AUC Score :
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Buy
Time series to forecast n:
Methodology : Transfer Learning (ML)
Hypothesis Testing : Linear Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC
1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)
2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.
Summary
STRATEGIC ENERGY RESOURCES LIMITED prediction model is evaluated with Transfer Learning (ML) and Linear Regression1,2,3,4 and it is concluded that the SER stock is predictable in the short/long term. Transfer learning is a machine learning (ML) method where a model developed for one task is reused as the starting point for a model on a second task. This can be useful when the second task is similar to the first task, or when there is limited data available for the second task.5 According to price forecasts for 8 Weeks period, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy
Key Points
- Transfer Learning (ML) for SER stock price prediction process.
- Linear Regression
- Trust metric by Neural Network
- How can neural networks improve predictions?
- Trading Interaction
SER Stock Price Forecast
We consider STRATEGIC ENERGY RESOURCES LIMITED Decision Process with Transfer Learning (ML) where A is the set of discrete actions of SER stock holders, F is the set of discrete states, P : S × F × S → R is the transition probability distribution, R : S × F → R is the reaction function, and γ ∈ [0, 1] is a move factor for expectation.1,2,3,4
Sample Set: Neural Network
Stock/Index: SER STRATEGIC ENERGY RESOURCES LIMITED
Time series to forecast: 8 Weeks
According to price forecasts, the dominant strategy among neural network is: Buy
n:Time series to forecast
p:Price signals of SER stock
j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)
k:Dominated move of SER stock holders
a:Best response for SER target price
Transfer learning is a machine learning (ML) method where a model developed for one task is reused as the starting point for a model on a second task. This can be useful when the second task is similar to the first task, or when there is limited data available for the second task.5 In statistics, linear regression is a method for estimating the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables. The dependent variable is the variable that is being predicted, and the independent variables are the variables that are used to predict the dependent variable. Linear regression assumes that the relationship between the dependent variable and the independent variables is linear. This means that the dependent variable can be represented as a straight line function of the independent variables.6,7
For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below:
SER Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table
Strategic Interaction Table Legend:
X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)
Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)
Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%
Financial Data Adjustments for Transfer Learning (ML) based SER Stock Prediction Model
- Hedging relationships that qualified for hedge accounting in accordance with IAS 39 that also qualify for hedge accounting in accordance with the criteria of this Standard (see paragraph 6.4.1), after taking into account any rebalancing of the hedging relationship on transition (see paragraph 7.2.25(b)), shall be regarded as continuing hedging relationships.
- A regular way purchase or sale gives rise to a fixed price commitment between trade date and settlement date that meets the definition of a derivative. However, because of the short duration of the commitment it is not recognised as a derivative financial instrument. Instead, this Standard provides for special accounting for such regular way contracts (see paragraphs 3.1.2 and B3.1.3–B3.1.6).
- The credit risk on a financial instrument is considered low for the purposes of paragraph 5.5.10, if the financial instrument has a low risk of default, the borrower has a strong capacity to meet its contractual cash flow obligations in the near term and adverse changes in economic and business conditions in the longer term may, but will not necessarily, reduce the ability of the borrower to fulfil its contractual cash flow obligations. Financial instruments are not considered to have low credit risk when they are regarded as having a low risk of loss simply because of the value of collateral and the financial instrument without that collateral would not be considered low credit risk. Financial instruments are also not considered to have low credit risk simply because they have a lower risk of default than the entity's other financial instruments or relative to the credit risk of the jurisdiction within which an entity operates.
- When a group of items that constitute a net position is designated as a hedged item, an entity shall designate the overall group of items that includes the items that can make up the net position. An entity is not permitted to designate a non-specific abstract amount of a net position. For example, an entity has a group of firm sale commitments in nine months' time for FC100 and a group of firm purchase commitments in 18 months' time for FC120. The entity cannot designate an abstract amount of a net position up to FC20. Instead, it must designate a gross amount of purchases and a gross amount of sales that together give rise to the hedged net position. An entity shall designate gross positions that give rise to the net position so that the entity is able to comply with the requirements for the accounting for qualifying hedging relationships.
*International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) adjustment process involves reviewing the company's financial statements and identifying any differences between the company's current accounting practices and the requirements of the IFRS. If there are any such differences, neural network makes adjustments to financial statements to bring them into compliance with the IFRS.
SER STRATEGIC ENERGY RESOURCES LIMITED Financial Analysis*
Rating | Short-Term | Long-Term Senior |
---|---|---|
Outlook* | Ba2 | B2 |
Income Statement | B1 | Baa2 |
Balance Sheet | Caa2 | C |
Leverage Ratios | Ba2 | B3 |
Cash Flow | Baa2 | C |
Rates of Return and Profitability | Baa2 | Caa2 |
*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?
References
- Imai K, Ratkovic M. 2013. Estimating treatment effect heterogeneity in randomized program evaluation. Ann. Appl. Stat. 7:443–70
- Chernozhukov V, Demirer M, Duflo E, Fernandez-Val I. 2018b. Generic machine learning inference on heteroge- nous treatment effects in randomized experiments. NBER Work. Pap. 24678
- A. Tamar, Y. Glassner, and S. Mannor. Policy gradients beyond expectations: Conditional value-at-risk. In AAAI, 2015
- Matzkin RL. 2007. Nonparametric identification. In Handbook of Econometrics, Vol. 6B, ed. J Heckman, E Learner, pp. 5307–68. Amsterdam: Elsevier
- Thomas P, Brunskill E. 2016. Data-efficient off-policy policy evaluation for reinforcement learning. In Pro- ceedings of the International Conference on Machine Learning, pp. 2139–48. La Jolla, CA: Int. Mach. Learn. Soc.
- Swaminathan A, Joachims T. 2015. Batch learning from logged bandit feedback through counterfactual risk minimization. J. Mach. Learn. Res. 16:1731–55
- Athey S, Wager S. 2017. Efficient policy learning. arXiv:1702.02896 [math.ST]
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What is the prediction methodology for SER stock?A: SER stock prediction methodology: We evaluate the prediction models Transfer Learning (ML) and Linear Regression
Q: Is SER stock a buy or sell?
A: The dominant strategy among neural network is to Buy SER Stock.
Q: Is STRATEGIC ENERGY RESOURCES LIMITED stock a good investment?
A: The consensus rating for STRATEGIC ENERGY RESOURCES LIMITED is Buy and is assigned short-term Ba2 & long-term B2 estimated rating.
Q: What is the consensus rating of SER stock?
A: The consensus rating for SER is Buy.
Q: What is the prediction period for SER stock?
A: The prediction period for SER is 8 Weeks
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