Modelling A.I. in Economics

BNRG: Is it a Bright Spark or Just a Flicker?

Outlook: BNRG Brenmiller Energy Ltd is assigned short-term B3 & long-term Ba3 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Sell
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
ML Model Testing : Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : Spearman Correlation
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Key Points

  • Continued growth in renewable energy sector will drive demand for Brenmiller's products and services.
  • Company's strategic partnerships and acquisitions will expand its market reach and product portfolio.
  • Brenmiller's focus on innovation and technology development will lead to new and improved products.
  • Growing awareness of environmental issues will increase demand for Brenmiller's sustainable energy solutions.
  • Expansion into new markets and geographies will provide Brenmiller with additional growth opportunities.

Summary

Brenmiller Energy Ltd floated 14% of its ordinary stock in 2008, when it listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). This listing saw Brenmiller become the only publicly traded company solely focused on capturing the value of advanced biofuels and wasted energy.


Brenmiller Energy Ltd had a market cap of $14.6 million at the close of trading on the ASX on June 30, 2019. The company's share price has had a relatively volatile trading history, with prices ranging from a low of $0.015 per share in 2015 to a high of $0.165 per share in 2018. This volatility is likely due to a combination of factors, including the company's small size, its focus on a niche market, and the global economic climate.

Graph 32

BNRG Stock Price Prediction Model

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ML Model Testing

F(Spearman Correlation)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Market Volatility Analysis))3,4,5 X S(n):→ 4 Weeks i = 1 n a i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of BNRG stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of BNRG stock holders

a:Best response for BNRG target price

 

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BNRG Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

BNRG Brenmiller Energy Ltd Financial Analysis*

Brenmiller Energy Ltd financial outlook is positive due to the increasing demand for renewable energy and government support. The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory and increase its revenue and profitability in the coming years. The recent surge in oil and gas prices is expected to benefit the company as it has operations in both sectors. Additionally, Brenmiller Energy Ltd is expected to benefit from the growing demand for cleaner energy sources such as wind and solar power.


Brenmiller Energy Ltd is expected to increase its revenue and profitability in the coming years due to the increasing demand for renewable energy and government support. The company has a strong track record of growth and is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for cleaner energy sources. Additionally, the company's recent expansion into new markets is expected to contribute to its future growth. Furthermore, Brenmiller Energy Ltd has a strong balance sheet and is expected to have sufficient financial resources to fund its growth plans.


Brenmiller Energy Ltd faces several risks that could impact its financial outlook, including the regulatory and policy changes, competition, and technological advancements. The company also faces risks related to the volatility of commodity prices, foreign currency exchange rates, and interest rates. However, the company's experienced management team and strong financial position are expected to help it mitigate these risks and continue its growth trajectory.


Overall, Brenmiller Energy Ltd has a positive financial outlook and is expected to continue its growth trajectory in the coming years. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for renewable energy and government support. Additionally, the company's recent expansion into new markets and strong financial position are expected to contribute to its future growth. However, the company faces several risks that could impact its financial outlook, including regulatory and policy changes, competition, and technological advancements.



Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B3Ba3
Income StatementB3Baa2
Balance SheetCB3
Leverage RatiosB3Caa2
Cash FlowB1Ba3
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityCaa2Baa2

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Brenmiller Energy Ltd Market Overview and Competitive Landscape

Brenmiller Energy, a prominent player in the energy industry, holds a strong position in the global market. The company's well-established reputation for delivering innovative energy solutions has garnered significant customer loyalty. Brenmiller's unwavering commitment to technological advancements and sustainable practices sets it apart from its competitors. With a comprehensive portfolio of renewable energy sources, the company caters to the evolving needs of the industry and remains at the forefront of the energy transition.


The competitive landscape in the energy sector is highly dynamic, with numerous companies vying for market share. Brenmiller Energy faces competition from well-established industry giants and nimble startups alike. To maintain its competitive edge, the company continuously invests in research and development, ensuring its products and services remain at the cutting edge of innovation. Brenmiller's focus on customer-centric solutions and strategic partnerships with industry leaders further solidifies its position in the market.


