Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis) based URW Stock Prediction Model
- An entity shall apply Annual Improvements to IFRS Standards 2018–2020 to financial liabilities that are modified or exchanged on or after the beginning of the annual reporting period in which the entity first applies the amendment.
- For the purpose of applying the requirement in paragraph 6.5.12 in order to determine whether the hedged future cash flows are expected to occur, an entity shall assume that the interest rate benchmark on which the hedged cash flows (contractually or non-contractually specified) are based is not altered as a result of interest rate benchmark reform.
- Adjusting the hedge ratio allows an entity to respond to changes in the relationship between the hedging instrument and the hedged item that arise from their underlyings or risk variables. For example, a hedging relationship in which the hedging instrument and the hedged item have different but related underlyings changes in response to a change in the relationship between those two underlyings (for example, different but related reference indices, rates or prices). Hence, rebalancing allows the continuation of a hedging relationship in situations in which the relationship between the hedging instrument and the hedged item chang
- A single hedging instrument may be designated as a hedging instrument of more than one type of risk, provided that there is a specific designation of the hedging instrument and of the different risk positions as hedged items. Those hedged items can be in different hedging relationships.
*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.
URW UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD Financial Analysis*
Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|
Outlook* | B3 | B1 |
Income Statement | Baa2 | Caa2 |
Balance Sheet | C | C |
Leverage Ratios | C | Baa2 |
Cash Flow | B3 | Baa2 |
Rates of Return and Profitability | B3 | B3 |
*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?
Conclusions
UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD is assigned short-term B3 & long-term B1 estimated rating. UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD prediction model is evaluated with Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis) and ElasticNet Regression1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the URW stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for 8 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Hold
Prediction Confidence Score
References
- Breiman L. 1993. Better subset selection using the non-negative garotte. Tech. Rep., Univ. Calif., Berkeley
- Allen, P. G. (1994), "Economic forecasting in agriculture," International Journal of Forecasting, 10, 81–135.
- Morris CN. 1983. Parametric empirical Bayes inference: theory and applications. J. Am. Stat. Assoc. 78:47–55
- Candès E, Tao T. 2007. The Dantzig selector: statistical estimation when p is much larger than n. Ann. Stat. 35:2313–51
- Athey S. 2017. Beyond prediction: using big data for policy problems. Science 355:483–85
- Chow, G. C. (1960), "Tests of equality between sets of coefficients in two linear regressions," Econometrica, 28, 591–605.
- Thompson WR. 1933. On the likelihood that one unknown probability exceeds another in view of the evidence of two samples. Biometrika 25:285–94
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is the prediction methodology for URW stock?A: URW stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Modular Neural Network (Market News Sentiment Analysis) and ElasticNet Regression
Q: Is URW stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Hold URW Stock.
Q: Is UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD is Hold and is assigned short-term B3 & long-term B1 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of URW stock?
A: The consensus rating for URW is Hold.
Q: What is the prediction period for URW stock?
A: The prediction period for URW is 8 Weeks
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