Modelling A.I. in Economics

Is VERY:TSXV Stock Buy or Sell?

Outlook: Very Good Food Company Inc. (The) is assigned short-term B1 & long-term B2 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Buy
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
Methodology : Active Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Independent T-Test
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.

Summary

Very Good Food Company Inc. (The) prediction model is evaluated with Active Learning (ML) and Independent T-Test1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the VERY:TSXV stock is predictable in the short/long term. Active learning (AL) is a machine learning (ML) method in which the model actively queries the user for labels on data points. This allows the model to learn more efficiently, as it is only learning about the data points that are most informative. According to price forecasts for 4 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy

Graph 2

Key Points

  1. Nash Equilibria
  2. How useful are statistical predictions?
  3. Short/Long Term Stocks

VERY:TSXV Target Price Prediction Modeling Methodology

We consider Very Good Food Company Inc. (The) Decision Process with Active Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of VERY:TSXV stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4


F(Independent T-Test)5,6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Active Learning (ML)) X S(n):→ 4 Weeks S = s 1 s 2 s 3

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of VERY:TSXV stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move

a:Best response for target price

Active Learning (ML)

Active learning (AL) is a machine learning (ML) method in which the model actively queries the user for labels on data points. This allows the model to learn more efficiently, as it is only learning about the data points that are most informative.

Independent T-Test

An independent t-test is a statistical test that compares the means of two independent samples. In an independent t-test, the data points in each sample are not related to each other. The independent t-test is a parametric test, which means that it assumes that the data is normally distributed. The independent t-test is also a two-sample test, which means that it compares the means of two independent samples.

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do AC Investment Research machine learning (predictive) algorithms actually work?

VERY:TSXV Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell)

Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: VERY:TSXV Very Good Food Company Inc. (The)
Time series to forecast: 4 Weeks

According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

Financial Data Adjustments for Active Learning (ML) based VERY:TSXV Stock Prediction Model

  1. The rebuttable presumption in paragraph 5.5.11 is not an absolute indicator that lifetime expected credit losses should be recognised, but is presumed to be the latest point at which lifetime expected credit losses should be recognised even when using forward-looking information (including macroeconomic factors on a portfolio level).
  2. For the purpose of this Standard, reasonable and supportable information is that which is reasonably available at the reporting date without undue cost or effort, including information about past events, current conditions and forecasts of future economic conditions. Information that is available for financial reporting purposes is considered to be available without undue cost or effort.
  3. Time value of money is the element of interest that provides consideration for only the passage of time. That is, the time value of money element does not provide consideration for other risks or costs associated with holding the financial asset. In order to assess whether the element provides consideration for only the passage of time, an entity applies judgement and considers relevant factors such as the currency in which the financial asset is denominated and the period for which the interest rate is set.
  4. When determining whether the recognition of lifetime expected credit losses is required, an entity shall consider reasonable and supportable information that is available without undue cost or effort and that may affect the credit risk on a financial instrument in accordance with paragraph 5.5.17(c). An entity need not undertake an exhaustive search for information when determining whether credit risk has increased significantly since initial recognition.

*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.

VERY:TSXV Very Good Food Company Inc. (The) Financial Analysis*

Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B1B2
Income StatementCC
Balance SheetBaa2B1
Leverage RatiosBaa2Ba1
Cash FlowCaa2C
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityB3Caa2

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Conclusions

Very Good Food Company Inc. (The) is assigned short-term B1 & long-term B2 estimated rating. Very Good Food Company Inc. (The) prediction model is evaluated with Active Learning (ML) and Independent T-Test1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the VERY:TSXV stock is predictable in the short/long term. According to price forecasts for 4 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy

Prediction Confidence Score

Trust metric by Neural Network: 79 out of 100 with 766 signals.

References

  1. Alexander, J. C. Jr. (1995), "Refining the degree of earnings surprise: A comparison of statistical and analysts' forecasts," Financial Review, 30, 469–506.
  2. Athey S, Bayati M, Doudchenko N, Imbens G, Khosravi K. 2017a. Matrix completion methods for causal panel data models. arXiv:1710.10251 [math.ST]
  3. Bewley, R. M. Yang (1998), "On the size and power of system tests for cointegration," Review of Economics and Statistics, 80, 675–679.
  4. R. Sutton and A. Barto. Introduction to reinforcement learning. MIT Press, 1998
  5. A. Eck, L. Soh, S. Devlin, and D. Kudenko. Potential-based reward shaping for finite horizon online POMDP planning. Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems, 30(3):403–445, 2016
  6. Ashley, R. (1983), "On the usefulness of macroeconomic forecasts as inputs to forecasting models," Journal of Forecasting, 2, 211–223.
  7. Li L, Chen S, Kleban J, Gupta A. 2014. Counterfactual estimation and optimization of click metrics for search engines: a case study. In Proceedings of the 24th International Conference on the World Wide Web, pp. 929–34. New York: ACM
Frequently Asked QuestionsQ: What is the prediction methodology for VERY:TSXV stock?
A: VERY:TSXV stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Active Learning (ML) and Independent T-Test
Q: Is VERY:TSXV stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy VERY:TSXV Stock.
Q: Is Very Good Food Company Inc. (The) stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Very Good Food Company Inc. (The) is Buy and is assigned short-term B1 & long-term B2 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of VERY:TSXV stock?
A: The consensus rating for VERY:TSXV is Buy.
Q: What is the prediction period for VERY:TSXV stock?
A: The prediction period for VERY:TSXV is 4 Weeks

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