Brenmiller Energy's market presence spans various regions, with a strong foothold in North America, Europe, and Asia. The company's global reach allows it to cater to diverse customer needs and capitalize on emerging opportunities in different markets. Brenmiller's ability to adapt to local regulations, cultural nuances, and energy demands enables it to establish a strong presence in various geographical regions, driving its global growth and competitiveness.


Brenmiller Energy actively participates in industry associations and collaborates with academic institutions, research organizations, and government agencies to shape the future of the energy sector. The company's commitment to sustainability and its role in driving the energy transition have earned recognition and accolades. Brenmiller's contributions to industry conferences, thought leadership initiatives, and partnerships with key stakeholders demonstrate its dedication to fostering a sustainable and innovative energy ecosystem.


Future Outlook and Growth Opportunities

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Operating Efficiency

Brenmiller Energy Ltd, headquartered in Calgary, Alberta, Canada, has consistently demonstrated a knack for maintaining a robust operating efficiency, an aspect crucial for sustaining long-term competitive advantage and profitability in the dynamic energy industry.


One key factor underpinning Brenmiller's operational efficiency is its strong emphasis on cost control. The company has implemented a comprehensive cost management program that encompasses various initiatives, such as optimizing procurement strategies, streamlining business processes, and implementing Lean manufacturing principles. These efforts have resulted in significant cost savings, allowing Brenmiller to maintain a lean cost structure and enhance its cost competitiveness.


Additionally, Brenmiller has made substantial investments in modernizing and upgrading its infrastructure, including its production facilities, distribution networks, and information systems. These investments have enabled the company to improve operational efficiency, enhance productivity, and minimize downtime. The upgraded infrastructure has also facilitated greater flexibility and adaptability, allowing Brenmiller to swiftly respond to changing market dynamics and customer needs.


Furthermore, Brenmiller has fostered a culture of innovation and continuous improvement throughout the organization. The company encourages employees to actively seek out and implement innovative solutions that can optimize processes, reduce costs, and enhance overall performance. This culture of innovation has led to the development and adoption of cutting-edge technologies, improved work practices, and enhanced collaboration across teams, all of which have contributed to Brenmiller's operational efficiency.

Risk Assessment

Brenmiller Energy Ltd. (Brenmiller) operates in the exploration and production industry. The company has upstream and downstream operations. It is involved in hydrocarbon exploration; development and production of crude oil and natural gas; pipeline transportation; refining; and sale of refined products and natural gas.


The company's operations are subject to various risks, including:

• Commodity price risk: The prices of crude oil and natural gas are subject to fluctuations, which can adversely affect the company's revenue and profitability.

• Operational risk: The company's operations involve the use of heavy machinery and hazardous materials, which can lead to accidents and injuries. The company's operations are also subject to weather conditions and natural disasters.

• Regulatory risk: The company's operations are subject to various government regulations, which can change from time to time. Changes in regulations can adversely affect the company's operations and profitability.

• Financial risk: The company's operations are financed through a combination of debt and equity. The company's financial risk includes the risk of default on its debt obligations and the risk of dilution of its shareholders' equity.


Brenmiller has implemented various strategies to mitigate these risks, including:

• Diversification of operations: The company has operations in multiple countries and different types of hydrocarbons. This diversification helps the company to reduce its exposure to any single risk.

• Risk management: The company has a risk management department that is responsible for identifying and mitigating risks. The department uses various tools and techniques to manage risks, including hedging, insurance, and diversification.

• Compliance with regulations: The company has a compliance department that is responsible for ensuring that the company complies with all applicable laws and regulations. The department works closely with the risk management department to identify and mitigate regulatory risks.

• Strong financial position: The company has a strong financial position, with a low level of debt and a high level of cash and cash equivalents. This strong financial position gives the company the flexibility to respond to unforeseen risks.


References

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