AUC Score :
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Sell
Time series to forecast n:
Methodology : Deductive Inference (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Multiple Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC
1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)
2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.
Summary
Celsius Holdings Inc. Common Stock prediction model is evaluated with Deductive Inference (ML) and Multiple Regression1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the CELH stock is predictable in the short/long term. Deductive inference is a type of reasoning in which a conclusion is drawn based on a set of premises that are assumed to be true. In machine learning (ML), deductive inference can be used to create models that can make predictions about new data based on a set of known rules. Deductive inference is a supervised learning algorithm, which means that it requires labeled data to train. The labeled data is used to train the model to make predictions about new data. There are many different types of deductive inference algorithms, including decision trees, rule-based systems, and expert systems. Each type of algorithm has its own strengths and weaknesses.5 According to price forecasts for 6 Month period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell
Key Points
- Deductive Inference (ML) for CELH stock price prediction process.
- Multiple Regression
- What are the most successful trading algorithms?
- Can machine learning predict?
- Nash Equilibria
CELH Stock Price Forecast
We consider Celsius Holdings Inc. Common Stock Decision Process with Deductive Inference (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of CELH stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4
Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: CELH Celsius Holdings Inc. Common Stock
Time series to forecast: 6 Month
According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Sell
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of CELH stock
j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)
k:Dominated move of CELH stock holders
a:Best response for CELH target price
Deductive inference is a type of reasoning in which a conclusion is drawn based on a set of premises that are assumed to be true. In machine learning (ML), deductive inference can be used to create models that can make predictions about new data based on a set of known rules. Deductive inference is a supervised learning algorithm, which means that it requires labeled data to train. The labeled data is used to train the model to make predictions about new data. There are many different types of deductive inference algorithms, including decision trees, rule-based systems, and expert systems. Each type of algorithm has its own strengths and weaknesses.5 Multiple regression is a statistical method that analyzes the relationship between a dependent variable and multiple independent variables. The dependent variable is the variable that is being predicted, and the independent variables are the variables that are used to predict the dependent variable. Multiple regression is a more complex statistical method than simple linear regression, which only analyzes the relationship between a dependent variable and one independent variable. Multiple regression can be used to analyze more complex relationships between variables, and it can also be used to control for confounding variables. A confounding variable is a variable that is correlated with both the dependent variable and one or more of the independent variables. Confounding variables can distort the relationship between the dependent variable and the independent variables. Multiple regression can be used to control for confounding variables by including them in the model.6,7
For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:
CELH Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table
Strategic Interaction Table Legend:
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%
Financial Data Adjustments for Deductive Inference (ML) based CELH Stock Prediction Model
- For the purposes of applying the requirement in paragraph 5.7.7(a), credit risk is different from asset-specific performance risk. Asset-specific performance risk is not related to the risk that an entity will fail to discharge a particular obligation but instead it is related to the risk that a single asset or a group of assets will perform poorly (or not at all).
- Changes in market conditions that give rise to market risk include changes in a benchmark interest rate, the price of another entity's financial instrument, a commodity price, a foreign exchange rate or an index of prices or rates.
- The purpose of estimating expected credit losses is neither to estimate a worstcase scenario nor to estimate the best-case scenario. Instead, an estimate of expected credit losses shall always reflect the possibility that a credit loss occurs and the possibility that no credit loss occurs even if the most likely outcome is no credit loss.
- For floating-rate financial assets and floating-rate financial liabilities, periodic re-estimation of cash flows to reflect the movements in the market rates of interest alters the effective interest rate. If a floating-rate financial asset or a floating-rate financial liability is recognised initially at an amount equal to the principal receivable or payable on maturity, re-estimating the future interest payments normally has no significant effect on the carrying amount of the asset or the liability.
*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.
CELH Celsius Holdings Inc. Common Stock Financial Analysis*
Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|
Outlook* | Ba3 | B2 |
Income Statement | B1 | C |
Balance Sheet | Baa2 | Baa2 |
Leverage Ratios | C | C |
Cash Flow | Ba3 | C |
Rates of Return and Profitability | Baa2 | Baa2 |
*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?
References
- V. Konda and J. Tsitsiklis. Actor-Critic algorithms. In Proceedings of Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 12, pages 1008–1014, 2000
- Schapire RE, Freund Y. 2012. Boosting: Foundations and Algorithms. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press
- Jorgenson, D.W., Weitzman, M.L., ZXhang, Y.X., Haxo, Y.M. and Mat, Y.X., 2023. Apple's Stock Price: How News Affects Volatility. AC Investment Research Journal, 220(44).
- White H. 1992. Artificial Neural Networks: Approximation and Learning Theory. Oxford, UK: Blackwell
- E. Altman. Constrained Markov decision processes, volume 7. CRC Press, 1999
- Jacobs B, Donkers B, Fok D. 2014. Product Recommendations Based on Latent Purchase Motivations. Rotterdam, Neth.: ERIM
- Mullainathan S, Spiess J. 2017. Machine learning: an applied econometric approach. J. Econ. Perspect. 31:87–106
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: Is CELH stock expected to rise?A: CELH stock prediction model is evaluated with Deductive Inference (ML) and Multiple Regression and it is concluded that dominant strategy for CELH stock is Sell
Q: Is CELH stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Sell CELH Stock.
Q: Is Celsius Holdings Inc. Common Stock stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for Celsius Holdings Inc. Common Stock is Sell and is assigned short-term Ba3 & long-term B2 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of CELH stock?
A: The consensus rating for CELH is Sell.
Q: What is the forecast for CELH stock?
A: CELH target price forecast: Sell
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