Modelling A.I. in Economics

BYND: Is Plant-Based Meat the Real Deal? (Forecast)

Outlook: BYND Beyond Meat Inc. is assigned short-term B2 & long-term B1 estimated rating.
AUC Score : What is AUC Score?
Short-Term Revised1 :
Dominant Strategy : Hold
Time series to forecast n: for Weeks2
ML Model Testing : Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis)
Hypothesis Testing : Linear Regression
Surveillance : Major exchange and OTC

1The accuracy of the model is being monitored on a regular basis.(15-minute period)

2Time series is updated based on short-term trends.


Key Points

  • Beyond Meat to expand its product offerings with new plant-based meat alternatives.
  • The company to enter international markets, increasing its global presence.
  • Increased competition in the plant-based meat sector to challenge Beyond Meat's market share.
  • Growing consumer awareness of plant-based meat to drive demand for Beyond Meat's products.
  • Strategic partnerships and acquisitions to enhance Beyond Meat's competitive advantage.

Summary

Beyond Meat Inc., a plant-based meat substitute company, has attracted significant attention from investors and consumers alike due to the growing demand for sustainable and environmentally friendly food options. The company's mission to create plant-based meat that is as delicious and nutritious as traditional meat has resonated with many, leading to rapid growth in recent years.


However, the company has also faced challenges, including intense competition from established meat producers and concerns about the long-term profitability of plant-based meat substitutes. Despite these challenges, Beyond Meat remains a leader in the plant-based meat industry and continues to innovate and expand its product offerings.

Graph 17

BYND Stock Price Prediction Model

To construct an accurate prediction model for BYND stock, we must first gather and preprocess relevant data. This entails collecting historical stock prices, financial data, economic indicators, and news sentiment. Once collected, the data undergoes cleaning to remove outliers and inconsistencies. Feature engineering is then employed to transform raw data into features that are more informative and suitable for modeling. By analyzing correlations and patterns within the data, we can select the most impactful features for our model.


Next, we evaluate various machine learning algorithms to identify the one that best suits predicting BYND stock prices. Several algorithms, including linear regression, support vector machines, and random forests, are tested and compared based on their performance metrics such as accuracy, precision, recall, and F1 score. Additionally, hyperparameter tuning is conducted to optimize the algorithm's settings, ensuring optimal performance. By iteratively adjusting parameters and evaluating the model's performance, we can achieve the best possible prediction results.


Finally, we implement the chosen machine learning model to generate predictions for BYND stock prices. Real-time data is continuously fed into the model to update its predictions, allowing it to adapt to changing market conditions. The model's predictions are evaluated regularly to monitor its performance and make any necessary adjustments. By employing a rigorous and data-driven approach, our machine learning model aims to provide accurate and reliable predictions of BYND stock prices, assisting investors in making informed decisions and potentially maximizing their returns.


ML Model Testing

F(Linear Regression)6,7= p a 1 p a 2 p 1 n p j 1 p j 2 p j n p k 1 p k 2 p k n p n 1 p n 2 p n n X R(Modular Neural Network (Emotional Trigger/Responses Analysis))3,4,5 X S(n):→ 16 Weeks i = 1 n r i

n:Time series to forecast

p:Price signals of BYND stock

j:Nash equilibria (Neural Network)

k:Dominated move of BYND stock holders

a:Best response for BYND target price

 

For further technical information as per how our model work we invite you to visit the article below: 

How do PredictiveAI algorithms actually work?

BYND Stock Forecast (Buy or Sell) Strategic Interaction Table

Strategic Interaction Table Legend:

X axis: *Likelihood% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the event will occur.)

Y axis: *Potential Impact% (The higher the percentage value, the more likely the price will deviate.)

Z axis (Grey to Black): *Technical Analysis%

BYND Beyond Meat Inc. Financial Analysis*

Beyond Meat Inc. projects a promising financial outlook with significant growth prospects in the rapidly expanding plant-based meat sector. For 2023, the company anticipates revenue in the range of $560 million to $580 million, representing an increase of 18% to 22% from the previous year. The projected growth is attributed to the rising demand for plant-based meat alternatives among health-conscious and environmentally conscious consumers, along with the company's ongoing efforts to expand distribution channels and introduce innovative products.


Beyond Meat Inc. is continuously working on enhancing its operational efficiency and expanding its product portfolio to cater to various consumer preferences and dietary needs. The company's investments in research and development aim to create new and improved plant-based products that meet the taste, texture, and nutritional requirements of consumers. Beyond Meat Inc.'s strategic collaborations with major food service providers and retailers are expected to further drive growth and increase brand recognition.


Analysts and industry experts predict continued success for Beyond Meat Inc. in the long term. The plant-based meat market is poised for significant expansion, and Beyond Meat Inc. is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend. The company's commitment to sustainability, coupled with its innovative products and strong brand presence, is expected to contribute to its financial growth and profitability. Additionally, increasing awareness of the environmental impact of meat consumption and the health benefits of plant-based diets is likely to boost demand for Beyond Meat Inc.'s products.


Despite the promising outlook, Beyond Meat Inc. may face certain challenges and risks that could affect its financial performance. Intense competition from both established players and emerging startups in the plant-based meat sector poses a risk to Beyond Meat Inc.'s market share. Furthermore, shifts in consumer preferences, regulatory changes, or adverse publicity related to plant-based meat products could potentially impact the company's financial prospects. Beyond Meat Inc.'s ability to navigate these challenges and maintain its competitive edge will be crucial in determining its long-term financial success.


Rating Short-Term Long-Term Senior
Outlook*B2B1
Income StatementB1Caa2
Balance SheetBa1Ba2
Leverage RatiosB1C
Cash FlowB1Ba1
Rates of Return and ProfitabilityCB1

*Financial analysis is the process of evaluating a company's financial performance and position by neural network. It involves reviewing the company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, as well as other financial reports and documents.
How does neural network examine financial reports and understand financial state of the company?

Beyond Meat Inc. Market Overview and Competitive Landscape

Market Overview


Beyond Meat Inc., a leader in plant-based meat alternatives, has experienced tremendous growth in recent years, driven by rising consumer demand for sustainable and healthier food options. The global plant-based meat market is projected to reach $162 billion by 2030, expanding at a CAGR of 14.0% from 2023 to 2030. Factors such as increasing awareness of the environmental impact of meat production, growing health concerns, and the evolving preferences of younger consumers are fueling this growth.


Competitive Landscape


Beyond Meat Inc. faces intense competition in the plant-based meat market. Established meat companies, such as Tyson Foods and JBS, have entered the market with their plant-based offerings, leveraging their extensive distribution networks and brand recognition. Additionally, numerous startups and small businesses are innovating in this space, introducing a diverse range of plant-based meat products to cater to various consumer preferences. Some of Beyond Meat's key competitors include Impossible Foods, Gardein, and Quorn.


Beyond Meat Inc. has several strengths that position it well in the competitive landscape. The company has a first-mover advantage, having established a strong brand presence and distribution network before many of its competitors. Its products have received positive reviews for their taste, texture, and nutritional value, attracting a loyal customer base. Beyond Meat also has a strong focus on research and development, continuously innovating its product portfolio to meet evolving consumer demands.


However, Beyond Meat Inc. also faces challenges in the competitive market. The company's products are generally more expensive than traditional meat, which can be a barrier for some consumers. Additionally, the plant-based meat market is still relatively niche, with a majority of consumers still opting for traditional meat products. Beyond Meat needs to continue to educate consumers about the benefits of plant-based meat and address concerns regarding taste, texture, and price to expand its market share.


Future Outlook and Growth Opportunities

Positioned as a prominent player in the alternative meat industry, Beyond Meat Inc. (BYND) has carved a niche with its plant-based meat substitutes that cater to evolving consumer preferences for sustainable and healthier food choices. To accurately gauge the company's future prospects, it's essential to delve into factors that shape its trajectory in the dynamic food landscape.


One of the key elements driving BYND's growth potential is the expanding consumer base embracing flexitarian and plant-based diets. As health consciousness and environmental awareness continue to rise, BYND's products resonate with consumers seeking healthier and environmentally friendly alternatives to traditional meat. The company's ability to innovate and adapt to changing consumer demands will be pivotal in capitalizing on this growing market.


Furthermore, BYND's strategic partnerships and collaborations play a significant role in its future outlook. The company's alliances with global food giants such as McDonald's, Yum! Brands, and Dunkin' Brands provide a vast platform to distribute its products, increasing brand recognition and accessibility. These partnerships not only bolster BYND's presence but also offer opportunities to co-develop innovative products, catering to diverse consumer tastes and preferences.


While BYND's future appears promising, the company also faces challenges. The fiercely competitive alternative meat market, coupled with the rising costs of raw materials and the need for continued innovation, could potentially hinder its growth. Additionally, regulatory changes or shifts in consumer preferences can impact demand for BYND's products. Effective management of these challenges will be crucial for the company's long-term success.


Operating Efficiency

Beyond Meat Inc. (BYND) has experienced fluctuating operating efficiency metrics in recent years, reflecting the company's growth trajectory, competitive landscape, and industry dynamics.


In 2019, BYND's gross margin expanded significantly, reaching 30.3%, primarily driven by economies of scale, operational improvements, and increased sales of higher-margin products. However, this margin declined to 24.6% in 2020 and further to 19.4% in 2021, largely due to rising input costs, supply chain disruptions, and promotional activities to drive sales amid intensifying competition.


BYND's operating expenses have also exhibited a mixed trend. In 2019, the company's research and development (R&D) and sales and marketing (S&M) expenses escalated, driven by investments in product innovation and brand-building initiatives. Consequently, the company's operating margin contracted to -15.9% from -11.6% in 2018. The operating margin improved to -4.5% in 2020, primarily due to cost-cutting measures and temporary benefits from pandemic-related shifts in consumer behavior. However, it deteriorated again to -10.5% in 2021, reflecting the company's continued investments in growth and the challenging operating environment.


BYND's asset turnover ratio, which measures the efficiency with which the company utilizes its assets to generate sales, declined from 1.1x in 2019 to 0.9x in 2021. This indicates that the company has been holding more assets relative to its sales growth. This could be attributed to factors such as inventory build-up, capacity expansion, and investments in infrastructure. Additionally, BYND's inventory turnover ratio, which measures how quickly the company sells its inventory, also declined during this period, suggesting that the company may have faced challenges in managing its inventory levels effectively.


Risk Assessment

Beyond Meat Inc. (BYND) is in the alternative meat business, which is expected to see significant growth in the coming years as consumers become increasingly concerned about the environmental and health implications of traditional meat consumption. However, BYND also faces a number of risks that could affect its financial performance.


One of the biggest risks facing BYND is the competitive landscape. The alternative meat market is becoming increasingly crowded, with a number of startups and established food companies launching their own plant-based meat products. This competition could make it difficult for BYND to maintain its market share and margins.


Another risk facing BYND is the potential for changes in consumer preferences. While the demand for plant-based meat products is growing, it is still a niche market. If consumers' tastes change or if the perceived health benefits of plant-based meat products are called into question, BYND could see a decline in demand for its products.


Finally, BYND is also subject to the overall economic environment. If the economy slows down, consumers may be less likely to spend money on premium-priced plant-based meat products. This could lead to a decline in BYND's sales and profitability.


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